Prediction: Suduva Marijampole vs FK Transinvest
Expected goals: 2.62 (Suduva Marijampole 1.39 · FK Transinvest 1.23). The model gives 40% home, 28% draw, 32% away. Over 2.25 goals (55%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Suduva Marijampole is 5-4-1 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and FK Transinvest 5-3-2 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Suduva Marijampole and 1 for FK Transinvest, with 3 draws.
| Suduva Marijampole | Draw | FK Transinvest | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 29% | 32% |
| Market | 40% | 28% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Suduva Marijampole: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Suduva Marijampole | FK Transinvest | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1 | 1.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 1.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.7 | 1.7 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Suduva Marijampole 2–3–1 FK Transinvest
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/26 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Transinvest | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Suduva Marijampole |
| 07/03/26 Lithuania A Lyga | Suduva Marijampole | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FK Transinvest |
| 06/10/24 Lithuania A Lyga | Suduva Marijampole | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FK Transinvest |
| 20/07/24 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Transinvest | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Suduva Marijampole |
| 24/05/24 Lithuania A Lyga | Suduva Marijampole | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FK Transinvest |
| 07/04/24 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Transinvest | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Suduva Marijampole |
Standings · Lithuania A Lyga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suduva Marijampole | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 21 | 16 | 29 |
| 2 | FK Dziugas Telsiai | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 22 | 29 |
| 3 | FK Transinvest | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 22 | 28 |
| 4 | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 15 | 27 |
| 5 | Banga Gargzdai | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 27 |
| 6 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 21 | 25 |
| 7 | Hegelmann Litauen | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 28 | 18 |
| 8 | Panevezys | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 18 |
| 9 | FK Siauliai | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 13 |
| 10 | FK Riteriai | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Suduva Marijampole | FK Transinvest |
|---|---|---|
| Panevezys | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| FK Dziugas Telsiai | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| FK Siauliai | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Banga Gargzdai | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| FK Kauno Zalgiris | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Hegelmann Litauen | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 0 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Transinvest (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Suduva Marijampole
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 21/06 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 16/06 | FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 13/06 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 29/05 | FK Riteriai Lithuania A Lyga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 06/05 | FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
FK Transinvest
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 24/06 | DFK Dainava Lithuania Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 14 | 6 | D |
| 20/06 | FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 12/06 | Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 29/05 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 20/05 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 06/05 | Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Suduva Marijampole vs FK Transinvest?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Suduva Marijampole win (40%). Probabilities: Suduva Marijampole 40%, draw 28%, FK Transinvest 32%.
How many goals are expected in Suduva Marijampole vs FK Transinvest?
The model expects 2.62 goals (Suduva Marijampole 1.39 · FK Transinvest 1.23), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Suduva Marijampole vs FK Transinvest?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.