Prediction: FK Siauliai vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Expected goals: 3.04 (FK Siauliai 1.12 · FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1.92). The model gives 21% home, 24% draw, 55% away. Under 3 goals (52%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, FK Siauliai sits at 3-3-4 (W-D-L), while FK Zalgiris Vilnius arrives on a 4-2-4 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, FK Siauliai won 0 and FK Zalgiris Vilnius 4, with 2 draws.
| FK Siauliai | Draw | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 24% | 55% |
| Market | 21% | 23% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Zalgiris Vilnius (rating 1465 vs 1527).
- H2H favours FK Zalgiris Vilnius: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Siauliai | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.4 | 2.7 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 3.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Siauliai 0–2–4 FK Zalgiris Vilnius
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/26 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 3-1 HT 1-0 | FK Siauliai |
| 07/03/26 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Siauliai | 0-2 HT 0-2 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius |
| 31/01/26 Europe Friendlies | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 4-2 HT 2-2 | FK Siauliai |
| 26/10/25 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FK Siauliai |
| 11/08/25 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Siauliai | 2-2 HT 1-1 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius |
| 13/06/25 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FK Siauliai |
Standings · Lithuania A Lyga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suduva Marijampole | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 21 | 16 | 29 |
| 2 | FK Dziugas Telsiai | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 22 | 29 |
| 3 | FK Transinvest | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 22 | 28 |
| 4 | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 15 | 27 |
| 5 | Banga Gargzdai | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 27 |
| 6 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 21 | 25 |
| 7 | Hegelmann Litauen | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 28 | 18 |
| 8 | Panevezys | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 18 |
| 9 | FK Siauliai | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 13 |
| 10 | FK Riteriai | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Siauliai | FK Zalgiris Vilnius |
|---|---|---|
| FK Transinvest | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| FK Dziugas Telsiai | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Panevezys | 2-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Suduva Marijampole | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Banga Gargzdai | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| FK Riteriai | 2-0 W | 3-2 W |
| FK Kauno Zalgiris | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Hegelmann Litauen | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Siauliai
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 24/06 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania Cup |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 20/06 | Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga |
1-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 16/06 | Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 12/06 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 25/05 | FK Riteriai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 20/05 | FK Ataka Lithuania Cup |
0-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 20/06 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 16/06 | Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 12/06 | FK Riteriai Lithuania A Lyga |
3-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 06/05 | FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Siauliai vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Zalgiris Vilnius win (55%). Probabilities: FK Siauliai 21%, draw 24%, FK Zalgiris Vilnius 55%.
How many goals are expected in FK Siauliai vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
The model expects 3.04 goals (FK Siauliai 1.12 · FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1.92), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Siauliai vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.