Football · Lithuania A Lyga · 19/07, 17:45

Prediction: FK Dziugas Telsiai vs Banga Gargzdai

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.04Total
FK Dziugas Telsiai0.99
Banga Gargzdai1.05
1X2
33% 30% 36%
FK Dziugas Telsiai Draw Banga Gargzdai
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FK Dziugas Telsiai 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
LDWWWDLLDD
Banga Gargzdai 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
DWDLDDWWWW
Head-to-head
FK Dziugas Telsiai 2–2–2 Banga Gargzdai (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Dziugas Telsiai 1513 · Banga Gargzdai 1544
FK Dziugas TelsiaiDrawBanga Gargzdai
Our model32%33%35%
Market35%28%37%
Estimated total (ours) 2.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FK Dziugas TelsiaiBanga Gargzdai
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.11.3 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.30.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/70/10%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 3.91.1 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 0.14 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Dziugas Telsiai 222 Banga Gargzdai

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DateHomeScoreAway
20/05/26
Lithuania Cup
FK Dziugas Telsiai0-0
HT 0-0
Banga Gargzdai
16/05/26
Lithuania A Lyga
FK Dziugas Telsiai0-1
HT 0-0
Banga Gargzdai
15/03/26
Lithuania A Lyga
Banga Gargzdai0-1
HT 0-0
FK Dziugas Telsiai
26/09/25
Lithuania A Lyga
Banga Gargzdai0-1
HT 0-0
FK Dziugas Telsiai
13/07/25
Lithuania A Lyga
FK Dziugas Telsiai0-0
HT 0-0
Banga Gargzdai
19/06/25
Lithuania A Lyga
FK Dziugas Telsiai0-1
HT 0-1
Banga Gargzdai

Standings · Lithuania A Lyga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 19874 341531
2 Suduva Marijampole 19793 211630
3 Banga Gargzdai 19865 221430
4 FK Dziugas Telsiai 19865 282230
5 FK Transinvest 19856 282529
6 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 19847 272128
7 Hegelmann Litauen 193106 202919
8 Panevezys 205411 183719
9 FK Siauliai 192710 183713

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFK Dziugas TelsiaiBanga Gargzdai
FK Kauno Zalgiris 0-0 D 1-0 W
FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0-0 D 3-0 W
FK Siauliai 1-2 L 1-1 D
Suduva Marijampole 1-2 L 0-0 D
Hegelmann Litauen 1-1 D 2-0 W
Panevezys 4-0 W 0-1 L
FK Transinvest 3-2 W 3-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 2 L 4 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Banga Gargzdai (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Dziugas Telsiai

LDWWWDLLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 FK Kauno Zalgiris
Lithuania A Lyga
0-0 0-0 35 D
28/06 FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Lithuania A Lyga
0-0 0-0 56 D
24/06 FK Siauliai
Lithuania Cup
1-1 1-2 77 L
21/06 Suduva Marijampole
Lithuania A Lyga
0-1 1-2 42 L
17/06 Hegelmann Litauen
Lithuania A Lyga
0-0 1-1 56 D
12/06 FK Siauliai
Lithuania A Lyga
2-0 4-3 31 W
30/05 Panevezys
Lithuania A Lyga
2-0 4-0 38 W
24/05 FK Transinvest
Lithuania A Lyga
1-1 3-2 25 W
20/05 Banga Gargzdai
Lithuania Cup
0-0 0-0 47 D
16/05 Banga Gargzdai
Lithuania A Lyga
0-0 0-1 35 L

Banga Gargzdai

DWDLDDWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 FK Transinvest
Lithuania A Lyga
1-1 3-1 36 W
28/06 Hegelmann Litauen
Lithuania A Lyga
0-0 2-0 33 W
20/06 FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Lithuania A Lyga
1-0 3-0 02 W
17/06 FK Kauno Zalgiris
Lithuania A Lyga
0-0 1-0 68 W
13/06 Suduva Marijampole
Lithuania A Lyga
0-0 0-0 41 D
30/05 FK Siauliai
Lithuania A Lyga
0-1 1-1 41 D
24/05 Panevezys
Lithuania A Lyga
0-1 0-1 94 L
20/05 FK Dziugas Telsiai
Lithuania Cup
0-0 0-0 77 D
16/05 FK Dziugas Telsiai
Lithuania A Lyga
0-0 1-0 25 W
10/05 FK Transinvest
Lithuania A Lyga
1-2 2-2 94 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Dziugas Telsiai vs Banga Gargzdai?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Banga Gargzdai win (36%). Probabilities: FK Dziugas Telsiai 33%, draw 30%, Banga Gargzdai 36%.

How many goals are expected in FK Dziugas Telsiai vs Banga Gargzdai?

The model expects 2.04 goals (FK Dziugas Telsiai 0.99 · Banga Gargzdai 1.05), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Dziugas Telsiai vs Banga Gargzdai?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.