Football · Lithuania A Lyga · 03/08, 17:45

Prediction: FK Siauliai vs Banga Gargzdai

Team pages: FK Siauliai · Banga Gargzdai

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
FK Siauliai0.95
Banga Gargzdai1.52
1X2
23% 27% 50%
FK Siauliai Draw Banga Gargzdai
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FK Siauliai 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
WWDLLLWLLL
Banga Gargzdai 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WDLDDWWWWL
Head-to-head
FK Siauliai 1–2–3 Banga Gargzdai (6 last)
  • Banga Gargzdai1-1FK Siauliai
  • FK Siauliai0-0Banga Gargzdai
  • FK Siauliai1-4Banga Gargzdai
  • FK Siauliai1-3Banga Gargzdai
  • Banga Gargzdai1-0FK Siauliai
  • Banga Gargzdai0-1FK Siauliai
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Siauliai 1422 · Banga Gargzdai 1578
FK SiauliaiDrawBanga Gargzdai
Our model22%28%49%
Market24%25%51%
Estimated total (ours) 2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Banga Gargzdai (rating 1422 vs 1578).
  • H2H favours Banga Gargzdai: 3-2-1.
  • High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FK SiauliaiBanga Gargzdai
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 21.1 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 10.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 6.21 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.9 / 0.14.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Siauliai 123 Banga Gargzdai

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DateHomeScoreAway
30/05/26
Lithuania A Lyga
Banga Gargzdai1-1
HT 0-1
FK Siauliai
04/04/26
Lithuania A Lyga
FK Siauliai0-0
HT 0-0
Banga Gargzdai
23/01/26
Europe Friendlies
FK Siauliai1-4
HT 0-2
Banga Gargzdai
22/10/25
Lithuania A Lyga
FK Siauliai1-3
HT 0-0
Banga Gargzdai
04/08/25
Lithuania A Lyga
Banga Gargzdai1-0
HT 1-0
FK Siauliai
27/05/25
Lithuania Cup
Banga Gargzdai0-1
HT 0-0
FK Siauliai

Standings · Lithuania A Lyga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 20974 381534
2 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 211047 332434
3 Suduva Marijampole 20893 261733
4 FK Dziugas Telsiai 21966 292333
5 FK Transinvest 21957 302832
6 Banga Gargzdai 20866 221530
7 Hegelmann Litauen 224108 253722
8 Panevezys 205411 183719
9 FK Siauliai 212712 184313

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFK SiauliaiBanga Gargzdai
Hegelmann Litauen 0-2 L 2-0 W
FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0-3 L 3-0 W
FK Transinvest 1-3 L 3-1 W
FK Dziugas Telsiai 2-1 W 0-1 L
Panevezys 2-3 L 0-1 L
Suduva Marijampole 1-2 L 0-0 D
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 5 L 3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Banga Gargzdai (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Siauliai

WWDLLLWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/07 Hegelmann Litauen
Lithuania A Lyga
0-2 0-2 58 L
05/07 FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Lithuania A Lyga
0-0 0-3 80 L
29/06 FK Transinvest
Lithuania A Lyga
1-1 1-3 82 L
24/06 FK Dziugas Telsiai
Lithuania Cup
1-1 2-1 57 W
20/06 Panevezys
Lithuania A Lyga
1-2 2-3 85 L
16/06 Suduva Marijampole
Lithuania A Lyga
1-1 1-2 46 L
12/06 FK Dziugas Telsiai
Lithuania A Lyga
0-2 3-4 31 L
30/05 Banga Gargzdai
Lithuania A Lyga
1-0 1-1 71 D
25/05 FK Riteriai
Lithuania A Lyga
1-0 2-0 24 W
20/05 FK Ataka
Lithuania Cup
0-1 2-1 126 W

Banga Gargzdai

WDLDDWWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/07 FK Dziugas Telsiai
Lithuania A Lyga
0-1 0-1 75 L
12/07 FK Transinvest
Lithuania A Lyga
1-1 3-1 36 W
28/06 Hegelmann Litauen
Lithuania A Lyga
0-0 2-0 33 W
20/06 FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Lithuania A Lyga
1-0 3-0 02 W
17/06 FK Kauno Zalgiris
Lithuania A Lyga
0-0 1-0 68 W
13/06 Suduva Marijampole
Lithuania A Lyga
0-0 0-0 41 D
30/05 FK Siauliai
Lithuania A Lyga
0-1 1-1 41 D
24/05 Panevezys
Lithuania A Lyga
0-1 0-1 94 L
20/05 FK Dziugas Telsiai
Lithuania Cup
0-0 0-0 77 D
16/05 FK Dziugas Telsiai
Lithuania A Lyga
0-0 1-0 25 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Siauliai vs Banga Gargzdai?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Banga Gargzdai win (50%). Probabilities: FK Siauliai 23%, draw 27%, Banga Gargzdai 50%.

How many goals are expected in FK Siauliai vs Banga Gargzdai?

The model expects 2.47 goals (FK Siauliai 0.95 · Banga Gargzdai 1.52), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Siauliai vs Banga Gargzdai?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.