Prediction: FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Siauliai
Team pages: FK Zalgiris Vilnius · FK Siauliai
- FK Siauliai0-3FK Zalgiris Vilnius
- FK Zalgiris Vilnius3-1FK Siauliai
- FK Siauliai0-2FK Zalgiris Vilnius
- FK Zalgiris Vilnius4-2FK Siauliai
- FK Zalgiris Vilnius1-0FK Siauliai
- FK Siauliai2-2FK Zalgiris Vilnius
| FK Zalgiris Vilnius | Draw | FK Siauliai | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 16% | 10% |
| Market | 73% | 17% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Zalgiris Vilnius (rating 1527 vs 1367).
- H2H favours FK Zalgiris Vilnius: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 13.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Zalgiris Vilnius | FK Siauliai | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.3 | 1 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 7.1 | 2.1 / 6.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.2 | 4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Zalgiris Vilnius 5–1–0 FK Siauliai
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/26 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Siauliai | 0-3 HT 0-0 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius |
| 06/05/26 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 3-1 HT 1-0 | FK Siauliai |
| 07/03/26 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Siauliai | 0-2 HT 0-2 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius |
| 31/01/26 Europe Friendlies | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 4-2 HT 2-2 | FK Siauliai |
| 26/10/25 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FK Siauliai |
| 11/08/25 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Siauliai | 2-2 HT 1-1 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius |
Standings · Lithuania A Lyga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suduva Marijampole | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 35 | 18 | 45 |
| 2 | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 41 | 16 | 39 |
| 3 | FK Transinvest | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 32 | 39 |
| 4 | FK Dziugas Telsiai | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 36 | 33 | 38 |
| 5 | Banga Gargzdai | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 38 |
| 6 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 37 | 29 | 37 |
| 7 | Panevezys | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 41 | 29 |
| 8 | Hegelmann Litauen | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 29 | 44 | 24 |
| 9 | FK Siauliai | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 55 | 16 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | FK Siauliai |
|---|---|---|
| Panevezys | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| FK Dziugas Telsiai | 2-0 W | 3-4 L |
| Banga Gargzdai | 2-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Hegelmann Litauen | 3-2 W | 0-2 L |
| FK Transinvest | 3-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Zalgiris Vilnius (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 15 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 16/08 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 27/07 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 19/07 | FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 28/06 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 20/06 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 16/06 | Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 12/06 | FK Riteriai Lithuania A Lyga |
3-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
FK Siauliai
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 24/08 | FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 17/08 | Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 03/08 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 24/07 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 05/07 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 29/06 | FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga |
1-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 16/06 | Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Siauliai?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Zalgiris Vilnius win (74%). Probabilities: FK Zalgiris Vilnius 74%, draw 17%, FK Siauliai 10%.
How many goals are expected in FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Siauliai?
The model expects 3.62 goals (FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2.69 · FK Siauliai 0.93), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Siauliai?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.