Football · Lithuania A Lyga · 31/10, 16:30
Prediction: FK Siauliai vs FK Dziugas Telsiai
Team pages: FK Siauliai · FK Dziugas Telsiai
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.92Total
FK Siauliai1.29
FK Dziugas Telsiai1.62
1X2
FK Siauliai
Draw
FK Dziugas Telsiai
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Siauliai
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
FK Dziugas Telsiai
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Siauliai
1–2–3
FK Dziugas Telsiai
(6 last)
- FK Siauliai3-4FK Dziugas Telsiai
- FK Siauliai2-1FK Dziugas Telsiai
- FK Dziugas Telsiai4-3FK Siauliai
- FK Dziugas Telsiai1-0FK Siauliai
- FK Siauliai1-1FK Dziugas Telsiai
- FK Siauliai2-2FK Dziugas Telsiai
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Siauliai 1405 · FK Dziugas Telsiai 1471
| FK Siauliai | Draw | FK Dziugas Telsiai | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 27% | 44% |
| Market | 30% | 26% | 44% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Dziugas Telsiai (rating 1405 vs 1471).
- H2H favours FK Dziugas Telsiai: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Siauliai | FK Dziugas Telsiai | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.7 | 1.2 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.3 | 2.1 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.3 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Siauliai 1–2–3 FK Dziugas Telsiai
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/26 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Siauliai | 3-4 HT 1-3 | FK Dziugas Telsiai |
| 24/06/26 Lithuania Cup | FK Siauliai | 2-1 HT 1-1 | FK Dziugas Telsiai |
| 12/06/26 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Dziugas Telsiai | 4-3 HT 2-0 | FK Siauliai |
| 12/04/26 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Dziugas Telsiai | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FK Siauliai |
| 17/01/26 Europe Friendlies | FK Siauliai | 1-1 HT 1-0 | FK Dziugas Telsiai |
| 08/11/25 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Siauliai | 2-2 HT 1-2 | FK Dziugas Telsiai |
Standings · Lithuania A Lyga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 57 | 20 | 55 |
| 2 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 35 | 51 |
| 3 | Suduva Marijampole | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 39 | 30 | 50 |
| 4 | FK Transinvest | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 48 | 38 | 49 |
| 5 | Banga Gargzdai | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 33 | 30 | 42 |
| 6 | FK Dziugas Telsiai | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 44 | 42 |
| 7 | Panevezys | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 32 | 46 | 35 |
| 8 | Hegelmann Litauen | 31 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 32 | 54 | 26 |
| 9 | FK Siauliai | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 24 | 58 | 18 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Siauliai | FK Dziugas Telsiai |
|---|---|---|
| Banga Gargzdai | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| FK Kauno Zalgiris | 0-2 L | 0-5 L |
| Hegelmann Litauen | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Suduva Marijampole | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| FK Transinvest | 0-3 L | 3-3 D |
| Panevezys | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 4 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Siauliai (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Siauliai
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 20/09 | FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 06/09 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 24/08 | FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 17/08 | Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 03/08 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 24/07 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
FK Dziugas Telsiai
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 17/10 | FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 19/09 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga |
0-2 | 0-5 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 17/08 | Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga |
3-1 | 4-3 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 03/08 | Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 26/07 | FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Siauliai vs FK Dziugas Telsiai?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Dziugas Telsiai win (44%). Probabilities: FK Siauliai 29%, draw 26%, FK Dziugas Telsiai 44%.
How many goals are expected in FK Siauliai vs FK Dziugas Telsiai?
The model expects 2.92 goals (FK Siauliai 1.29 · FK Dziugas Telsiai 1.62), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Siauliai vs FK Dziugas Telsiai?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.