Football · Lithuania A Lyga · 01/11, 13:15

Prediction: Suduva Marijampole vs Banga Gargzdai

Team pages: Suduva Marijampole · Banga Gargzdai

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
Suduva Marijampole1.66
Banga Gargzdai0.82
1X2
57% 26% 18%
Suduva Marijampole Draw Banga Gargzdai
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Suduva Marijampole 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WWWWWLDDLL
Banga Gargzdai 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WLWDDLLWLD
Head-to-head
Suduva Marijampole 4–1–1 Banga Gargzdai (6 last)
  • Banga Gargzdai0-3Suduva Marijampole
  • Suduva Marijampole0-0Banga Gargzdai
  • Banga Gargzdai2-1Suduva Marijampole
  • Banga Gargzdai0-1Suduva Marijampole
  • Suduva Marijampole2-1Banga Gargzdai
  • Banga Gargzdai0-1Suduva Marijampole
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Suduva Marijampole 1495 · Banga Gargzdai 1481
Suduva MarijampoleDrawBanga Gargzdai
Our model56%27%17%
Market57%25%18%
Estimated total (ours) 2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Suduva Marijampole: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Suduva MarijampoleBanga Gargzdai
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.31.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.40.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.92.6 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.4 / 0.24.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Suduva Marijampole 4–1–1 Banga Gargzdai

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/08/26
Lithuania A Lyga
Banga Gargzdai0-3
HT 0-2
Suduva Marijampole
13/06/26
Lithuania A Lyga
Suduva Marijampole0-0
HT 0-0
Banga Gargzdai
11/04/26
Lithuania A Lyga
Banga Gargzdai2-1
HT 1-0
Suduva Marijampole
21/09/25
Lithuania A Lyga
Banga Gargzdai0-1
HT 0-1
Suduva Marijampole
17/08/25
Lithuania A Lyga
Suduva Marijampole2-1
HT 0-1
Banga Gargzdai
11/05/25
Lithuania A Lyga
Banga Gargzdai0-1
HT 0-1
Suduva Marijampole

Standings · Lithuania A Lyga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 3116105 612158
2 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 3115610 493551
3 Suduva Marijampole 3013116 393050
4 FK Transinvest 3114710 483949
5 Banga Gargzdai 3011910 333042
6 FK Dziugas Telsiai 3111911 424642
7 Panevezys 3111515 334638
8 Hegelmann Litauen 3241414 335826
9 FK Siauliai 314918 265921

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSuduva MarijampoleBanga Gargzdai
FK Kauno Zalgiris 0-1 L 0-0 D
FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0-4 L 3-2 W
Hegelmann Litauen 1-1 D 1-1 D
FK Transinvest 2-1 W 1-3 L
FK Siauliai 2-1 W 0-0 D
Panevezys 2-0 W 1-2 L
FK Dziugas Telsiai 2-0 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 2 L 2 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Suduva Marijampole (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Suduva Marijampole

WWWWWLDDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/10 FK Kauno Zalgiris
Lithuania A Lyga
0-0 0-1 54 L
10/10 FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Lithuania A Lyga
0-2 0-4 33 L
20/09 Hegelmann Litauen
Lithuania A Lyga
1-0 1-1 44 D
13/09 FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Lithuania A Lyga
0-0 0-0 33 D
09/09 FK Kauno Zalgiris
Lithuania A Lyga
0-2 1-5 51 L
06/09 FK Transinvest
Lithuania A Lyga
0-0 2-1 72 W
30/08 FK Siauliai
Lithuania A Lyga
1-0 2-1 61 W
23/08 Panevezys
Lithuania A Lyga
0-0 2-0 62 W
17/08 FK Dziugas Telsiai
Lithuania A Lyga
0-0 2-0 83 W
09/08 Banga Gargzdai
Lithuania A Lyga
2-0 3-0 23 W

Banga Gargzdai

WLWDDLLWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 FK Siauliai
Lithuania A Lyga
0-0 0-0 84 D
17/10 Panevezys
Lithuania A Lyga
1-0 1-2 52 L
19/09 FK Dziugas Telsiai
Lithuania A Lyga
0-0 2-0 64 W
14/09 FK Transinvest
Lithuania A Lyga
0-1 1-3 56 L
03/09 Panevezys
Lithuania A Lyga
0-1 0-3 51 L
30/08 FK Kauno Zalgiris
Lithuania A Lyga
0-0 0-0 68 D
23/08 Hegelmann Litauen
Lithuania A Lyga
1-0 1-1 46 D
16/08 FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Lithuania A Lyga
1-1 3-2 45 W
09/08 Suduva Marijampole
Lithuania A Lyga
0-2 0-3 53 L
03/08 FK Siauliai
Lithuania A Lyga
2-1 3-1 47 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Suduva Marijampole vs Banga Gargzdai?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Suduva Marijampole win (57%). Probabilities: Suduva Marijampole 57%, draw 26%, Banga Gargzdai 18%.

How many goals are expected in Suduva Marijampole vs Banga Gargzdai?

The model expects 2.48 goals (Suduva Marijampole 1.66 · Banga Gargzdai 0.82), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Suduva Marijampole vs Banga Gargzdai?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.