Football · Lithuania A Lyga · 31/10, 17:30
Prediction: Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
Team pages: Hegelmann Litauen · FK Kauno Zalgiris
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.89Total
Hegelmann Litauen0.76
FK Kauno Zalgiris2.13
1X2
Hegelmann Litauen
Draw
FK Kauno Zalgiris
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Hegelmann Litauen
0-4-6 (W-D-L)
FK Kauno Zalgiris
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hegelmann Litauen
0–2–4
FK Kauno Zalgiris
(6 last)
- FK Kauno Zalgiris2-0Hegelmann Litauen
- Hegelmann Litauen1-1FK Kauno Zalgiris
- FK Kauno Zalgiris5-0Hegelmann Litauen
- Hegelmann Litauen1-1FK Kauno Zalgiris
- FK Kauno Zalgiris2-1Hegelmann Litauen
- Hegelmann Litauen1-2FK Kauno Zalgiris
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hegelmann Litauen 1431 · FK Kauno Zalgiris 1560
| Hegelmann Litauen | Draw | FK Kauno Zalgiris | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 11% | 21% | 68% |
| Market | 12% | 19% | 69% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.89 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Kauno Zalgiris (rating 1431 vs 1560).
- H2H favours FK Kauno Zalgiris: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hegelmann Litauen | FK Kauno Zalgiris | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2 | 1.9 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1 | 0.9 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/30/70% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.4 | 2.9 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 4.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hegelmann Litauen 0–2–4 FK Kauno Zalgiris
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/26 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Hegelmann Litauen |
| 14/06/26 Lithuania A Lyga | Hegelmann Litauen | 1-1 HT 1-1 | FK Kauno Zalgiris |
| 11/04/26 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Hegelmann Litauen |
| 01/10/25 Lithuania A Lyga | Hegelmann Litauen | 1-1 HT 1-0 | FK Kauno Zalgiris |
| 27/08/25 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Hegelmann Litauen |
| 19/06/25 Lithuania A Lyga | Hegelmann Litauen | 1-2 HT 0-1 | FK Kauno Zalgiris |
Standings · Lithuania A Lyga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 57 | 20 | 55 |
| 2 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 35 | 51 |
| 3 | Suduva Marijampole | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 39 | 30 | 50 |
| 4 | FK Transinvest | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 48 | 38 | 49 |
| 5 | Banga Gargzdai | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 33 | 30 | 42 |
| 6 | FK Dziugas Telsiai | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 44 | 42 |
| 7 | Panevezys | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 32 | 46 | 35 |
| 8 | Hegelmann Litauen | 31 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 32 | 54 | 26 |
| 9 | FK Siauliai | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 24 | 58 | 18 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hegelmann Litauen | FK Kauno Zalgiris |
|---|---|---|
| FK Transinvest | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 1-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Suduva Marijampole | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| FK Siauliai | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Panevezys | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| FK Dziugas Telsiai | 2-2 D | 5-0 W |
| Banga Gargzdai | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 4 D 3 L | 4 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Kauno Zalgiris (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hegelmann Litauen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 18/10 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 20/09 | Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 13/09 | FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 07/09 | Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 31/08 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 08/08 | FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 27/07 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
FK Kauno Zalgiris
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 19/10 | Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 13 | 5 | W |
| 16/09 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga |
2-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 09/09 | Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga |
2-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga |
2-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 16/08 | FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Kauno Zalgiris?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Kauno Zalgiris win (69%). Probabilities: Hegelmann Litauen 12%, draw 20%, FK Kauno Zalgiris 69%.
How many goals are expected in Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Kauno Zalgiris?
The model expects 2.89 goals (Hegelmann Litauen 0.76 · FK Kauno Zalgiris 2.13), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Kauno Zalgiris?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.