Football · Lithuania A Lyga · 08/11, 13:15
Prediction: Suduva Marijampole vs FK Dziugas Telsiai
Team pages: Suduva Marijampole · FK Dziugas Telsiai
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.32Total
Suduva Marijampole2.3
FK Dziugas Telsiai1.02
1X2
Suduva Marijampole
Draw
FK Dziugas Telsiai
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Suduva Marijampole
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
FK Dziugas Telsiai
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Suduva Marijampole
3–2–1
FK Dziugas Telsiai
(6 last)
- FK Dziugas Telsiai0-2Suduva Marijampole
- FK Dziugas Telsiai1-2Suduva Marijampole
- Suduva Marijampole3-2FK Dziugas Telsiai
- FK Dziugas Telsiai0-0Suduva Marijampole
- Suduva Marijampole2-3FK Dziugas Telsiai
- FK Dziugas Telsiai1-1Suduva Marijampole
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Suduva Marijampole 1525 · FK Dziugas Telsiai 1444
| Suduva Marijampole | Draw | FK Dziugas Telsiai | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 20% | 15% |
| Market | 65% | 21% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Suduva Marijampole (rating 1525 vs 1444).
- H2H favours Suduva Marijampole: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Suduva Marijampole | FK Dziugas Telsiai | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.2 | 2.3 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.2 | 4.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Suduva Marijampole 3–2–1 FK Dziugas Telsiai
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08/26 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Dziugas Telsiai | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Suduva Marijampole |
| 21/06/26 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Dziugas Telsiai | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Suduva Marijampole |
| 19/04/26 Lithuania A Lyga | Suduva Marijampole | 3-2 HT 1-1 | FK Dziugas Telsiai |
| 18/10/25 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Dziugas Telsiai | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Suduva Marijampole |
| 27/07/25 Lithuania A Lyga | Suduva Marijampole | 2-3 HT 0-2 | FK Dziugas Telsiai |
| 25/05/25 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Dziugas Telsiai | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Suduva Marijampole |
Standings · Lithuania A Lyga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 61 | 21 | 58 |
| 2 | Suduva Marijampole | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 41 | 31 | 53 |
| 3 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 35 | 51 |
| 4 | FK Transinvest | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 48 | 39 | 49 |
| 5 | Banga Gargzdai | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 34 | 32 | 42 |
| 6 | FK Dziugas Telsiai | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 42 | 46 | 42 |
| 7 | Panevezys | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 33 | 46 | 38 |
| 8 | Hegelmann Litauen | 32 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 33 | 58 | 26 |
| 9 | FK Siauliai | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 26 | 59 | 21 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Suduva Marijampole | FK Dziugas Telsiai |
|---|---|---|
| Banga Gargzdai | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| FK Kauno Zalgiris | 0-1 L | 0-5 L |
| FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 0-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Hegelmann Litauen | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| FK Transinvest | 2-1 W | 3-3 D |
| FK Siauliai | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Panevezys | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Suduva Marijampole (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Suduva Marijampole
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 19/10 | FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 13/09 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 09/09 | FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga |
0-2 | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 06/09 | FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 23/08 | Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 17/08 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
FK Dziugas Telsiai
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 25/10 | Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 17/10 | FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 19/09 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga |
0-2 | 0-5 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 31/08 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 23/08 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 17/08 | Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga |
3-1 | 4-3 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 03/08 | Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Suduva Marijampole vs FK Dziugas Telsiai?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Suduva Marijampole win (65%). Probabilities: Suduva Marijampole 65%, draw 21%, FK Dziugas Telsiai 14%.
How many goals are expected in Suduva Marijampole vs FK Dziugas Telsiai?
The model expects 3.32 goals (Suduva Marijampole 2.3 · FK Dziugas Telsiai 1.02), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Suduva Marijampole vs FK Dziugas Telsiai?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.