Football · USA USL League Two · 09/07, 01:00

Prediction: Kalamazoo FC vs Lansing City Football

Expected goals: 4.48 (Kalamazoo FC 3.24 · Lansing City Football 1.24). The model gives 77% home, 13% draw, 10% away. Over 4.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 3-1.

On recent form, Kalamazoo FC is 5-1-4 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Lansing City Football 2-0-8 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 4 wins for Kalamazoo FC and 0 for Lansing City Football, with 2 draws.

77%1
77% 13% 10%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kalamazoo FC 1525 · Lansing City Football 1411
Kalamazoo FCDrawLansing City Football
Our model76%14%11%
Market79%12%9%
Estimated total (ours) 4.48 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals4.48Kalamazoo FC 3.24 · Lansing City Football 1.24
Over / Under 4.25Over 4.25 · 51%
BTTSYes · 59%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kalamazoo FC (rating 1525 vs 1411).
  • H2H favours Kalamazoo FC: 4-2-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Kalamazoo FCLansing City Football
Goals for / against (FT)2.5 / 1.91.1 / 3.6
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 0.80.5 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/20/30%10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)1 / 2.40.8 / 2.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 05 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kalamazoo FC 420 Lansing City Football

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/06/26
USA USL League Two
Lansing City Football0-7
HT 0-3
Kalamazoo FC
18/06/25
USA USL League Two
Lansing City Football1-3
HT 0-1
Kalamazoo FC
21/05/25
USA USL League Two
Kalamazoo FC2-1
HT 1-1
Lansing City Football
22/06/24
USA USL League Two
Lansing City Football1-1
HT 1-0
Kalamazoo FC
18/05/24
USA USL League Two
Kalamazoo FC1-0
HT 1-0
Lansing City Football
01/07/23
USA USL League Two
Kalamazoo FC2-2
HT 0-1
Lansing City Football

Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Great Lakes Division

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Flint City Bucks 11911 341228
2 Oakland County FC 11623 251320
3 Kalamazoo FC 10514 251916
4 AFC Ann Arbor 10505 182315
5 Midwest United 10415 191413
6 Union FC Macomb 9216 16287
7 Lansing City Football 11209 13416

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKalamazoo FCLansing City Football
Flint City Bucks 0-2 L 2-6 L
Oakland County FC 2-0 W 0-6 L
Midwest United 2-2 D 1-5 L
AFC Ann Arbor 4-2 W 2-5 L
Union FC Macomb 7-2 W 3-2 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Kalamazoo FC (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kalamazoo FC

LLWLWWWDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Flint City Bucks
USA USL League Two
0-0 0-2 L
01/07 Oakland County FC
USA USL League Two
1-0 2-0 26 W
25/06 Midwest United
USA USL League Two
1-0 2-2 D
20/06 AFC Ann Arbor
USA USL League Two
3-2 4-2 25 W
12/06 Lansing City Football
USA USL League Two
3-0 7-0 W
07/06 Union FC Macomb
USA USL League Two
1-1 7-2 W
31/05 Flint City Bucks
USA USL League Two
0-2 0-7 03 L
28/05 Midwest United
USA USL League Two
1-0 1-0 W
22/05 Oakland County FC
USA USL League Two
1-2 1-2 64 L
14/05 Union FC Macomb
USA USL League Two
0-1 1-2 23 L

Lansing City Football

WLLLLLLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/07 Flint City Bucks
USA USL League Two
1-3 2-6 02 L
28/06 AFC Ann Arbor
USA USL League Two
1-2 2-5 54 L
24/06 Union FC Macomb
USA USL League Two
2-0 3-2 16 W
19/06 Midwest United
USA USL League Two
0-2 1-5 08 L
12/06 Kalamazoo FC
USA USL League Two
0-3 0-7 L
07/06 Oakland County FC
USA USL League Two
0-2 0-6 L
29/05 Oakland County FC
USA USL League Two
0-0 0-1 L
24/05 AFC Ann Arbor
USA USL League Two
0-0 1-2 67 L
20/05 Flint City Bucks
USA USL League Two
1-2 1-2 24 L
17/05 Midwest United
USA USL League Two
0-0 1-0 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kalamazoo FC vs Lansing City Football?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kalamazoo FC win (77%). Probabilities: Kalamazoo FC 77%, draw 13%, Lansing City Football 10%.

How many goals are expected in Kalamazoo FC vs Lansing City Football?

The model expects 4.48 goals (Kalamazoo FC 3.24 · Lansing City Football 1.24), with a 51% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Kalamazoo FC vs Lansing City Football?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.