Football · Iceland Premier League Women · 06/08, 21:15
Prediction: Stjarnan (W) vs Throttur Reykjavik (W)
Team pages: Stjarnan (W) · Throttur Reykjavik (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.15Total
Stjarnan (W)1.79
Throttur Reykjavik (W)1.36
1X2
Stjarnan (W)
Draw
Throttur Reykjavik (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Stjarnan (W)
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Throttur Reykjavik (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Stjarnan (W)
3–3
Throttur Reykjavik (W)
(6 last)
- Throttur Reykjavik (W)0-1Stjarnan (W)
- Stjarnan (W)5-0Throttur Reykjavik (W)
- Stjarnan (W)0-1Throttur Reykjavik (W)
- Throttur Reykjavik (W)4-2Stjarnan (W)
- Stjarnan (W)2-0Throttur Reykjavik (W)
- Stjarnan (W)1-2Throttur Reykjavik (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stjarnan (W) 1558 · Throttur Reykjavik (W) 1482
| Stjarnan (W) | Draw | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 25% | 28% |
| Market | 47% | 24% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stjarnan (W) (rating 1558 vs 1482).
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stjarnan (W) | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 6.7 | 2.7 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 1.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stjarnan (W) 3–0–3 Throttur Reykjavik (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/26 Iceland Premier League Women | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Stjarnan (W) |
| 27/02/26 Iceland Cup Women | Stjarnan (W) | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) |
| 11/10/25 Iceland Premier League Women | Stjarnan (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) |
| 20/09/25 Iceland Premier League Women | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 4-2 HT 3-2 | Stjarnan (W) |
| 15/06/25 Iceland Premier League Women | Stjarnan (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) |
| 25/08/24 Iceland Premier League Women | Stjarnan (W) | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) |
Standings · Iceland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 46 | 21 | 30 |
| 2 | Breidablik (W) | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 40 | 16 | 30 |
| 3 | Stjarnan (W) | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 22 |
| 4 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 22 | 21 |
| 5 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 23 | 16 |
| 6 | Fram Reykjavik (W) | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 27 | 16 |
| 7 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 22 | 14 |
| 8 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 25 | 12 |
| 9 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 33 | 11 |
| 10 | Valur Reykjavik (W) | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 25 | 10 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Stjarnan (W) | Throttur Reykjavik (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Grindavik/Njardvik (W) | 0-0 D | 2-4 L |
| FH Hafnarfjordur (W) | 3-7 L | 3-7 L |
| Thor/KA Akureyri (W) | 3-2 W | 0-2 L |
| Valur Reykjavik (W) | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Fram Reykjavik (W) | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Stjarnan (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stjarnan (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 21/07 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-4 | 3-7 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 14/07 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 10/07 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 22/06 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 18/06 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Cup Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Breidablik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 25/05 | Throttur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 20/05 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
Throttur Reykjavik (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 24/07 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Cup Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 20/07 | Grindavik/Njardvik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/07 | Fram Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 09/07 | FH Hafnarfjordur (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
2-3 | 3-7 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 22/06 | Thor/KA Akureyri (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 18/06 | Vikingur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Cup Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 29/05 | Valur Reykjavik (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 25/05 | Stjarnan (W) Iceland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stjarnan (W) vs Throttur Reykjavik (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Stjarnan (W) win (47%). Probabilities: Stjarnan (W) 47%, draw 25%, Throttur Reykjavik (W) 29%.
How many goals are expected in Stjarnan (W) vs Throttur Reykjavik (W)?
The model expects 3.15 goals (Stjarnan (W) 1.79 · Throttur Reykjavik (W) 1.36), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Stjarnan (W) vs Throttur Reykjavik (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.