Football · Brazil Serie B · 24/10, 21:00
Prediction: Avai vs Botafogo SP
Team pages: Avai · Botafogo SP
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.99Total
Avai1
Botafogo SP0.99
1X2
Avai
Draw
Botafogo SP
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 61%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Avai
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Botafogo SP
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Avai
3–2–1
Botafogo SP
(6 last)
- Botafogo SP3-1Avai
- Botafogo SP0-0Avai
- Avai5-0Botafogo SP
- Botafogo SP1-3Avai
- Avai1-1Botafogo SP
- Botafogo SP0-1Avai
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Botafogo SP (rating 1452 vs 1506).
- H2H favours Avai: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Avai | Botafogo SP | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.3 | 1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.6 | 2.7 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 4.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Avai 3–2–1 Botafogo SP
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07/26 Brazil Serie B | Botafogo SP | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Avai |
| 23/11/25 Brazil Serie B | Botafogo SP | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Avai |
| 29/07/25 Brazil Serie B | Avai | 5-0 HT 4-0 | Botafogo SP |
| 19/11/24 Brazil Serie B | Botafogo SP | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Avai |
| 31/07/24 Brazil Serie B | Avai | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Botafogo SP |
| 07/10/23 Brazil Serie B | Botafogo SP | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Avai |
Standings · Brazil Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 46 | 31 | 61 |
| 2 | EC Juventude | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 41 | 23 | 61 |
| 3 | Gremio Novorizontino | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 59 | 28 | 60 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 41 | 29 | 60 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 34 | 28 | 56 |
| 6 | Atletico GO | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 42 | 32 | 54 |
| 7 | CRB | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 51 | 47 | 52 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 51 |
| 9 | Goias | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 40 | 48 |
| 10 | Operario PR | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44 | 46 | 48 |
| 11 | Cuiaba | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 32 | 26 | 47 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo SP | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 46 | 36 | 46 |
| 13 | Ceara | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 37 | 42 | 43 |
| 14 | Athletic Club MG | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 43 |
| 15 | Nautico | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 39 | 42 | 42 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 37 | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | Avai | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 33 | 43 | 36 |
| 18 | Londrina | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 42 | 49 | 29 |
| 19 | America MG | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 54 | 20 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 19 | 74 | 14 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Avai | Botafogo SP |
|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club MG | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Cuiaba | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Ceara | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Goias | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Vila Nova | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Gremio Novorizontino | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Avai (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Avai
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 11/10 | Cuiaba Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 08/10 | Londrina Brazil Serie B |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 03/10 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 27/09 | Criciuma Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 20/09 | Goias Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 15/09 | Vila Nova Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 10/09 | Fortaleza Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B |
1-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
Botafogo SP
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | CRB Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 13/10 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 08/10 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 03/10 | Vila Nova Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 30/09 | Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 15/09 | Goias Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 10/09 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 04/09 | Nautico Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Cuiaba Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Avai vs Botafogo SP?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (34%). Probabilities: Avai 33%, draw 34%, Botafogo SP 33%.
How many goals are expected in Avai vs Botafogo SP?
The model expects 1.99 goals (Avai 1 · Botafogo SP 0.99), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Avai vs Botafogo SP?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.