Football · Brazil Serie B · 24/10, 02:00

Prediction: Sport Recife vs Criciuma

Team pages: Sport Recife · Criciuma

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.37Total

Sport Recife1.36

Criciuma1.01

1X2

44% 30% 26%

Sport Recife Draw Criciuma

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Sport Recife 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Criciuma 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Sport Recife 1–3–2 Criciuma (6 last)

Criciuma1-0Sport Recife
Sport Recife3-3Criciuma
Criciuma1-0Sport Recife
Sport Recife1-1Criciuma
Criciuma1-1Sport Recife
Sport Recife1-0Criciuma

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Criciuma: 2-3-1.
High corners: 13.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sport Recife	Criciuma
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.5	0.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.8	3.6 / 7.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.3	4.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:12

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.27 → 2.27	Pinn 2.27
X	3.25 → 3.25	Pinn 3.25
2	3.16 → 3.16	Pinn 3.16

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
21:14 +58’	2.27	3.25	3.16

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sport Recife 1–3–2 Criciuma

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/07/26 Brazil Serie B	Criciuma	1-0 HT 1-0	Sport Recife
10/09/23 Brazil Serie B	Sport Recife	3-3 HT 2-1	Criciuma
25/05/23 Brazil Serie B	Criciuma	1-0 HT 1-0	Sport Recife
03/08/22 Brazil Serie B	Sport Recife	1-1 HT 0-1	Criciuma
23/04/22 Brazil Serie B	Criciuma	1-1 HT 1-0	Sport Recife
09/11/19 Brazil Serie B	Sport Recife	1-0 HT 0-0	Criciuma

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vila Nova	33	18	7	8	46	31	61
2	EC Juventude	34	17	10	7	41	23	61
3	Gremio Novorizontino	33	17	9	7	59	28	60
4	Fortaleza	34	16	12	6	41	29	60
5	Criciuma	33	16	8	9	34	28	56
6	Atletico GO	34	14	12	8	42	32	54
7	CRB	33	15	7	11	51	47	52
8	Sport Recife	34	13	12	9	45	37	51
9	Goias	33	14	6	13	34	40	48
10	Operario PR	34	13	9	12	44	46	48
11	Cuiaba	33	11	14	8	32	26	47
12	Sao Bernardo SP	33	12	10	11	46	36	46
13	Ceara	34	11	10	13	37	42	43
14	Athletic Club MG	33	10	13	10	40	39	43
15	Nautico	33	11	9	13	39	42	42
16	Botafogo SP	33	11	8	14	37	38	41
17	Avai	33	10	6	17	33	43	36
18	Londrina	33	7	8	18	42	49	29
19	America MG	34	5	5	24	22	54	20
20	Ponte Preta	34	3	5	26	19	74	14

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sport Recife	Criciuma
Fortaleza	0-2 L	0-2 L
Atletico GO	1-1 D	0-4 L
EC Juventude	2-1 W	0-2 L
CRB	1-2 L	1-2 L
Ceara	1-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	0 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Sport Recife (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sport Recife

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-2	11	7	L
11/10	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
07/10	Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-1	5	7	W
02/10	Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B	2-1	2-1	6	4	W
26/09	Nautico Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-3	9	2	L
19/09	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	1-1	2-1	2	6	W
16/09	CRB Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-2	3	6	L
11/09	Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B	2-0	2-0	7	4	W
05/09	Ceara Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-2	9	2	L
29/08	Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B	0-1	1-2	3	3	L

Criciuma

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/10	America MG Brazil Serie B	0-0	1-0	9	5	W
09/10	Ceara Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
03/10	Londrina Brazil Serie B	0-0	2-0	4	4	W
27/09	Avai Brazil Serie B	0-0	3-0	5	7	W
23/09	Operario PR Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-2	17	5	L
13/09	Atletico GO Brazil Serie B	0-2	0-4	5	6	L
09/09	EC Juventude Brazil Serie B	0-0	0-2	10	7	L
05/09	Cuiaba Brazil Serie B	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
30/08	CRB Brazil Serie B	1-1	1-2	6	4	L
23/08	Fortaleza Brazil Serie B	0-1	0-2	10	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sport Recife vs Criciuma?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sport Recife win (44%). Probabilities: Sport Recife 44%, draw 30%, Criciuma 26%.

How many goals are expected in Sport Recife vs Criciuma?

The model expects 2.37 goals (Sport Recife 1.36 · Criciuma 1.01), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sport Recife vs Criciuma?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.