Football · Finland Kolmonen · 22/07, 18:00

Prediction: FCJ Blackbird vs Komeetat

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.34Total
FCJ Blackbird2.85
Komeetat1.49
1X2
66% 17% 18%
FCJ Blackbird Draw Komeetat
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
FCJ Blackbird 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DWWWDWWDLL
Komeetat 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LWLLLLLWWD
Head-to-head
FCJ Blackbird 6–0 Komeetat (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FCJ Blackbird 1544 · Komeetat 1457
FCJ BlackbirdDrawKomeetat
Our model65%18%17%
Market66%16%18%
Estimated total (ours) 4.34 goals · Bet365 line 4.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FCJ Blackbird (rating 1544 vs 1457).
  • H2H favours FCJ Blackbird: 6-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FCJ BlackbirdKomeetat
Goals for / against (FT)2.6 / 1.71.5 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.51 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/25/25%33/50/17%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.52.2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.3 / 03 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · FCJ Blackbird 600 Komeetat

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/05/26
Finland Kolmonen
Komeetat3-4FCJ Blackbird
08/08/25
Finland Kolmonen
Komeetat0-5
HT 0-2
FCJ Blackbird
06/06/25
Finland Kolmonen
FCJ Blackbird5-0
HT 2-0
Komeetat
16/04/25
Finland Kolmonen
Komeetat0-5
HT 0-2
FCJ Blackbird
23/08/24
Finland Kolmonen
FCJ Blackbird4-1
HT 1-0
Komeetat
16/06/23
Finland Kolmonen
FCJ Blackbird5-0
HT 1-0
Komeetat

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Eastern, Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 JPS 10730 30724
2 FCJ Blackbird 10532 281918
3 FC Metso 10532 231518
4 JJK/2 8404 202112
5 Komeetat 10316 152010
6 KeuPa 9243 142010
7 Savon Pallo 10316 182610
8 FC Vaajakoski II 11218 15357

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFCJ BlackbirdKomeetat
Savon Pallo 0-2 L 3-2 W
FC Vaajakoski II 1-4 L 5-1 W
FC Metso 2-2 D 0-2 L
KeuPa 3-0 W 1-2 L
JJK/2 5-1 W 0-2 L
JPS 1-1 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 2 L 2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FCJ Blackbird (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FCJ Blackbird

DWWWDWWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/07 Savon Pallo
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 L
25/06 FC Vaajakoski II
Finland Kolmonen
1-4 L
16/06 FC Metso
Finland Kolmonen
2-2 D
12/06 KeuPa
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 3-0 62 W
05/06 JJK/2
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 5-1 40 W
29/05 JPS
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 1-1 53 D
22/05 Komeetat
Finland Kolmonen
4-3 W
13/05 Savon Pallo
Finland Kolmonen
3-2 W
08/05 FC Vaajakoski II
Finland Kolmonen
6-1 W
29/04 FC Metso
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 1-1 34 D

Komeetat

LWLLLLLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/07 JPS
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 1-1 34 D
26/06 Savon Pallo
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 3-2 34 W
17/06 FC Vaajakoski II
Finland Kolmonen
3-0 5-1 111 W
12/06 FC Metso
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-2 43 L
05/06 KeuPa
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 1-2 36 L
27/05 JJK/2
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-2 21 L
22/05 FCJ Blackbird
Finland Kolmonen
3-4 L
15/05 JPS
Finland Kolmonen
0-3 L
09/05 Savon Pallo
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 W
29/04 FC Vaajakoski II
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FCJ Blackbird vs Komeetat?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FCJ Blackbird win (66%). Probabilities: FCJ Blackbird 66%, draw 17%, Komeetat 18%.

How many goals are expected in FCJ Blackbird vs Komeetat?

The model expects 4.34 goals (FCJ Blackbird 2.85 · Komeetat 1.49), with a 51% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FCJ Blackbird vs Komeetat?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.