Football · Finland Kolmonen · 01/08, 15:00

Prediction: Atlantis II vs FC Lahti II

Team pages: Atlantis II · FC Lahti II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

Atlantis II1.63

FC Lahti II1.66

1X2

38% 24% 39%

Atlantis II Draw FC Lahti II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Atlantis II 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWWDDDWLLL

FC Lahti II 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLWWWLDW

Head-to-head

Atlantis II 0–1 FC Lahti II (1 last)

FC Lahti II1-0Atlantis II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atlantis II 1502 · FC Lahti II 1547

	Atlantis II	Draw	FC Lahti II
Our model	37%	25%	38%
Market	38%	23%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Lahti II (rating 1502 vs 1547).
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atlantis II	FC Lahti II
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.7	1.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	43/14/43%	63/25/13%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.1	2.9 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.4	4.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.38

X4.00

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 05:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.38▲	Bet365 2.38
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.60 → 2.30▼	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
04:14 +5’	2.10	4.00	2.60
05:17 +1’	2.38▲	4.00	2.30▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atlantis II 0–0–1 FC Lahti II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Finland Kolmonen	FC Lahti II	1-0 HT 1-0	Atlantis II

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Futura	12	11	1	0	45	8	34
2	Sibbov	10	7	1	2	29	19	22
3	FC Lahti II	10	6	2	2	17	11	20
4	RiPS	11	6	1	4	25	22	19
5	JäPS/47	10	5	2	3	23	15	17
6	Atlantis II	11	5	2	4	24	17	17
7	TuPS	12	4	1	7	20	17	13
8	Gnistan/Ogeli	11	2	3	6	15	29	9
9	Ponnistus	11	2	2	7	14	34	8
10	ToTe/Tapio	11	1	3	7	13	33	6
11	TiPS U21	11	1	2	8	11	31	5

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atlantis II	FC Lahti II
TiPS U21	2-3 L	4-0 W
FC Futura	0-1 L	1-4 L
JäPS/47	2-3 L	0-0 D
ToTe/Tapio	6-1 W	1-0 W
Gnistan/Ogeli	1-1 D	2-0 W
RiPS	2-2 D	2-3 L
Ponnistus	5-3 W	2-1 W
Sibbov	2-1 W	2-2 D
TuPS	1-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 3 L	5 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Atlantis II (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atlantis II

WWWDDDWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/07	TiPS U21 Finland Kolmonen	0-1	2-3	0	2	L
04/07	FC Futura Finland Kolmonen	–	0-1	–	–	L
24/06	JäPS/47 Finland Kolmonen	0-2	2-3	2	7	L
12/06	ToTe/Tapio Finland Kolmonen	1-0	6-1	4	3	W
07/06	Gnistan/Ogeli Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-1	5	5	D
28/05	RiPS Finland Kolmonen	0-1	2-2	6	4	D
22/05	MK United Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-2	3	3	D
15/05	Ponnistus Finland Kolmonen	–	5-3	–	–	W
09/05	Sibbov Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-1	9	2	W
02/05	TuPS Finland Kolmonen	–	1-0	–	–	W

FC Lahti II

WDWLWWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/07	Gnistan/Ogeli Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
24/06	Sibbov Finland Kolmonen	0-1	2-2	6	6	D
12/06	FC Futura Finland Kolmonen	–	1-4	–	–	L
05/06	TiPS U21 Finland Kolmonen	2-0	4-0	7	2	W
29/05	TuPS Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-1	4	4	W
24/05	ToTe/Tapio Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
16/05	RiPS Finland Kolmonen	–	2-3	–	–	L
06/05	Ponnistus Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-1	3	9	W
03/05	JäPS/47 Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
26/04	Atlantis II Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-0	7	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atlantis II vs FC Lahti II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Lahti II win (39%). Probabilities: Atlantis II 38%, draw 24%, FC Lahti II 39%.

How many goals are expected in Atlantis II vs FC Lahti II?

The model expects 3.29 goals (Atlantis II 1.63 · FC Lahti II 1.66), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Atlantis II vs FC Lahti II?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.