Football · Finland Kolmonen · 01/08, 13:00

Prediction: PIF Parainen vs JyTy

Team pages: PIF Parainen · JyTy

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.64Total

PIF Parainen2.82

JyTy0.82

1X2

81% 12% 7%

PIF Parainen Draw JyTy

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

PIF Parainen 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LDLWWWDWLW

JyTy 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLDLWLLWLD

Head-to-head

PIF Parainen 4–1–0 JyTy (5 last)

JyTy1-3PIF Parainen
JyTy0-0PIF Parainen
PIF Parainen4-0JyTy
JyTy0-3PIF Parainen
JyTy1-5PIF Parainen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PIF Parainen 1546 · JyTy 1426

	PIF Parainen	Draw	JyTy
Our model	78%	15%	8%
Market	84%	10%	6%

Estimated total (ours) 3.64 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PIF Parainen (rating 1546 vs 1426).
H2H favours PIF Parainen: 4-1-0.
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	PIF Parainen	JyTy
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.1	1.1 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.6 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/50/25%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 7.9	1.4 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.3	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.10

X9.00

215.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3)2.00

2 (+3)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.98

Under 4.251.82

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.10 → 1.10	Bet365 1.10
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	15.00 → 15.00	Bet365 15.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:06 +12’	1.10	9.00	15.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · PIF Parainen 4–1–0 JyTy

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/04/26 Finland Kolmonen	JyTy	1-3 HT 1-2	PIF Parainen
22/02/26 Finland Cup	JyTy	0-0 HT 0-0	PIF Parainen
27/09/19 Finland Kolmonen	PIF Parainen	4-0 HT 1-0	JyTy
27/06/19 Finland Kolmonen	JyTy	0-3 HT 0-2	PIF Parainen
24/05/17 Finland Kolmonen	JyTy	1-5 HT 0-3	PIF Parainen

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IFK Mariehamn II	12	10	0	2	34	11	30
2	EuPa	12	8	2	2	24	8	26
3	PIF Parainen	11	7	2	2	24	10	23
4	SalPa 2	13	6	3	4	19	16	21
5	VG-62	12	7	0	5	18	15	21
6	KaaPo	12	6	0	6	24	24	18
7	MaPS	12	5	2	5	20	21	17
8	Peimari United	12	2	7	3	18	17	13
9	LTU	12	3	2	7	8	16	11
10	PiPS	12	2	2	8	10	25	8
11	JyTy	12	2	2	8	13	33	8
12	ACF	12	1	4	7	8	24	7

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	PIF Parainen	JyTy
KaaPo	4-2 W	1-6 L
EuPa	1-2 L	1-5 L
MaPS	2-0 W	1-1 D
SalPa 2	1-1 D	3-2 W
ACF	3-0 W	0-2 L
PiPS	3-1 W	0-1 L
LTU	1-0 W	3-2 W
IFK Mariehamn II	1-2 L	0-5 L
Peimari United	1-1 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: PIF Parainen (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

PIF Parainen

LDLWWWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/07	KaaPo Finland Kolmonen	1-2	4-2	7	3	W
02/07	EuPa Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-2	9	2	L
27/06	MaPS Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
14/06	SalPa 2 Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-1	8	6	D
05/06	ACF Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-0	13	2	W
28/05	PiPS Finland Kolmonen	1-1	3-1	5	3	W
22/05	LTU Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-0	8	1	W
16/05	IFK Mariehamn II Finland Kolmonen	–	1-2	–	–	L
03/05	Peimari United Finland Kolmonen	–	1-1	–	–	D
29/04	P-Iirot Finland Cup	0-1	0-2	–	–	L

JyTy

LLDLWLLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/07	MaPS Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-1	6	2	D
18/07	IFK Mariehamn II Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-5	6	1	L
01/07	SalPa 2 Finland Kolmonen	1-1	3-2	0	5	W
25/06	ACF Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
11/06	PiPS Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-1	4	7	L
04/06	LTU Finland Kolmonen	0-1	3-2	6	3	W
22/05	VG-62 Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
15/05	Peimari United Finland Kolmonen	2-1	2-2	3	7	D
07/05	EuPa Finland Kolmonen	1-3	1-5	4	4	L
29/04	KaaPo Finland Kolmonen	1-3	1-6	2	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PIF Parainen vs JyTy?

According to our model, the most likely result is a PIF Parainen win (81%). Probabilities: PIF Parainen 81%, draw 12%, JyTy 7%.

How many goals are expected in PIF Parainen vs JyTy?

The model expects 3.64 goals (PIF Parainen 2.82 · JyTy 0.82), with a 59% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in PIF Parainen vs JyTy?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.