Football · Finland Kolmonen · 31/07, 18:00

Prediction: FC Vaajakoski II vs FC Metso

Team pages: FC Vaajakoski II · FC Metso

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.41Total
FC Vaajakoski II1.23
FC Metso3.18
1X2
11% 14% 75%
FC Vaajakoski II Draw FC Metso
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-3
Recent form · 10 last
FC Vaajakoski II 1-1-8 (W-D-L)
LLDLLLLWLL
FC Metso 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DWDLWWWDWL
Head-to-head
FC Vaajakoski II 0–1 FC Metso (1 last)
  • FC Metso3-1FC Vaajakoski II
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Vaajakoski II 1409 · FC Metso 1537
FC Vaajakoski IIDrawFC Metso
Our model11%14%75%
Market11%13%76%
Estimated total (ours) 4.41 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Metso (rating 1409 vs 1537).
  • High corners: 12.4 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC Vaajakoski IIFC Metso
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 3.82.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 1.41 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%43/43/14%
Corners (HT / FT)3.3 / 62.7 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1 / 0.42.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Vaajakoski II 001 FC Metso

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/05/26
Finland Kolmonen
FC Metso3-1
HT 0-0
FC Vaajakoski II

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Eastern, Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 JPS 11740 31825
2 FCJ Blackbird 12642 312022
3 FC Metso 10532 231518
4 JJK/2 9504 222115
5 KeuPa 10343 192113
6 Komeetat 11317 152210
7 Savon Pallo 11317 182810
8 FC Vaajakoski II 12219 16407

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC Vaajakoski IIFC Metso
KeuPa 1-5 L 0-1 L
JJK/2 2-3 L 3-2 W
FCJ Blackbird 4-1 W 2-2 D
Komeetat 1-5 L 2-0 W
Savon Pallo 2-4 L 6-0 W
JPS 0-3 L 0-5 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 5 L 3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Metso (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Vaajakoski II

LLDLLLLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/07 KeuPa
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 1-5 141 L
15/07 JJK/2
Finland Kolmonen
2-3 L
25/06 FCJ Blackbird
Finland Kolmonen
4-1 W
17/06 Komeetat
Finland Kolmonen
0-3 1-5 31 L
12/06 Savon Pallo
Finland Kolmonen
2-2 2-4 74 L
02/06 JPS
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 0-3 40 L
28/05 FC Metso
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 1-3 21 L
20/05 KeuPa
Finland Kolmonen
2-2 D
15/05 JJK/2
Finland Kolmonen
0-6 L
08/05 FCJ Blackbird
Finland Kolmonen
1-6 L

FC Metso

DWDLWWWDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/07 KeuPa
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-1 33 L
24/06 JJK/2
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 3-2 63 W
16/06 FCJ Blackbird
Finland Kolmonen
2-2 D
12/06 Komeetat
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-0 133 W
03/06 Savon Pallo
Finland Kolmonen
3-0 6-0 72 W
28/05 FC Vaajakoski II
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 3-1 61 W
22/05 JPS
Finland Kolmonen
0-5 L
15/05 KeuPa
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 D
06/05 JJK/2
Finland Kolmonen
3-0 4-1 13 W
29/04 FCJ Blackbird
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 1-1 94 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Vaajakoski II vs FC Metso?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Metso win (75%). Probabilities: FC Vaajakoski II 11%, draw 14%, FC Metso 75%.

How many goals are expected in FC Vaajakoski II vs FC Metso?

The model expects 4.41 goals (FC Vaajakoski II 1.23 · FC Metso 3.18), with a 53% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Vaajakoski II vs FC Metso?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.