Football · Iceland 3 Deild · 15/08, 16:00

Prediction: Augnablik Kopavogur vs Reynir Sandgerdi

Team pages: Augnablik Kopavogur · Reynir Sandgerdi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.61Total

Augnablik Kopavogur1.72

Reynir Sandgerdi2.89

1X2

21% 17% 62%

Augnablik Kopavogur Draw Reynir Sandgerdi

Markets

Over 4.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

Augnablik Kopavogur 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLWDWLLL

Reynir Sandgerdi 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LDWDWWWLLW

Head-to-head

Augnablik Kopavogur 3–1–2 Reynir Sandgerdi (6 last)

Reynir Sandgerdi6-3Augnablik Kopavogur
Reynir Sandgerdi1-3Augnablik Kopavogur
Augnablik Kopavogur0-0Reynir Sandgerdi
Reynir Sandgerdi2-1Augnablik Kopavogur
Augnablik Kopavogur2-1Reynir Sandgerdi
Augnablik Kopavogur3-1Reynir Sandgerdi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Augnablik Kopavogur 1455 · Reynir Sandgerdi 1555

	Augnablik Kopavogur	Draw	Reynir Sandgerdi
Our model	21%	18%	61%
Market	21%	17%	62%

Estimated total (ours) 4.61 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Reynir Sandgerdi (rating 1455 vs 1555).
H2H favours Augnablik Kopavogur: 3-1-2.
High corners: 15.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Augnablik Kopavogur	Reynir Sandgerdi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.3	3.1 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	1.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6.2	3.5 / 9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0	2.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.20

X5.25

21.44

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.82

2 (-1.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 4.51.82

Under 4.51.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 4.6

Market movement

Match winner · 6 moves · last 14:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.80 → 5.00▲	Bet365 5.00
X	5.00 → 5.50▲	Bet365 5.50
2	1.53 → 1.36▼	Pinn 1.45 ★

See the full journey (6)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
07:33 +9’	3.80	5.00	1.53
13:52 +6’	4.50▲	5.25▲	1.42▼
19:53 +2’	5.25▲	5.50▲	1.33▼
01:28 +7’	5.00▼	5.75▲	1.36▲
06:57 +4’	4.20▼	5.25▼	1.44▲
14:46 +5’	5.00▲	5.50▲	1.36▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:54 +2’	5.72	5.46	1.32
06:59 +1’	4.75▼	5.01▼	1.44▲
14:34 +17’	4.86▲	5.14▲	1.45▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Augnablik Kopavogur 3–1–2 Reynir Sandgerdi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/06/26 Iceland 3 Deild	Reynir Sandgerdi	6-3 HT 2-0	Augnablik Kopavogur
28/08/25 Iceland 3 Deild	Reynir Sandgerdi	1-3 HT 0-1	Augnablik Kopavogur
20/06/25 Iceland 3 Deild	Augnablik Kopavogur	0-0 HT 0-0	Reynir Sandgerdi
13/07/23 Iceland 3 Deild	Reynir Sandgerdi	2-1 HT 0-0	Augnablik Kopavogur
12/05/23 Iceland 3 Deild	Augnablik Kopavogur	2-1 HT 0-1	Reynir Sandgerdi
21/08/20 Iceland 3 Deild	Augnablik Kopavogur	3-1 HT 1-1	Reynir Sandgerdi

Standings · Iceland 3 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vidir Gardur	17	11	3	3	43	17	36
2	Reynir Sandgerdi	16	10	2	4	49	31	32
3	KH Hlidarendi	16	9	4	3	46	21	31
4	Tindastoll	16	10	1	5	40	28	31
5	KV Vesturbaer	16	9	2	5	47	43	29
6	Hottur/Huginn	16	5	7	4	23	22	22
7	KF Fjallabyggd	16	5	6	5	22	27	21
8	Augnablik Kopavogur	16	5	3	8	32	37	18
9	KA Asvellir	17	5	1	11	27	54	16
10	Ymir Kopavogur	16	4	3	9	24	36	15
11	Sindri	16	4	2	10	23	39	14
12	FC Arbaer	16	2	2	12	21	42	8

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Augnablik Kopavogur	Reynir Sandgerdi
Hottur/Huginn	1-4 L	4-0 W
FC Arbaer	2-4 L	3-1 W
KA Asvellir	2-3 L	7-2 W
Ymir Kopavogur	3-1 W	2-2 D
Vidir Gardur	0-0 D	0-5 L
KH Hlidarendi	1-3 L	2-2 D
KF Fjallabyggd	1-3 L	3-0 W
Tindastoll	1-2 L	5-0 W
KV Vesturbaer	5-3 W	3-6 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 6 L	5 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Reynir Sandgerdi (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Augnablik Kopavogur

WLLLWDWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
29/07	FC Arbaer Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	2-4	–	–	L
23/07	KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild	0-3	2-3	–	–	L
17/07	Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
13/07	Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
04/07	Sindri Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
26/06	KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild	1-1	1-3	7	4	L
20/06	KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild	1-1	1-3	13	4	L
14/06	Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
10/06	KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild	2-1	5-3	3	10	W

Reynir Sandgerdi

LDWDWWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	5-0	12	2	W
04/08	Haukar Iceland Lower League Cup	1-1	2-3	3	1	L
29/07	KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild	2-1	3-6	14	2	L
25/07	KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild	2-0	3-0	5	1	W
18/07	Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild	3-0	4-0	–	–	W
13/07	FC Arbaer Iceland 3 Deild	2-0	3-1	7	4	W
08/07	KH Hlidarendi Iceland Lower League Cup	0-2	2-2	18	9	D
03/07	KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild	4-0	7-2	–	–	W
28/06	Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	1-2	2-2	7	2	D
19/06	Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild	0-3	0-5	6	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Augnablik Kopavogur vs Reynir Sandgerdi?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Reynir Sandgerdi win (62%). Probabilities: Augnablik Kopavogur 21%, draw 17%, Reynir Sandgerdi 62%.

How many goals are expected in Augnablik Kopavogur vs Reynir Sandgerdi?

The model expects 4.61 goals (Augnablik Kopavogur 1.72 · Reynir Sandgerdi 2.89), with a 51% chance of over 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Augnablik Kopavogur vs Reynir Sandgerdi?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.