Football · Iceland 3 Deild · 19/08, 21:15

Prediction: KV Vesturbaer vs Augnablik Kopavogur

Team pages: KV Vesturbaer · Augnablik Kopavogur

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.46Total

KV Vesturbaer2.75

Augnablik Kopavogur1.71

1X2

59% 19% 22%

KV Vesturbaer Draw Augnablik Kopavogur

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

KV Vesturbaer 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Augnablik Kopavogur 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

KV Vesturbaer 1–1–4 Augnablik Kopavogur (6 last)

Augnablik Kopavogur5-3KV Vesturbaer
KV Vesturbaer4-4Augnablik Kopavogur
Augnablik Kopavogur3-1KV Vesturbaer
Augnablik Kopavogur2-0KV Vesturbaer
KV Vesturbaer0-3Augnablik Kopavogur
KV Vesturbaer4-1Augnablik Kopavogur

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KV Vesturbaer (rating 1543 vs 1441).
H2H favours Augnablik Kopavogur: 4-1-1.
High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KV Vesturbaer	Augnablik Kopavogur
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 2.4	1.4 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.5	0.3 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 6	2.8 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.87

Under 4.251.88

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 4.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Pinn 1.54
X	4.75 → 4.75	Pinn 4.96 ★
2	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 3.93

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
16:23 +17’	1.53	4.75	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:29 +3’	1.54	4.91	3.92
16:39 +1’	1.54▼	4.96▲	3.93▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · KV Vesturbaer 1–1–4 Augnablik Kopavogur

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/06/26 Iceland 3 Deild	Augnablik Kopavogur	5-3 HT 2-1	KV Vesturbaer
25/07/25 Iceland 3 Deild	KV Vesturbaer	4-4 HT 4-2	Augnablik Kopavogur
16/05/25 Iceland 3 Deild	Augnablik Kopavogur	3-1 HT 1-0	KV Vesturbaer
31/07/24 Iceland 3 Deild	Augnablik Kopavogur	2-0 HT 1-0	KV Vesturbaer
24/05/24 Iceland 3 Deild	KV Vesturbaer	0-3 HT 0-1	Augnablik Kopavogur
15/09/20 Iceland 3 Deild	KV Vesturbaer	4-1 HT 3-0	Augnablik Kopavogur

Standings · Iceland 3 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vidir Gardur	17	11	3	3	43	17	36
2	Reynir Sandgerdi	17	11	2	4	52	33	35
3	KH Hlidarendi	17	10	4	3	50	22	34
4	Tindastoll	17	11	1	5	43	30	34
5	KV Vesturbaer	17	9	2	6	49	46	29
6	Hottur/Huginn	17	5	7	5	24	26	22
7	KF Fjallabyggd	17	5	7	5	23	28	22
8	Augnablik Kopavogur	17	5	3	9	34	40	18
9	Sindri	17	5	2	10	28	41	17
10	Ymir Kopavogur	17	4	4	9	25	37	16
11	KA Asvellir	17	5	1	11	27	54	16
12	FC Arbaer	17	2	2	13	23	47	8

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KV Vesturbaer	Augnablik Kopavogur
Tindastoll	2-3 L	1-2 L
KF Fjallabyggd	4-4 D	1-3 L
Reynir Sandgerdi	6-3 W	2-3 L
Hottur/Huginn	1-1 D	1-4 L
FC Arbaer	2-0 W	2-4 L
KA Asvellir	3-1 W	2-3 L
Ymir Kopavogur	3-2 W	3-1 W
Vidir Gardur	5-3 W	0-0 D
Sindri	3-2 W	1-0 W
KH Hlidarendi	1-5 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	6 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: KV Vesturbaer (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KV Vesturbaer

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
08/08	KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild	2-4	4-4	7	5	D
29/07	Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild	1-2	6-3	7	2	W
25/07	Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
17/07	FC Arbaer Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
10/07	KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild	1-1	3-1	4	3	W
02/07	Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	3-2	2	5	W
26/06	Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild	3-1	5-3	–	–	W
20/06	Sindri Iceland 3 Deild	1-2	3-2	8	2	W
15/06	KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild	0-2	1-5	8	3	L

Augnablik Kopavogur

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild	0-3	2-3	3	5	L
08/08	Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
29/07	FC Arbaer Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	2-4	–	–	L
23/07	KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild	0-3	2-3	–	–	L
17/07	Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
13/07	Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
04/07	Sindri Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
26/06	KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild	1-1	1-3	7	4	L
20/06	KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild	1-1	1-3	13	4	L
14/06	Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	1-2	5	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KV Vesturbaer vs Augnablik Kopavogur?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KV Vesturbaer win (59%). Probabilities: KV Vesturbaer 59%, draw 19%, Augnablik Kopavogur 22%.

How many goals are expected in KV Vesturbaer vs Augnablik Kopavogur?

The model expects 4.46 goals (KV Vesturbaer 2.75 · Augnablik Kopavogur 1.71), with a 51% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in KV Vesturbaer vs Augnablik Kopavogur?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.