Football · Iceland 3 Deild · 23/08, 18:00

Prediction: Augnablik Kopavogur vs Tindastoll

Team pages: Augnablik Kopavogur · Tindastoll

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.89Total

Augnablik Kopavogur1.63

Tindastoll2.26

1X2

27% 21% 52%

Augnablik Kopavogur Draw Tindastoll

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

Augnablik Kopavogur 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWDWLLLLW

Tindastoll 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWLLWD

Head-to-head

Augnablik Kopavogur 2–1–3 Tindastoll (6 last)

Tindastoll2-1Augnablik Kopavogur
Tindastoll3-1Augnablik Kopavogur
Augnablik Kopavogur4-1Tindastoll
Augnablik Kopavogur2-4Tindastoll
Tindastoll1-1Augnablik Kopavogur
Augnablik Kopavogur4-0Tindastoll

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Augnablik Kopavogur 1455 · Tindastoll 1525

	Augnablik Kopavogur	Draw	Tindastoll
Our model	27%	22%	51%
Market	28%	21%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 3.89 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tindastoll (rating 1455 vs 1525).
H2H favours Tindastoll: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Augnablik Kopavogur	Tindastoll
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.1	2.4 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.8	3.3 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.2	4.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.25

X4.33

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.90

2 (-0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.80

Under 3.752.00

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Pinn 3.57 ★
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:37 +2’	3.25	4.33	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:25 +12’	3.57	4.14	1.71

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Augnablik Kopavogur 2–1–3 Tindastoll

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 Iceland 3 Deild	Tindastoll	2-1 HT 1-0	Augnablik Kopavogur
10/08/25 Iceland 3 Deild	Tindastoll	3-1 HT 1-0	Augnablik Kopavogur
31/05/25 Iceland 3 Deild	Augnablik Kopavogur	4-1 HT 3-0	Tindastoll
05/08/21 Iceland 3 Deild	Augnablik Kopavogur	2-4 HT 1-3	Tindastoll
29/05/21 Iceland 3 Deild	Tindastoll	1-1	Augnablik Kopavogur
27/02/21 Iceland League Cup	Augnablik Kopavogur	4-0 HT 0-0	Tindastoll

Standings · Iceland 3 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vidir Gardur	18	12	3	3	47	19	39
2	Reynir Sandgerdi	18	11	3	4	54	35	36
3	KH Hlidarendi	18	10	5	3	52	24	35
4	Tindastoll	18	11	2	5	44	31	35
5	KV Vesturbaer	18	9	2	7	49	47	29
6	KF Fjallabyggd	18	5	8	5	24	29	23
7	Hottur/Huginn	18	5	7	6	25	29	22
8	Augnablik Kopavogur	18	6	3	9	35	40	21
9	Sindri	18	6	2	10	31	42	20
10	KA Asvellir	18	6	1	11	32	56	19
11	Ymir Kopavogur	18	4	4	10	27	42	16
12	FC Arbaer	18	2	2	14	25	51	8

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Augnablik Kopavogur	Tindastoll
KV Vesturbaer	1-0 W	3-2 W
Reynir Sandgerdi	2-3 L	0-5 L
Hottur/Huginn	1-4 L	2-3 L
FC Arbaer	2-4 L	4-0 W
KA Asvellir	2-3 L	7-3 W
Ymir Kopavogur	3-1 W	2-1 W
Vidir Gardur	0-0 D	0-3 L
Sindri	1-0 W	4-2 W
KH Hlidarendi	1-3 L	1-2 L
KF Fjallabyggd	1-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 6 L	5 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Tindastoll (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Augnablik Kopavogur

LLWDWLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/08	KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
15/08	Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild	0-3	2-3	3	5	L
08/08	Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
29/07	FC Arbaer Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	2-4	–	–	L
23/07	KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild	0-3	2-3	–	–	L
17/07	Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
13/07	Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
04/07	Sindri Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
26/06	KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild	1-1	1-3	7	4	L
20/06	KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild	1-1	1-3	13	4	L

Tindastoll

LWLWWWLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/08	KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	1-1	9	5	D
15/08	KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
07/08	Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	0-5	7	2	L
28/07	Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
25/07	FC Arbaer Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
17/07	KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild	3-0	7-3	6	6	W
12/07	Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	2-1	7	6	W
04/07	Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	0-3	3	7	L
25/06	Sindri Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	4-2	9	2	W
19/06	KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	1-2	7	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Augnablik Kopavogur vs Tindastoll?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Tindastoll win (52%). Probabilities: Augnablik Kopavogur 27%, draw 21%, Tindastoll 52%.

How many goals are expected in Augnablik Kopavogur vs Tindastoll?

The model expects 3.89 goals (Augnablik Kopavogur 1.63 · Tindastoll 2.26), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Augnablik Kopavogur vs Tindastoll?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.