Football · Iceland 3 Deild · 23/08, 20:00

Prediction: FC Arbaer vs Ymir Kopavogur

Team pages: FC Arbaer · Ymir Kopavogur

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.92Total

FC Arbaer2.19

Ymir Kopavogur1.72

1X2

48% 22% 30%

FC Arbaer Draw Ymir Kopavogur

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Arbaer 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LDLLLLWLLL

Ymir Kopavogur 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LDLLLWLLDL

Head-to-head

FC Arbaer 4–0 Ymir Kopavogur (4 last)

Ymir Kopavogur0-2FC Arbaer
FC Arbaer3-1Ymir Kopavogur
Ymir Kopavogur1-2FC Arbaer
FC Arbaer3-1Ymir Kopavogur

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Arbaer: 4-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Arbaer	Ymir Kopavogur
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.8	1.4 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 1.1	0.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/20/70%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.2	2 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.2	4.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.90

Under 4.251.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 4.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:12

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Pinn 2.75
X	4.01 → 4.01	Pinn 4.01
2	2.03 → 2.03	Pinn 2.03

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
06:11 +1’	2.75	4.01	2.03

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Arbaer 4–0–0 Ymir Kopavogur

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
30/08/25 Iceland 3 Deild	Ymir Kopavogur	0-2 HT 0-0	FC Arbaer
19/06/25 Iceland 3 Deild	FC Arbaer	3-1 HT 1-0	Ymir Kopavogur
23/07/23 Iceland 3 Deild	Ymir Kopavogur	1-2 HT 0-0	FC Arbaer
06/05/23 Iceland 3 Deild	FC Arbaer	3-1 HT 2-1	Ymir Kopavogur

Standings · Iceland 3 Deild

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vidir Gardur	18	12	3	3	47	19	39
2	Reynir Sandgerdi	18	11	3	4	54	35	36
3	KH Hlidarendi	18	10	5	3	52	24	35
4	Tindastoll	18	11	2	5	44	31	35
5	KV Vesturbaer	18	9	2	7	49	47	29
6	KF Fjallabyggd	18	5	8	5	24	29	23
7	Hottur/Huginn	18	5	7	6	25	29	22
8	Augnablik Kopavogur	18	6	3	9	35	40	21
9	Sindri	18	6	2	10	31	42	20
10	KA Asvellir	18	6	1	11	32	56	19
11	Ymir Kopavogur	18	4	4	10	27	42	16
12	FC Arbaer	18	2	2	14	25	51	8

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Arbaer	Ymir Kopavogur
Vidir Gardur	2-4 L	1-5 L
Sindri	2-5 L	1-3 L
KH Hlidarendi	1-2 L	1-0 W
Augnablik Kopavogur	4-2 W	1-3 L
Tindastoll	0-4 L	1-2 L
KV Vesturbaer	0-2 L	2-3 L
Reynir Sandgerdi	1-3 L	2-2 D
Hottur/Huginn	0-2 L	2-3 L
KF Fjallabyggd	2-2 D	1-1 D
KA Asvellir	1-2 L	2-5 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 8 L	1 W 2 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Ymir Kopavogur (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Arbaer

LDLLLLWLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/08	Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild	0-3	2-4	4	3	L
15/08	Sindri Iceland 3 Deild	0-2	2-5	–	–	L
08/08	KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
29/07	Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	4-2	–	–	W
25/07	Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	0-4	–	–	L
17/07	KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
13/07	Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild	0-2	1-3	9	4	L
04/07	Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	0-2	6	6	L
27/06	KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	2-2	1	1	D
19/06	KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	1-2	1	4	L

Ymir Kopavogur

LDLLLWLLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/08	KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild	0-2	2-5	11	5	L
15/08	KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	1-1	2	7	D
11/08	Sindri Iceland 3 Deild	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
08/08	Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild	0-2	1-5	0	2	L
24/07	KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
17/07	Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
12/07	Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	1-2	0	6	L
02/07	KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	2-3	9	5	L
28/06	Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild	2-1	2-2	2	2	D
21/06	Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild	1-1	2-3	3	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Arbaer vs Ymir Kopavogur?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Arbaer win (48%). Probabilities: FC Arbaer 48%, draw 22%, Ymir Kopavogur 30%.

How many goals are expected in FC Arbaer vs Ymir Kopavogur?

The model expects 3.92 goals (FC Arbaer 2.19 · Ymir Kopavogur 1.72), with a 55% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Arbaer vs Ymir Kopavogur?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.