Football · Iceland 3 Deild · 23/08, 16:00

Prediction: KA Asvellir vs KF Fjallabyggd

Team pages: KA Asvellir · KF Fjallabyggd

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.03Total

KA Asvellir2.05

KF Fjallabyggd1.98

1X2

40% 22% 38%

KA Asvellir Draw KF Fjallabyggd

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

KA Asvellir 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WDLLLWLWLW

KF Fjallabyggd 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WDWDWLLDDD

Head-to-head

KA Asvellir 0–1 KF Fjallabyggd (1 last)

KF Fjallabyggd2-1KA Asvellir

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KF Fjallabyggd (rating 1465 vs 1510).
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KA Asvellir	KF Fjallabyggd
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 3.5	1.4 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.4	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.3	4.3 / 7.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.5	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 41.82

Under 41.94

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 4.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:08

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Pinn 2.90
X	4.04 → 4.04	Pinn 4.04
2	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 1.95

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
06:08	2.90	4.04	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · KA Asvellir 0–0–1 KF Fjallabyggd

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/06/26 Iceland 3 Deild	KF Fjallabyggd	2-1 HT 2-0	KA Asvellir

Standings · Iceland 3 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vidir Gardur	18	12	3	3	47	19	39
2	Reynir Sandgerdi	18	11	3	4	54	35	36
3	KH Hlidarendi	18	10	5	3	52	24	35
4	Tindastoll	18	11	2	5	44	31	35
5	KV Vesturbaer	18	9	2	7	49	47	29
6	KF Fjallabyggd	18	5	8	5	24	29	23
7	Hottur/Huginn	18	5	7	6	25	29	22
8	Augnablik Kopavogur	18	6	3	9	35	40	21
9	Sindri	18	6	2	10	31	42	20
10	KA Asvellir	18	6	1	11	32	56	19
11	Ymir Kopavogur	18	4	4	10	27	42	16
12	FC Arbaer	18	2	2	14	25	51	8

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KA Asvellir	KF Fjallabyggd
Ymir Kopavogur	5-2 W	1-1 D
Vidir Gardur	0-4 L	0-5 L
Sindri	2-1 W	2-0 W
KH Hlidarendi	0-7 L	1-0 W
Augnablik Kopavogur	3-2 W	3-1 W
Tindastoll	3-7 L	1-1 D
KV Vesturbaer	1-3 L	4-4 D
Reynir Sandgerdi	2-7 L	0-3 L
Hottur/Huginn	1-1 D	0-0 D
FC Arbaer	2-1 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 5 L	3 W 5 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: KF Fjallabyggd (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KA Asvellir

WDLLLWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/08	Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	2-0	5-2	4	5	W
14/08	Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild	0-2	0-4	1	2	L
08/08	Sindri Iceland 3 Deild	2-0	2-1	2	7	W
29/07	KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild	0-4	0-7	–	–	L
23/07	Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	3-0	3-2	–	–	W
17/07	Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild	0-3	3-7	6	6	L
10/07	KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild	1-1	1-3	3	3	L
03/07	Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild	0-4	2-7	–	–	L
27/06	Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
19/06	FC Arbaer Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	2-1	4	4	W

KF Fjallabyggd

WDWDWLLDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/08	Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
15/08	Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	1-1	6	7	D
08/08	KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild	4-2	4-4	9	5	D
29/07	Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	0-5	–	–	L
25/07	Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild	0-2	0-3	10	1	L
18/07	Sindri Iceland 3 Deild	2-0	2-0	10	3	W
12/07	Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
04/07	KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
27/06	FC Arbaer Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	2-2	12	1	D
20/06	Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	1-1	3-1	2	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KA Asvellir vs KF Fjallabyggd?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KA Asvellir win (40%). Probabilities: KA Asvellir 40%, draw 22%, KF Fjallabyggd 38%.

How many goals are expected in KA Asvellir vs KF Fjallabyggd?

The model expects 4.03 goals (KA Asvellir 2.05 · KF Fjallabyggd 1.98), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in KA Asvellir vs KF Fjallabyggd?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.