Football · Iceland 3 Deild · 15/08, 16:00

Prediction: KH Hlidarendi vs Hottur/Huginn

Team pages: KH Hlidarendi · Hottur/Huginn

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.23Total

KH Hlidarendi1.9

Hottur/Huginn1.33

1X2

50% 25% 26%

KH Hlidarendi Draw Hottur/Huginn

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

KH Hlidarendi 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Hottur/Huginn 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

KH Hlidarendi 1–1–1 Hottur/Huginn (3 last)

Hottur/Huginn1-1KH Hlidarendi
Hottur/Huginn2-0KH Hlidarendi
KH Hlidarendi1-0Hottur/Huginn

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KH Hlidarendi 1556 · Hottur/Huginn 1532

	KH Hlidarendi	Draw	Hottur/Huginn
Our model	50%	24%	26%
Market	50%	25%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.23 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KH Hlidarendi	Hottur/Huginn
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1.2	1.7 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 7.1	0.5 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.6	5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.60

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.80▲	Pinn 1.91 ★
X	3.75 → 3.60▼	Pinn 3.70
2	4.00 → 3.50▼	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
19:53 +2’	1.67	3.75	4.00
01:04 +30’	1.80▲	3.60▼	3.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:32 +2’	1.91	3.69	3.21
14:34 +17’	1.91	3.70▲	3.21

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · KH Hlidarendi 1–1–1 Hottur/Huginn

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Iceland 3 Deild	Hottur/Huginn	1-1 HT 1-1	KH Hlidarendi
21/09/19 Iceland 3 Deild	Hottur/Huginn	2-0	KH Hlidarendi
11/07/19 Iceland 3 Deild	KH Hlidarendi	1-0 HT 0-0	Hottur/Huginn

Standings · Iceland 3 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vidir Gardur	17	11	3	3	43	17	36
2	Reynir Sandgerdi	16	10	2	4	49	31	32
3	KH Hlidarendi	16	9	4	3	46	21	31
4	Tindastoll	16	10	1	5	40	28	31
5	KV Vesturbaer	16	9	2	5	47	43	29
6	Hottur/Huginn	16	5	7	4	23	22	22
7	KF Fjallabyggd	16	5	6	5	22	27	21
8	Augnablik Kopavogur	16	5	3	8	32	37	18
9	KA Asvellir	17	5	1	11	27	54	16
10	Ymir Kopavogur	16	4	3	9	24	36	15
11	Sindri	16	4	2	10	23	39	14
12	FC Arbaer	16	2	2	12	21	42	8

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KH Hlidarendi	Hottur/Huginn
FC Arbaer	2-1 W	2-0 W
KA Asvellir	7-0 W	1-1 D
Ymir Kopavogur	0-1 L	3-2 W
Vidir Gardur	1-1 D	1-2 L
Sindri	5-3 W	2-2 D
Reynir Sandgerdi	2-2 D	0-4 L
KF Fjallabyggd	0-1 L	0-0 D
Augnablik Kopavogur	3-1 W	4-1 W
Tindastoll	2-1 W	3-2 W
KV Vesturbaer	5-1 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	6 W 2 D 2 L	4 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: KH Hlidarendi (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

KH Hlidarendi

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	FC Arbaer Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
29/07	KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild	4-0	7-0	–	–	W
24/07	Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
17/07	Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild	1-1	1-1	4	6	D
12/07	Sindri Iceland 3 Deild	3-2	5-3	–	–	W
08/07	Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland Lower League Cup	2-0	2-2	6	9	D
04/07	KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	0-1	19	4	L
26/06	Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	1-1	3-1	4	4	W
19/06	Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	2-1	3	6	W
15/06	KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild	2-0	5-1	8	3	W

Hottur/Huginn

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	4-1	–	–	W
28/07	Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
25/07	KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
18/07	Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild	0-3	0-4	–	–	L
12/07	KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
04/07	FC Arbaer Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	2-0	3	6	W
27/06	KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
21/06	Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	1-1	3-2	4	4	W
14/06	Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
10/06	Sindri Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KH Hlidarendi vs Hottur/Huginn?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KH Hlidarendi win (50%). Probabilities: KH Hlidarendi 50%, draw 25%, Hottur/Huginn 26%.

How many goals are expected in KH Hlidarendi vs Hottur/Huginn?

The model expects 3.23 goals (KH Hlidarendi 1.9 · Hottur/Huginn 1.33), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in KH Hlidarendi vs Hottur/Huginn?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.