Football · Iceland 3 Deild · 08/08, 17:00

Prediction: KF Fjallabyggd vs KV Vesturbaer

Team pages: KF Fjallabyggd · KV Vesturbaer

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.46Total

KF Fjallabyggd2

KV Vesturbaer2.46

1X2

32% 20% 48%

KF Fjallabyggd Draw KV Vesturbaer

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 64%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

KF Fjallabyggd 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWDWDWLL

KV Vesturbaer 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWWWDW

Head-to-head

KF Fjallabyggd 2–1–3 KV Vesturbaer (6 last)

KV Vesturbaer5-3KF Fjallabyggd
KF Fjallabyggd2-1KV Vesturbaer
KV Vesturbaer1-1KF Fjallabyggd
KV Vesturbaer0-4KF Fjallabyggd
KF Fjallabyggd0-1KV Vesturbaer
KV Vesturbaer3-2KF Fjallabyggd

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KF Fjallabyggd 1516 · KV Vesturbaer 1551

	KF Fjallabyggd	Draw	KV Vesturbaer
Our model	31%	20%	48%
Market	32%	20%	48%

Estimated total (ours) 4.46 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours KV Vesturbaer: 3-1-2.
High corners: 13.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KF Fjallabyggd	KV Vesturbaer
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.3	2.8 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	0.8 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 6.8	2.7 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.2	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.80

X4.50

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.90

2 (-0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 4.51.93

Under 4.51.88

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.80▼	Bet365 2.80
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.83 → 1.83	Pinn 2.19 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.5% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
09:26 +3’	2.88	4.50	1.83
14:48 +13’	2.80▼	4.50	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:23 +3’	2.55	3.90	2.19

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · KF Fjallabyggd 2–1–3 KV Vesturbaer

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Iceland 3 Deild	KV Vesturbaer	5-3 HT 2-0	KF Fjallabyggd
30/07/25 Iceland 3 Deild	KF Fjallabyggd	2-1 HT 2-0	KV Vesturbaer
24/05/25 Iceland 3 Deild	KV Vesturbaer	1-1 HT 0-0	KF Fjallabyggd
12/08/23 Iceland 2 Deild	KV Vesturbaer	0-4 HT 0-4	KF Fjallabyggd
03/06/23 Iceland 2 Deild	KF Fjallabyggd	0-1	KV Vesturbaer
22/08/21 Iceland 2 Deild	KV Vesturbaer	3-2 HT 2-2	KF Fjallabyggd

Standings · Iceland 3 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tindastoll	15	10	1	4	40	23	31
2	Vidir Gardur	15	9	3	3	34	16	30
3	Reynir Sandgerdi	15	9	2	4	44	31	29
4	KH Hlidarendi	15	8	4	3	44	20	28
5	KV Vesturbaer	15	9	1	5	43	39	28
6	KF Fjallabyggd	15	5	5	5	18	23	20
7	Hottur/Huginn	15	4	7	4	19	21	19
8	Augnablik Kopavogur	15	5	3	7	31	33	18
9	Ymir Kopavogur	14	4	3	7	22	28	15
10	KA Asvellir	15	4	1	10	25	49	13
11	Sindri	14	3	2	9	19	36	11
12	FC Arbaer	15	2	2	11	20	40	8

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KF Fjallabyggd	KV Vesturbaer
Vidir Gardur	0-5 L	5-3 W
Reynir Sandgerdi	0-3 L	6-3 W
Sindri	2-0 W	3-2 W
Hottur/Huginn	0-0 D	1-1 D
KH Hlidarendi	1-0 W	1-5 L
FC Arbaer	2-2 D	2-0 W
Augnablik Kopavogur	3-1 W	3-5 L
KA Asvellir	2-1 W	3-1 W
Tindastoll	3-1 W	1-4 L
Ymir Kopavogur	0-0 D	3-2 W
Record vs common	5 W 3 D 2 L	6 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: KV Vesturbaer (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KF Fjallabyggd

DWWWDWDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/07	Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	0-5	–	–	L
25/07	Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild	0-2	0-3	10	1	L
18/07	Sindri Iceland 3 Deild	2-0	2-0	10	3	W
12/07	Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
04/07	KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
27/06	FC Arbaer Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	2-2	12	1	D
20/06	Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	1-1	3-1	2	4	W
14/06	KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
10/06	Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild	2-1	3-1	1	2	W
06/06	Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

KV Vesturbaer

LLLWWWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/07	Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild	1-2	6-3	7	2	W
25/07	Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
17/07	FC Arbaer Iceland 3 Deild	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
10/07	KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild	1-1	3-1	4	3	W
02/07	Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	1-0	3-2	2	5	W
26/06	Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild	3-1	5-3	–	–	W
20/06	Sindri Iceland 3 Deild	1-2	3-2	8	2	W
15/06	KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild	0-2	1-5	8	3	L
10/06	Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild	1-2	3-5	9	10	L
06/06	Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild	0-1	1-4	8	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KF Fjallabyggd vs KV Vesturbaer?

According to our model, the most likely result is an KV Vesturbaer win (48%). Probabilities: KF Fjallabyggd 32%, draw 20%, KV Vesturbaer 48%.

How many goals are expected in KF Fjallabyggd vs KV Vesturbaer?

The model expects 4.46 goals (KF Fjallabyggd 2 · KV Vesturbaer 2.46), with a 52% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in KF Fjallabyggd vs KV Vesturbaer?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.