Prediction: FC Arbaer vs Hottur/Huginn
Expected goals: 3.6 (FC Arbaer 1.36 · Hottur/Huginn 2.24). The model gives 22% home, 21% draw, 57% away. Under 3.75 goals (53%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-2.
Recent form leaves FC Arbaer with 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses over 10 games; Hottur/Huginn has piled up 2-5-3 in the same span.
| FC Arbaer | Draw | Hottur/Huginn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 22% | 56% |
| Market | 22% | 21% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hottur/Huginn (rating 1423 vs 1489).
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Arbaer | Hottur/Huginn | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 3.1 | 1.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.5 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/10/70% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.8 | 2.3 / 8.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0 |
Standings · Iceland 3 Deild
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tindastoll | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Vidir Gardur | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 | KH Hlidarendi | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 14 | 21 |
| 4 | KV Vesturbaer | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 34 | 18 |
| 5 | Reynir Sandgerdi | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 22 | 17 |
| 6 | KF Fjallabyggd | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 13 |
| 7 | Ymir Kopavogur | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 23 | 12 |
| 8 | Hottur/Huginn | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 11 |
| 9 | Augnablik Kopavogur | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 25 | 11 |
| 10 | KA Asvellir | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 10 |
| 11 | Sindri | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 8 |
| 12 | FC Arbaer | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 27 | 5 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Arbaer | Hottur/Huginn |
|---|---|---|
| KF Fjallabyggd | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| KA Asvellir | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Vidir Gardur | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Sindri | 1-4 L | 2-2 D |
| KH Hlidarendi | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Augnablik Kopavogur | 3-3 D | 0-3 L |
| Tindastoll | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| KV Vesturbaer | 4-3 W | 1-2 L |
| Reynir Sandgerdi | 1-3 L | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 6 L | 1 W 5 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Hottur/Huginn (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Arbaer
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 19/06 | KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 10/06 | Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | Sindri Iceland 3 Deild |
1-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 01/06 | KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild |
0-3 | 0-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild |
2-1 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild |
2-1 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/04 | KF Aegir Iceland Cup |
1-2 | 1-7 | 2 | 1 | L |
Hottur/Huginn
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 21/06 | Ymir Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/06 | Sindri Iceland 3 Deild |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 06/06 | KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 31/05 | Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild |
0-2 | 0-3 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Arbaer vs Hottur/Huginn?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Hottur/Huginn win (57%). Probabilities: FC Arbaer 22%, draw 21%, Hottur/Huginn 57%.
How many goals are expected in FC Arbaer vs Hottur/Huginn?
The model expects 3.6 goals (FC Arbaer 1.36 · Hottur/Huginn 2.24), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Arbaer vs Hottur/Huginn?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.