Football · Iceland 3 Deild · 04/07, 18:00

Prediction: KH Hlidarendi vs KF Fjallabyggd

Expected goals: 3.92 (KH Hlidarendi 2.47 · KF Fjallabyggd 1.45). The model gives 60% home, 19% draw, 21% away. Under 4 goals (52%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 2-1.

Recent form leaves KH Hlidarendi with 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses over 10 games; KF Fjallabyggd has piled up 3-4-3 in the same span. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for KH Hlidarendi and 2 for KF Fjallabyggd.

60%1
60% 19% 21%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KH Hlidarendi 1585 · KF Fjallabyggd 1510
KH HlidarendiDrawKF Fjallabyggd
Our model59%20%21%
Market60%19%21%
Estimated total (ours) 3.92 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.92KH Hlidarendi 2.47 · KF Fjallabyggd 1.45
Over / Under 4Under 4 · 52%
BTTSYes · 60%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KH Hlidarendi (rating 1585 vs 1510).
  • H2H favours KF Fjallabyggd: 2-0-0.
  • High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

KH HlidarendiKF Fjallabyggd
Goals for / against (FT)3.2 / 1.41.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)1.6 / 0.60.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/40/10%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 5.43.7 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.33.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · KH Hlidarendi 002 KF Fjallabyggd

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/07/19
Iceland 3 Deild
KH Hlidarendi0-1
HT 0-1
KF Fjallabyggd
18/05/19
Iceland 3 Deild
KF Fjallabyggd5-1KH Hlidarendi

Standings · Iceland 3 Deild

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Tindastoll 10712 251322
2 Vidir Gardur 10712 251422
3 KH Hlidarendi 10631 311421
4 KV Vesturbaer 11605 313418
5 Reynir Sandgerdi 10523 242217
6 KF Fjallabyggd 10343 151513
7 Ymir Kopavogur 11335 192312
8 Hottur/Huginn 10253 131411
9 Augnablik Kopavogur 10325 232511
10 KA Asvellir 10316 162310
11 Sindri 10226 15288
12 FC Arbaer 10127 15275

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKH HlidarendiKF Fjallabyggd
Augnablik Kopavogur 3-1 W 3-1 W
Tindastoll 2-1 W 3-1 W
KV Vesturbaer 5-1 W 3-5 L
Reynir Sandgerdi 2-2 D 0-2 L
Hottur/Huginn 1-1 D 0-0 D
FC Arbaer 3-0 W 2-2 D
KA Asvellir 4-1 W 2-1 W
Ymir Kopavogur 2-2 D 0-0 D
Sindri 6-1 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 6 W 3 D 0 L 3 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: KH Hlidarendi (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KH Hlidarendi

DWDWWDDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/06 Augnablik Kopavogur
Iceland 3 Deild
1-1 3-1 44 W
19/06 Tindastoll
Iceland 3 Deild
0-1 2-1 36 W
15/06 KV Vesturbaer
Iceland 3 Deild
2-0 5-1 83 W
10/06 Reynir Sandgerdi
Iceland 3 Deild
1-1 2-2 75 D
06/06 Hottur/Huginn
Iceland 3 Deild
1-1 1-1 D
01/06 FC Arbaer
Iceland 3 Deild
3-0 3-0 36 W
22/05 KA Asvellir
Iceland 3 Deild
3-0 4-1 W
15/05 Ymir Kopavogur
Iceland 3 Deild
1-1 2-2 112 D
02/05 Sindri
Iceland 3 Deild
2-0 6-1 42 W
13/04 Hviti Riddarinn
Iceland League Cup B
2-1 4-4 37 D

KF Fjallabyggd

DDLLLDWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 FC Arbaer
Iceland 3 Deild
1-0 2-2 121 D
20/06 Augnablik Kopavogur
Iceland 3 Deild
1-1 3-1 24 W
14/06 KA Asvellir
Iceland 3 Deild
2-0 2-1 W
10/06 Tindastoll
Iceland 3 Deild
2-1 3-1 12 W
06/06 Ymir Kopavogur
Iceland 3 Deild
0-0 0-0 D
30/05 KV Vesturbaer
Iceland 3 Deild
0-2 3-5 76 L
24/05 Vidir Gardur
Iceland 3 Deild
0-1 1-2 76 L
16/05 Reynir Sandgerdi
Iceland 3 Deild
0-1 0-2 54 L
09/05 Sindri
Iceland 3 Deild
1-0 1-1 D
02/05 Hottur/Huginn
Iceland 3 Deild
0-0 0-0 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KH Hlidarendi vs KF Fjallabyggd?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KH Hlidarendi win (60%). Probabilities: KH Hlidarendi 60%, draw 19%, KF Fjallabyggd 21%.

How many goals are expected in KH Hlidarendi vs KF Fjallabyggd?

The model expects 3.92 goals (KH Hlidarendi 2.47 · KF Fjallabyggd 1.45), with a 52% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in KH Hlidarendi vs KF Fjallabyggd?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.