Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 12/07, 16:00
Prediction: Kari vs Fjardabyggd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.24Total
Kari2.37
Fjardabyggd1.87
1X2
Kari
Draw
Fjardabyggd
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Kari
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Fjardabyggd
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kari
3–1–2
Fjardabyggd
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kari 1520 · Fjardabyggd 1481
| Kari | Draw | Fjardabyggd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 21% | 30% |
| Market | 49% | 21% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.24 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Kari: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kari | Fjardabyggd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.9 | 2.3 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 1.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 6.4 | 1.9 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kari 3–1–2 Fjardabyggd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Iceland 2 Deild | Fjardabyggd | 2-4 HT 1-1 | Kari |
| 23/08/25 Iceland 2 Deild | Fjardabyggd | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Kari |
| 14/06/25 Iceland 2 Deild | Kari | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Fjardabyggd |
| 18/08/21 Iceland 2 Deild | Fjardabyggd | 2-0 | Kari |
| 12/06/21 Iceland 2 Deild | Kari | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Fjardabyggd |
| 27/09/20 Iceland 2 Deild | Kari | 5-2 HT 2-2 | Fjardabyggd |
Standings · Iceland 2 Deild
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haukar | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 14 | 23 |
| 2 | Dalvik/Reynir | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 20 |
| 3 | UMF Selfoss | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 22 | 19 |
| 4 | Kari | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 29 | 20 | 17 |
| 5 | Kormakur/Hvot | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 16 |
| 6 | Fjolnir | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 15 |
| 7 | Vikingur Olafsvik | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 23 | 14 |
| 8 | Fjardabyggd | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 22 | 13 |
| 9 | Hviti Riddarinn | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 19 | 12 |
| 10 | KFG Gardabaer | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 32 | 12 |
| 11 | Magni Grenivik | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 33 | 11 |
| 12 | Throttur Vogar | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 10 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kari | Fjardabyggd |
|---|---|---|
| Haukar | 1-4 L | 2-3 L |
| Magni Grenivik | 1-1 D | 4-0 W |
| Throttur Vogar | 4-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Fjolnir | 2-2 D | 2-3 L |
| Vikingur Olafsvik | 3-3 D | 3-0 W |
| Dalvik/Reynir | 6-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Kormakur/Hvot | 1-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Hviti Riddarinn | 0-0 D | 3-4 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 4 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 5 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kari
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Haukar Iceland 2 Deild |
0-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 19/06 | Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 15/06 | Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 10/06 | UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 06/06 | Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild |
1-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 0 | D |
| 31/05 | Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild |
2-0 | 6-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 15/05 | Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild |
1-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
Fjardabyggd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 20/06 | Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 14/06 | Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild |
2-3 | 3-4 | 9 | 10 | L |
| 10/06 | Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 06/06 | KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild |
3-1 | 5-1 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Haukar Iceland 2 Deild |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild |
4-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 14/05 | Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Kari Iceland 2 Deild |
1-1 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kari vs Fjardabyggd?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kari win (49%). Probabilities: Kari 49%, draw 21%, Fjardabyggd 30%.
How many goals are expected in Kari vs Fjardabyggd?
The model expects 4.24 goals (Kari 2.37 · Fjardabyggd 1.87), with a 54% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Kari vs Fjardabyggd?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.