Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 17/07, 21:15

Prediction: KFG Gardabaer vs Kari

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.42Total
KFG Gardabaer1.88
Kari2.54
1X2
28% 20% 52%
KFG Gardabaer Draw Kari
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
KFG Gardabaer 4-0-6 (W-D-L)
WLWLWWLLLL
Kari 2-6-2 (W-D-L)
DLWDDDWDLD
Head-to-head
KFG Gardabaer 1–1–4 Kari (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KFG Gardabaer 1439 · Kari 1519
KFG GardabaerDrawKari
Our model28%20%52%
Market28%20%52%
Estimated total (ours) 4.42 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kari (rating 1439 vs 1519).
  • H2H favours Kari: 4-1-1.
  • High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

KFG GardabaerKari
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 32.2 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 1.80.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/30/60%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.32.9 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.8 / 0.63.2 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · KFG Gardabaer 114 Kari

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/05/26
Iceland 2 Deild
Kari5-1
HT 4-0
KFG Gardabaer
17/08/25
Iceland 2 Deild
Kari4-3
HT 1-3
KFG Gardabaer
09/06/25
Iceland 2 Deild
KFG Gardabaer3-1
HT 1-0
Kari
19/08/22
Iceland 3 Deild
KFG Gardabaer2-2
HT 1-1
Kari
11/06/22
Iceland 3 Deild
Kari2-0
HT 0-0
KFG Gardabaer
30/08/19
Iceland 2 Deild
KFG Gardabaer1-3
HT 1-1
Kari

Standings · Iceland 2 Deild

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Haukar 12822 331626
2 Dalvik/Reynir 12624 221920
3 UMF Selfoss 12552 262420
4 Kari 12462 312218
5 Fjolnir 12534 302318
6 Kormakur/Hvot 12453 261417
7 Vikingur Olafsvik 12435 162315
8 Fjardabyggd 12426 292414
9 Throttur Vogar 12417 202413
10 Hviti Riddarinn 12273 172113
11 KFG Gardabaer 12408 173712
12 Magni Grenivik 12327 183811

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKFG GardabaerKari
Throttur Vogar 1-5 L 4-1 W
UMF Selfoss 2-3 L 2-2 D
Vikingur Olafsvik 0-1 L 3-3 D
Dalvik/Reynir 0-6 L 6-0 W
Kormakur/Hvot 3-2 W 1-4 L
Hviti Riddarinn 1-0 W 0-0 D
Fjardabyggd 1-5 L 2-2 D
Fjolnir 4-3 W 2-2 D
Haukar 0-4 L 1-4 L
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 6 L 2 W 5 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kari (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KFG Gardabaer

WLWLWWLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Throttur Vogar
Iceland 2 Deild
1-2 1-5 24 L
03/07 UMF Selfoss
Iceland 2 Deild
1-2 2-3 44 L
27/06 Vikingur Olafsvik
Iceland 2 Deild
0-0 0-1 45 L
20/06 Dalvik/Reynir
Iceland 2 Deild
0-5 0-6 96 L
14/06 Kormakur/Hvot
Iceland 2 Deild
2-2 3-2 32 W
10/06 Hviti Riddarinn
Iceland 2 Deild
0-0 1-0 25 W
06/06 Fjardabyggd
Iceland 2 Deild
1-3 1-5 26 L
01/06 Fjolnir
Iceland 2 Deild
1-2 4-3 67 W
21/05 Haukar
Iceland 2 Deild
0-2 0-4 610 L
09/05 Throttur Vogar
Iceland 2 Deild
1-0 3-1 55 W

Kari

DLWDDDWDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Fjardabyggd
Iceland 2 Deild
1-0 2-2 100 D
01/07 Haukar
Iceland 2 Deild
0-2 1-4 54 L
27/06 Magni Grenivik
Iceland 2 Deild
0-0 1-1 84 D
19/06 Throttur Vogar
Iceland 2 Deild
1-0 4-1 84 W
15/06 Fjolnir
Iceland 2 Deild
0-0 2-2 94 D
10/06 UMF Selfoss
Iceland 2 Deild
0-0 2-2 66 D
06/06 Vikingur Olafsvik
Iceland 2 Deild
1-2 3-3 90 D
31/05 Dalvik/Reynir
Iceland 2 Deild
2-0 6-0 13 W
23/05 Kormakur/Hvot
Iceland 2 Deild
1-1 1-4 44 L
15/05 Hviti Riddarinn
Iceland 2 Deild
0-0 0-0 84 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KFG Gardabaer vs Kari?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kari win (52%). Probabilities: KFG Gardabaer 28%, draw 20%, Kari 52%.

How many goals are expected in KFG Gardabaer vs Kari?

The model expects 4.42 goals (KFG Gardabaer 1.88 · Kari 2.54), with a 51% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in KFG Gardabaer vs Kari?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.