Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 17/07, 21:15
Prediction: Haukar vs Throttur Vogar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.78Total
Haukar2.59
Throttur Vogar1.19
1X2
Haukar
Draw
Throttur Vogar
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Haukar
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Throttur Vogar
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Haukar
0–6
Throttur Vogar
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Haukar 1572 · Throttur Vogar 1467
| Haukar | Draw | Throttur Vogar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 18% | 15% |
| Market | 67% | 17% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.78 goals · Bet365 line 3.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Haukar (rating 1572 vs 1467).
- H2H favours Throttur Vogar: 6-0-0.
- High corners: 13.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Haukar | Throttur Vogar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1.3 | 1.7 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.7 / 8.5 | 2.3 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.2 / 0.1 | 4.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Haukar 0–0–6 Throttur Vogar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 Iceland 2 Deild | Throttur Vogar | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Haukar |
| 23/08/25 Iceland 2 Deild | Haukar | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Throttur Vogar |
| 14/06/25 Iceland 2 Deild | Throttur Vogar | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Haukar |
| 14/09/24 Iceland 2 Deild | Throttur Vogar | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Haukar |
| 03/07/24 Iceland 2 Deild | Haukar | 3-5 HT 3-1 | Throttur Vogar |
| 29/04/24 Iceland League Cup B | Haukar | 2-3 HT 2-1 | Throttur Vogar |
Standings · Iceland 2 Deild
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haukar | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 33 | 16 | 26 |
| 2 | Dalvik/Reynir | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 20 |
| 3 | UMF Selfoss | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 24 | 20 |
| 4 | Kari | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 22 | 18 |
| 5 | Fjolnir | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 30 | 23 | 18 |
| 6 | Kormakur/Hvot | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 17 |
| 7 | Vikingur Olafsvik | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 23 | 15 |
| 8 | Fjardabyggd | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 14 |
| 9 | Throttur Vogar | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 24 | 13 |
| 10 | Hviti Riddarinn | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 21 | 13 |
| 11 | KFG Gardabaer | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 12 |
| 12 | Magni Grenivik | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 38 | 11 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Haukar | Throttur Vogar |
|---|---|---|
| Magni Grenivik | 5-2 W | 3-4 L |
| Kari | 4-1 W | 1-4 L |
| UMF Selfoss | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Vikingur Olafsvik | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Dalvik/Reynir | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Kormakur/Hvot | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Hviti Riddarinn | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Fjardabyggd | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| KFG Gardabaer | 4-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Fjolnir | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 7 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Haukar (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Haukar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild |
2-2 | 5-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 01/07 | Kari Iceland 2 Deild |
2-0 | 4-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 26/06 | UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 20/06 | Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 9 | W |
| 14/06 | Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild |
0-1 | 0-3 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 10/06 | Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild |
0-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 6 | D |
| 05/06 | Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild |
1-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild |
2-0 | 4-0 | 14 | 10 | W |
| 15/05 | Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
Throttur Vogar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild |
2-1 | 5-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild |
2-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 26/06 | Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild |
2-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 19/06 | Kari Iceland 2 Deild |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 15/06 | UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 10/06 | Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 06/06 | Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Haukar vs Throttur Vogar?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Haukar win (67%). Probabilities: Haukar 67%, draw 18%, Throttur Vogar 15%.
How many goals are expected in Haukar vs Throttur Vogar?
The model expects 3.78 goals (Haukar 2.59 · Throttur Vogar 1.19), with a 51% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Haukar vs Throttur Vogar?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.