Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 18/07, 18:00

Prediction: Magni Grenivik vs Fjolnir

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.35Total
Magni Grenivik1.55
Fjolnir2.8
1X2
19% 18% 63%
Magni Grenivik Draw Fjolnir
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Magni Grenivik 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LLDLLLWDWL
Fjolnir 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
LWLLWDLDDW
Head-to-head
Magni Grenivik 0–5 Fjolnir (5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Magni Grenivik 1440 · Fjolnir 1514
Magni GrenivikDrawFjolnir
Our model19%18%63%
Market19%18%63%
Estimated total (ours) 4.35 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fjolnir (rating 1440 vs 1514).
  • H2H favours Fjolnir: 5-0-0.
  • High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Magni GrenivikFjolnir
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 3.32.4 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 1.50.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 5.73.1 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.1 / 0.34.4 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Magni Grenivik 005 Fjolnir

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/05/26
Iceland 2 Deild
Fjolnir4-1
HT 2-1
Magni Grenivik
27/07/19
Iceland 1 Deild
Magni Grenivik1-3
HT 0-0
Fjolnir
18/05/19
Iceland 1 Deild
Fjolnir4-1
HT 2-0
Magni Grenivik
01/05/18
Iceland Cup
Magni Grenivik1-3
HT 1-0
Fjolnir
18/05/17
Iceland Cup
Magni Grenivik1-2
HT 1-1
Fjolnir

Standings · Iceland 2 Deild

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Haukar 12822 331626
2 Dalvik/Reynir 12624 221920
3 UMF Selfoss 12552 262420
4 Kari 12462 312218
5 Fjolnir 12534 302318
6 Kormakur/Hvot 12453 261417
7 Vikingur Olafsvik 12435 162315
8 Fjardabyggd 12426 292414
9 Throttur Vogar 12417 202413
10 Hviti Riddarinn 12273 172113
11 KFG Gardabaer 12408 173712
12 Magni Grenivik 12327 183811

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMagni GrenivikFjolnir
Haukar 2-5 L 1-3 L
Throttur Vogar 4-3 W 2-3 L
Kari 1-1 D 2-2 D
UMF Selfoss 4-1 W 2-3 L
Vikingur Olafsvik 1-3 L 5-1 W
Dalvik/Reynir 0-2 L 4-1 W
Kormakur/Hvot 1-7 L 1-1 D
Fjardabyggd 0-4 L 3-2 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 5 L 3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Fjolnir (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Magni Grenivik

LLDLLLWDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Haukar
Iceland 2 Deild
2-2 2-5 47 L
04/07 Throttur Vogar
Iceland 2 Deild
2-2 4-3 37 W
27/06 Kari
Iceland 2 Deild
0-0 1-1 34 D
20/06 UMF Selfoss
Iceland 2 Deild
0-0 4-1 105 W
14/06 Vikingur Olafsvik
Iceland 2 Deild
0-1 1-3 34 L
10/06 Dalvik/Reynir
Iceland 2 Deild
0-1 0-2 107 L
05/06 Kormakur/Hvot
Iceland 2 Deild
1-4 1-7 72 L
31/05 Hviti Riddarinn
Iceland 2 Deild
1-1 1-1 107 D
23/05 Fjardabyggd
Iceland 2 Deild
0-4 0-4 35 L
09/05 Haukar
Iceland 2 Deild
1-0 1-6 46 L

Fjolnir

LWLLWDLDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Dalvik/Reynir
Iceland 2 Deild
1-0 4-1 44 W
08/07 Alftanes
Iceland Lower League Cup
0-0 1-1 135 D
04/07 Kormakur/Hvot
Iceland 2 Deild
0-0 1-1 86 D
26/06 Throttur Vogar
Iceland 2 Deild
1-2 2-3 86 L
15/06 Kari
Iceland 2 Deild
0-0 2-2 74 D
10/06 Fjardabyggd
Iceland 2 Deild
0-1 3-2 61 W
06/06 UMF Selfoss
Iceland 2 Deild
0-1 2-3 114 L
01/06 KFG Gardabaer
Iceland 2 Deild
2-1 3-4 57 L
23/05 Vikingur Olafsvik
Iceland 2 Deild
2-1 5-1 22 W
15/05 Haukar
Iceland 2 Deild
0-0 1-3 56 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Magni Grenivik vs Fjolnir?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Fjolnir win (63%). Probabilities: Magni Grenivik 19%, draw 18%, Fjolnir 63%.

How many goals are expected in Magni Grenivik vs Fjolnir?

The model expects 4.35 goals (Magni Grenivik 1.55 · Fjolnir 2.8), with a 52% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Magni Grenivik vs Fjolnir?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.