Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 18/07, 19:00

Prediction: Kormakur/Hvot vs Dalvik/Reynir

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.22Total

Kormakur/Hvot1.76

Dalvik/Reynir1.46

1X2

44% 24% 32%

Kormakur/Hvot Draw Dalvik/Reynir

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Kormakur/Hvot 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

LWDWDLDWDD

Dalvik/Reynir 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DLWWWWWDWL

Head-to-head

Kormakur/Hvot 1–5 Dalvik/Reynir (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kormakur/Hvot 1520 · Dalvik/Reynir 1538

	Kormakur/Hvot	Draw	Dalvik/Reynir
Our model	44%	25%	31%
Market	45%	23%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Dalvik/Reynir: 5-0-1.
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kormakur/Hvot	Dalvik/Reynir
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.3	2.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.7	1.1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.1 / 6.6	2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.1	5.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.90

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.7

View on Bet365 ↗

Market odds journey

We have no recommendation published on this match: this is just how the market has moved at the two bookmakers we track. It's market data, not something we recommend.

We only show the match winner: it's the only market both bookmakers offer as exactly the same bet. On the goal line and the handicap each bookmaker uses its own line, so putting them side by side would mean comparing different bets.

Bet365 margin 11.4%

First time we saw it

1 2.00 X 3.90 2 2.80

The bookmaker moved it 10:07 We saw it 10:11 +4 min

Last check: 11:22. We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kormakur/Hvot 1–0–5 Dalvik/Reynir

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Iceland 2 Deild	Dalvik/Reynir	1-0 HT 0-0	Kormakur/Hvot
13/08/25 Iceland 2 Deild	Dalvik/Reynir	0-1 HT 0-1	Kormakur/Hvot
04/06/25 Iceland 2 Deild	Kormakur/Hvot	0-1 HT 0-1	Dalvik/Reynir
30/08/22 Iceland 3 Deild	Kormakur/Hvot	0-3	Dalvik/Reynir
16/06/22 Iceland 3 Deild	Dalvik/Reynir	4-2	Kormakur/Hvot
09/04/22 Iceland Cup	Kormakur/Hvot	0-3 HT 0-0	Dalvik/Reynir

Standings · Iceland 2 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haukar	12	8	2	2	33	16	26
2	Dalvik/Reynir	12	6	2	4	22	19	20
3	UMF Selfoss	12	5	5	2	26	24	20
4	Kari	12	4	6	2	31	22	18
5	Fjolnir	12	5	3	4	30	23	18
6	Kormakur/Hvot	12	4	5	3	26	14	17
7	Vikingur Olafsvik	12	4	3	5	16	23	15
8	Fjardabyggd	12	4	2	6	29	24	14
9	Throttur Vogar	12	4	1	7	20	24	13
10	Hviti Riddarinn	12	2	7	3	17	21	13
11	KFG Gardabaer	12	4	0	8	17	37	12
12	Magni Grenivik	12	3	2	7	18	38	11

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kormakur/Hvot	Dalvik/Reynir
Fjolnir	1-1 D	1-4 L
Hviti Riddarinn	4-0 W	3-3 D
Fjardabyggd	2-2 D	1-0 W
KFG Gardabaer	2-3 L	6-0 W
Haukar	2-2 D	3-0 W
Magni Grenivik	7-1 W	2-0 W
Throttur Vogar	1-1 D	1-0 W
Kari	4-1 W	0-6 L
UMF Selfoss	1-2 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 4 D 2 L	5 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Dalvik/Reynir (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Kormakur/Hvot

LWDWDLDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/07	Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
04/07	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-1	2	6	D
27/06	Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild	2-0	4-0	6	4	W
20/06	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
14/06	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	2-2	2-3	14	2	L
10/06	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	2-0	2-2	2	6	D
05/06	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	4-1	7-1	4	2	W
31/05	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
23/05	Kari Iceland 2 Deild	1-1	4-1	11	4	W
16/05	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	1-2	8	8	L

Dalvik/Reynir

DLWWWWWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/07	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	1-4	7	4	L
07/07	Hamar Hveragerdi Iceland Lower League Cup	1-0	2-1	9	4	W
03/07	Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild	2-1	3-3	8	4	D
27/06	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-0	3	9	W
20/06	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	5-0	6-0	0	6	W
14/06	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	3-0	1	6	W
10/06	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-0	5	7	W
06/06	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
31/05	Kari Iceland 2 Deild	0-2	0-6	2	3	L
23/05	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	1-2	2-2	10	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kormakur/Hvot vs Dalvik/Reynir?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kormakur/Hvot win (44%). Probabilities: Kormakur/Hvot 44%, draw 24%, Dalvik/Reynir 32%.

How many goals are expected in Kormakur/Hvot vs Dalvik/Reynir?

The model expects 3.22 goals (Kormakur/Hvot 1.76 · Dalvik/Reynir 1.46), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Kormakur/Hvot vs Dalvik/Reynir?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.