Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 24/07, 22:00

Prediction: Hviti Riddarinn vs Kari

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.62Total

Hviti Riddarinn1.49

Kari2.13

1X2

26% 22% 52%

Hviti Riddarinn Draw Kari

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Hviti Riddarinn 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Kari 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

LWDDDWDLDW

Head-to-head

Hviti Riddarinn 2–1–3 Kari (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hviti Riddarinn 1450 · Kari 1526

	Hviti Riddarinn	Draw	Kari
Our model	26%	23%	52%
Market	26%	21%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 3.62 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kari (rating 1450 vs 1526).
H2H favours Kari: 3-1-2.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hviti Riddarinn	Kari
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2	2.7 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.1	0.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.7	2.6 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.1	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.40

X4.20

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.82

2 (-0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 42.00

Under 41.80

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.95

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
22:10 +2’	3.40	4.20	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hviti Riddarinn 2–1–3 Kari

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/05/26 Iceland 2 Deild	Kari	0-0 HT 0-0	Hviti Riddarinn
30/07/24 Iceland 3 Deild	Hviti Riddarinn	0-2 HT 0-1	Kari
24/05/24 Iceland 3 Deild	Hviti Riddarinn	2-1 HT 1-0	Kari
06/03/24 Iceland League Cup B	Kari	4-1 HT 3-1	Hviti Riddarinn
15/08/23 Iceland 3 Deild	Hviti Riddarinn	2-1 HT 1-1	Kari
07/06/23 Iceland 3 Deild	Kari	2-1	Hviti Riddarinn

Standings · Iceland 2 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haukar	13	9	2	2	35	17	29
2	UMF Selfoss	13	6	5	2	27	24	23
3	Kari	13	5	6	2	36	23	21
4	Kormakur/Hvot	13	5	5	3	29	15	20
5	Dalvik/Reynir	13	6	2	5	23	22	20
6	Fjolnir	13	5	3	5	32	28	18
7	Vikingur Olafsvik	13	5	3	5	18	23	18
8	Fjardabyggd	13	4	2	7	29	25	14
9	Magni Grenivik	13	4	2	7	23	40	14
10	Throttur Vogar	13	4	1	8	21	26	13
11	Hviti Riddarinn	13	2	7	4	17	23	13
12	KFG Gardabaer	13	4	0	9	18	42	12

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hviti Riddarinn	Kari
Vikingur Olafsvik	0-2 L	3-3 D
UMF Selfoss	2-2 D	2-2 D
Dalvik/Reynir	3-3 D	6-0 W
Kormakur/Hvot	0-4 L	1-4 L
Fjardabyggd	4-3 W	2-2 D
KFG Gardabaer	0-1 L	5-1 W
Haukar	0-2 L	1-4 L
Magni Grenivik	1-1 D	1-1 D
Throttur Vogar	2-0 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 4 L	3 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kari (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Hviti Riddarinn

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
11/07	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-2	2	3	D
08/07	Ymir Kopavogur Iceland Lower League Cup	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
03/07	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	1-2	3-3	8	4	D
27/06	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	0-2	0-4	3	4	L
14/06	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	3-2	4-3	3	10	W
10/06	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
05/06	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	0-2	0-2	3	5	L
31/05	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	1-1	1-1	4	7	D
23/05	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	2-0	9	4	W

Kari

LWDDDWDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	2-0	5-1	1	3	W
12/07	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-2	10	0	D
01/07	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	0-2	1-4	5	4	L
27/06	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-1	8	4	D
19/06	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	4-1	8	4	W
15/06	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	2-2	9	4	D
10/06	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	2-2	6	6	D
06/06	Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild	1-2	3-3	9	0	D
31/05	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	2-0	6-0	1	3	W
23/05	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	1-1	1-4	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hviti Riddarinn vs Kari?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kari win (52%). Probabilities: Hviti Riddarinn 26%, draw 22%, Kari 52%.

How many goals are expected in Hviti Riddarinn vs Kari?

The model expects 3.62 goals (Hviti Riddarinn 1.49 · Kari 2.13), with a 57% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Hviti Riddarinn vs Kari?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.