Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 29/07, 21:15

Prediction: Kari vs Kormakur/Hvot

Team pages: Kari · Kormakur/Hvot

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.23Total

Kari2.14

Kormakur/Hvot2.09

1X2

40% 22% 38%

Kari Draw Kormakur/Hvot

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-2

Recent form · 10 last

Kari 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

WDDDWDLDWW

Kormakur/Hvot 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DWDLDWDDWL

Head-to-head

Kari 1–1–4 Kormakur/Hvot (6 last)

Kormakur/Hvot4-1Kari
Kari2-3Kormakur/Hvot
Kormakur/Hvot1-0Kari
Kormakur/Hvot4-2Kari
Kari1-1Kormakur/Hvot
Kari3-2Kormakur/Hvot

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kari 1527 · Kormakur/Hvot 1530

	Kari	Draw	Kormakur/Hvot
Our model	40%	21%	38%
Market	40%	22%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 4.23 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Kormakur/Hvot: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kari	Kormakur/Hvot
Goals for / against (FT)	2.9 / 1.7	2.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	1.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6.5	3.5 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	4.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X4.00

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.85

Under 3.751.95

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 4.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
10:51 +14’	2.25	4.00	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kari 1–1–4 Kormakur/Hvot

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Iceland 2 Deild	Kormakur/Hvot	4-1 HT 1-1	Kari
30/07/25 Iceland 2 Deild	Kari	2-3 HT 0-2	Kormakur/Hvot
24/05/25 Iceland 2 Deild	Kormakur/Hvot	1-0 HT 1-0	Kari
20/08/23 Iceland 3 Deild	Kormakur/Hvot	4-2	Kari
11/06/23 Iceland 3 Deild	Kari	1-1 HT 0-1	Kormakur/Hvot
27/07/22 Iceland 3 Deild	Kari	3-2 HT 2-0	Kormakur/Hvot

Standings · Iceland 2 Deild

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haukar	14	9	2	3	36	19	29
2	UMF Selfoss	14	7	5	2	32	26	26
3	Kari	14	6	6	2	39	24	24
4	Fjolnir	14	6	3	5	34	29	21
5	Vikingur Olafsvik	14	6	3	5	19	23	21
6	Kormakur/Hvot	14	5	5	4	31	20	20
7	Dalvik/Reynir	14	6	2	6	23	23	20
8	Fjardabyggd	14	5	2	7	33	27	17
9	Magni Grenivik	14	4	3	7	24	41	15
10	Throttur Vogar	14	4	1	9	23	30	13
11	Hviti Riddarinn	14	2	7	5	18	26	13
12	KFG Gardabaer	14	4	1	9	19	43	13

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kari	Kormakur/Hvot
Hviti Riddarinn	3-1 W	4-0 W
KFG Gardabaer	5-1 W	2-3 L
Fjardabyggd	2-2 D	2-2 D
Haukar	1-4 L	2-2 D
Magni Grenivik	1-1 D	7-1 W
Throttur Vogar	4-1 W	1-1 D
Fjolnir	2-2 D	1-1 D
UMF Selfoss	2-2 D	2-5 L
Vikingur Olafsvik	3-3 D	0-0 D
Dalvik/Reynir	6-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 5 D 1 L	3 W 5 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kari (4 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kari

WDDDWDLDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	3-1	8	2	W
17/07	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	2-0	5-1	1	3	W
12/07	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-2	10	0	D
01/07	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	0-2	1-4	5	4	L
27/06	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-1	8	4	D
19/06	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	4-1	8	4	W
15/06	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	2-2	9	4	D
10/06	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	2-2	6	6	D
06/06	Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild	1-2	3-3	9	0	D
31/05	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	2-0	6-0	1	3	W

Kormakur/Hvot

DWDLDWDDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	2-1	2-5	–	–	L
18/07	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	2-0	3-1	3	4	W
12/07	Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
04/07	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-1	2	6	D
27/06	Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild	2-0	4-0	6	4	W
20/06	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
14/06	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	2-2	2-3	14	2	L
10/06	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	2-0	2-2	2	6	D
05/06	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	4-1	7-1	4	2	W
31/05	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	1-1	1-1	4	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kari vs Kormakur/Hvot?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kari win (40%). Probabilities: Kari 40%, draw 22%, Kormakur/Hvot 38%.

How many goals are expected in Kari vs Kormakur/Hvot?

The model expects 4.23 goals (Kari 2.14 · Kormakur/Hvot 2.09), with a 54% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kari vs Kormakur/Hvot?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.