Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 29/07, 21:15

Prediction: Vikingur Olafsvik vs Fjolnir

Team pages: Vikingur Olafsvik · Fjolnir

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.55Total

Vikingur Olafsvik1.56

Fjolnir1.99

1X2

30% 23% 47%

Vikingur Olafsvik Draw Fjolnir

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Vikingur Olafsvik 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LDWWLWLDWW

Fjolnir 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLWDLDDWLW

Head-to-head

Vikingur Olafsvik 2–4 Fjolnir (6 last)

Fjolnir5-1Vikingur Olafsvik
Vikingur Olafsvik0-7Fjolnir
Fjolnir2-1Vikingur Olafsvik
Vikingur Olafsvik1-5Fjolnir
Vikingur Olafsvik4-1Fjolnir
Fjolnir1-3Vikingur Olafsvik

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vikingur Olafsvik 1523 · Fjolnir 1510

	Vikingur Olafsvik	Draw	Fjolnir
Our model	30%	23%	47%
Market	30%	23%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.55 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Fjolnir: 4-0-2.
High corners: 13 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vikingur Olafsvik	Fjolnir
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.2	2.2 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6	3.2 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	4.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.90

21.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.82

2 (-0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 15:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	1.91 → 1.90▼	Bet365 1.90

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
10:28 +37’	2.88	4.10	1.91
13:03 +1’	3.00▲	3.90▼	1.90▼
15:03 +2’	2.88▼	4.10▲	1.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vikingur Olafsvik 2–0–4 Fjolnir

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Iceland 2 Deild	Fjolnir	5-1 HT 2-1	Vikingur Olafsvik
20/08/21 Iceland 1 Deild	Vikingur Olafsvik	0-7 HT 0-2	Fjolnir
10/06/21 Iceland 1 Deild	Fjolnir	2-1 HT 0-1	Vikingur Olafsvik
29/02/20 Iceland League Cup	Vikingur Olafsvik	1-5 HT 1-2	Fjolnir
23/08/19 Iceland 1 Deild	Vikingur Olafsvik	4-1 HT 3-0	Fjolnir
13/06/19 Iceland 1 Deild	Fjolnir	1-3 HT 0-2	Vikingur Olafsvik

Standings · Iceland 2 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haukar	14	9	2	3	36	19	29
2	UMF Selfoss	14	7	5	2	32	26	26
3	Kari	14	6	6	2	39	24	24
4	Fjolnir	14	6	3	5	34	29	21
5	Vikingur Olafsvik	14	6	3	5	19	23	21
6	Kormakur/Hvot	14	5	5	4	31	20	20
7	Dalvik/Reynir	14	6	2	6	23	23	20
8	Fjardabyggd	14	5	2	7	33	27	17
9	Magni Grenivik	14	4	3	7	24	41	15
10	Throttur Vogar	14	4	1	9	23	30	13
11	Hviti Riddarinn	14	2	7	5	18	26	13
12	KFG Gardabaer	14	4	1	9	19	43	13

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vikingur Olafsvik	Fjolnir
Dalvik/Reynir	1-0 W	4-1 W
Kormakur/Hvot	0-0 D	1-1 D
Fjardabyggd	0-3 L	3-2 W
KFG Gardabaer	1-0 W	3-4 L
Haukar	0-1 L	2-1 W
Magni Grenivik	3-1 W	2-5 L
Throttur Vogar	2-1 W	2-3 L
Kari	3-3 D	2-2 D
UMF Selfoss	1-3 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Fjolnir (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Vikingur Olafsvik

LDWWLWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
17/07	Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
12/07	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	0-0	9	4	D
04/07	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	0-3	1	3	L
27/06	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-0	9	5	W
20/06	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	0-1	3	9	L
14/06	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	3-1	6	4	W
10/06	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-1	5	4	W
06/06	Kari Iceland 2 Deild	2-1	3-3	3	0	D
31/05	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	0-2	1-3	12	3	L

Fjolnir

LLWDLDDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	2-0	2-1	1	6	W
18/07	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	2-1	2-5	–	–	L
12/07	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	4-1	4	4	W
08/07	Alftanes Iceland Lower League Cup	0-0	1-1	13	5	D
04/07	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-1	8	6	D
26/06	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	1-2	2-3	8	6	L
15/06	Kari Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	2-2	7	4	D
10/06	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	3-2	6	1	W
06/06	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	2-3	11	4	L
01/06	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	2-1	3-4	5	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vikingur Olafsvik vs Fjolnir?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Fjolnir win (47%). Probabilities: Vikingur Olafsvik 30%, draw 23%, Fjolnir 47%.

How many goals are expected in Vikingur Olafsvik vs Fjolnir?

The model expects 3.55 goals (Vikingur Olafsvik 1.56 · Fjolnir 1.99), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Vikingur Olafsvik vs Fjolnir?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.