Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 29/07, 20:00

Prediction: Magni Grenivik vs Fjardabyggd

Team pages: Magni Grenivik · Fjardabyggd

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.21Total

Magni Grenivik1.75

Fjardabyggd2.46

1X2

26% 21% 53%

Magni Grenivik Draw Fjardabyggd

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

Magni Grenivik 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLLLWDWLWD

Fjardabyggd 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLDLWDLW

Head-to-head

Magni Grenivik 3–1–2 Fjardabyggd (6 last)

Fjardabyggd4-0Magni Grenivik
Magni Grenivik1-1Fjardabyggd
Fjardabyggd2-0Magni Grenivik
Magni Grenivik4-2Fjardabyggd
Fjardabyggd0-4Magni Grenivik
Magni Grenivik3-0Fjardabyggd

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Magni Grenivik 1473 · Fjardabyggd 1494

	Magni Grenivik	Draw	Fjardabyggd
Our model	27%	20%	53%
Market	26%	21%	53%

Estimated total (ours) 4.21 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Magni Grenivik: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Magni Grenivik	Fjardabyggd
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2.6	2.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.3	0.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 6.2	2.2 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.3	4.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.40

X4.33

21.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.88

2 (-0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.80

Under 3.752.00

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 4.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
11:02 +3’	3.40	4.33	1.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Magni Grenivik 3–1–2 Fjardabyggd

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Iceland 2 Deild	Fjardabyggd	4-0 HT 4-0	Magni Grenivik
03/09/22 Iceland 2 Deild	Magni Grenivik	1-1	Fjardabyggd
29/06/22 Iceland 2 Deild	Fjardabyggd	2-0	Magni Grenivik
28/07/21 Iceland 2 Deild	Magni Grenivik	4-2	Fjardabyggd
21/05/21 Iceland 2 Deild	Fjardabyggd	0-4	Magni Grenivik
02/09/17 Iceland 2 Deild	Magni Grenivik	3-0	Fjardabyggd

Standings · Iceland 2 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haukar	14	9	2	3	36	19	29
2	UMF Selfoss	14	7	5	2	32	26	26
3	Kari	14	6	6	2	39	24	24
4	Fjolnir	14	6	3	5	34	29	21
5	Vikingur Olafsvik	14	6	3	5	19	23	21
6	Kormakur/Hvot	14	5	5	4	31	20	20
7	Dalvik/Reynir	14	6	2	6	23	23	20
8	Fjardabyggd	14	5	2	7	33	27	17
9	Magni Grenivik	14	4	3	7	24	41	15
10	Throttur Vogar	14	4	1	9	23	30	13
11	Hviti Riddarinn	14	2	7	5	18	26	13
12	KFG Gardabaer	14	4	1	9	19	43	13

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Magni Grenivik	Fjardabyggd
KFG Gardabaer	1-1 D	5-1 W
Fjolnir	5-2 W	2-3 L
Haukar	2-5 L	2-3 L
Throttur Vogar	4-3 W	4-2 W
Kari	1-1 D	2-2 D
UMF Selfoss	4-1 W	0-1 L
Vikingur Olafsvik	1-3 L	3-0 W
Dalvik/Reynir	0-2 L	0-1 L
Kormakur/Hvot	1-7 L	2-2 D
Hviti Riddarinn	1-1 D	3-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Fjardabyggd (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Magni Grenivik

DLLLWDWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-1	6	5	D
18/07	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	1-2	5-2	–	–	W
12/07	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	2-2	2-5	4	7	L
04/07	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	2-2	4-3	3	7	W
27/06	Kari Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
20/06	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	4-1	10	5	W
14/06	Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	1-3	3	4	L
10/06	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	0-2	10	7	L
05/06	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	1-4	1-7	7	2	L
31/05	Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild	1-1	1-1	10	7	D

Fjardabyggd

LWLLDLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	1-2	4-2	5	6	W
18/07	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	0-1	9	4	L
12/07	Kari Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	2-2	3	0	D
04/07	Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	3-0	1	3	W
27/06	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	0-1	5	9	L
20/06	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
14/06	Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild	2-3	3-4	9	10	L
10/06	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-3	7	1	L
06/06	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	3-1	5-1	12	6	W
31/05	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	1-1	2-3	2	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Magni Grenivik vs Fjardabyggd?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Fjardabyggd win (53%). Probabilities: Magni Grenivik 26%, draw 21%, Fjardabyggd 53%.

How many goals are expected in Magni Grenivik vs Fjardabyggd?

The model expects 4.21 goals (Magni Grenivik 1.75 · Fjardabyggd 2.46), with a 54% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Magni Grenivik vs Fjardabyggd?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.