Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 11/07, 18:00

Prediction: UMF Selfoss vs Hviti Riddarinn

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.77Total
UMF Selfoss2.52
Hviti Riddarinn1.25
1X2
65% 18% 17%
UMF Selfoss Draw Hviti Riddarinn
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
UMF Selfoss 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
WDWWDWLDWW
Hviti Riddarinn 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DDWDLLWLDL
Head-to-head
UMF Selfoss 1–1–0 Hviti Riddarinn (2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UMF Selfoss 1564 · Hviti Riddarinn 1464
UMF SelfossDrawHviti Riddarinn
Our model64%19%16%
Market65%18%17%
Estimated total (ours) 3.77 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UMF Selfoss (rating 1564 vs 1464).
  • High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

UMF SelfossHviti Riddarinn
Goals for / against (FT)2.6 / 1.71.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)1.3 / 0.30.5 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)70/20/10%10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)3.4 / 6.33.1 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 0.25.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · UMF Selfoss 110 Hviti Riddarinn

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DateHomeScoreAway
09/05/26
Iceland 2 Deild
Hviti Riddarinn1-1
HT 0-1
UMF Selfoss
12/06/20
Iceland Cup
Hviti Riddarinn0-1
HT 0-0
UMF Selfoss

Standings · Iceland 2 Deild

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Haukar 11722 281423
2 Dalvik/Reynir 11623 211520
3 UMF Selfoss 11542 242219
4 Kari 11452 292017
5 Kormakur/Hvot 11443 261416
6 Fjolnir 11434 262215
7 Vikingur Olafsvik 11425 162314
8 Fjardabyggd 11416 272213
9 Hviti Riddarinn 11263 151912
10 KFG Gardabaer 11407 163212
11 Magni Grenivik 11326 163311
12 Throttur Vogar 11317 152310

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUMF SelfossHviti Riddarinn
KFG Gardabaer 3-2 W 0-1 L
Haukar 2-2 D 0-2 L
Magni Grenivik 1-4 L 1-1 D
Throttur Vogar 3-1 W 2-0 W
Kari 2-2 D 0-0 D
Dalvik/Reynir 2-2 D 3-3 D
Kormakur/Hvot 2-1 W 0-4 L
Record vs common 3 W 3 D 1 L 1 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: UMF Selfoss (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UMF Selfoss

WDWWDWLDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/07 Arborg
Iceland Lower League Cup
4-0 5-0 121 W
03/07 KFG Gardabaer
Iceland 2 Deild
2-1 3-2 24 W
26/06 Haukar
Iceland 2 Deild
0-1 2-2 55 D
20/06 Magni Grenivik
Iceland 2 Deild
0-0 1-4 75 L
15/06 Throttur Vogar
Iceland 2 Deild
1-0 3-1 65 W
10/06 Kari
Iceland 2 Deild
0-0 2-2 76 D
06/06 Fjolnir
Iceland 2 Deild
1-0 3-2 64 W
31/05 Vikingur Olafsvik
Iceland 2 Deild
2-0 3-1 73 W
23/05 Dalvik/Reynir
Iceland 2 Deild
2-1 2-2 47 D
16/05 Kormakur/Hvot
Iceland 2 Deild
1-0 2-1 78 W

Hviti Riddarinn

DDWDLLWLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/07 Ymir Kopavogur
Iceland Lower League Cup
0-1 0-2 62 L
03/07 Dalvik/Reynir
Iceland 2 Deild
1-2 3-3 84 D
27/06 Kormakur/Hvot
Iceland 2 Deild
0-2 0-4 34 L
14/06 Fjardabyggd
Iceland 2 Deild
3-2 4-3 310 W
10/06 KFG Gardabaer
Iceland 2 Deild
0-0 0-1 75 L
05/06 Haukar
Iceland 2 Deild
0-2 0-2 35 L
31/05 Magni Grenivik
Iceland 2 Deild
1-1 1-1 47 D
23/05 Throttur Vogar
Iceland 2 Deild
0-0 2-0 94 W
15/05 Kari
Iceland 2 Deild
0-0 0-0 24 D
09/05 UMF Selfoss
Iceland 2 Deild
0-1 1-1 67 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UMF Selfoss vs Hviti Riddarinn?

According to our model, the most likely result is a UMF Selfoss win (65%). Probabilities: UMF Selfoss 65%, draw 18%, Hviti Riddarinn 17%.

How many goals are expected in UMF Selfoss vs Hviti Riddarinn?

The model expects 3.77 goals (UMF Selfoss 2.52 · Hviti Riddarinn 1.25), with a 56% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in UMF Selfoss vs Hviti Riddarinn?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.