Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 24/07, 21:15

Prediction: Fjolnir vs Haukar

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.2Total

Fjolnir1.94

Haukar2.26

1X2

33% 22% 45%

Fjolnir Draw Haukar

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

Fjolnir 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWDLDDWL

Haukar 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWDLWDWWW

Head-to-head

Fjolnir 2–1–2 Haukar (5 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fjolnir 1480 · Haukar 1593

	Fjolnir	Draw	Haukar
Our model	33%	21%	45%
Market	33%	22%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 4.2 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Haukar (rating 1480 vs 1593).
High corners: 16.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fjolnir	Haukar
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 2.3	2.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	1.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 7.1	4.3 / 9.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.1	5.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.75

X4.00

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.93

2 (-0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.90

Under 3.751.90

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 4.3

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:00 +6’	2.75	4.00	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Fjolnir 2–1–2 Haukar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/05/26 Iceland 2 Deild	Haukar	3-1 HT 0-0	Fjolnir
19/04/26 Iceland League Cup B	Haukar	4-1 HT 2-0	Fjolnir
20/07/19 Iceland 1 Deild	Haukar	1-5 HT 1-3	Fjolnir
05/05/19 Iceland 1 Deild	Fjolnir	2-1 HT 2-0	Haukar
17/03/18 Iceland League Cup	Haukar	1-1 HT 0-1	Fjolnir

Standings · Iceland 2 Deild

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haukar	13	9	2	2	35	17	29
2	UMF Selfoss	13	6	5	2	27	24	23
3	Kari	13	5	6	2	36	23	21
4	Kormakur/Hvot	13	5	5	3	29	15	20
5	Dalvik/Reynir	13	6	2	5	23	22	20
6	Fjolnir	13	5	3	5	32	28	18
7	Vikingur Olafsvik	13	5	3	5	18	23	18
8	Fjardabyggd	13	4	2	7	29	25	14
9	Magni Grenivik	13	4	2	7	23	40	14
10	Throttur Vogar	13	4	1	8	21	26	13
11	Hviti Riddarinn	13	2	7	4	17	23	13
12	KFG Gardabaer	13	4	0	9	18	42	12

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fjolnir	Haukar
Magni Grenivik	2-5 L	5-2 W
Dalvik/Reynir	4-1 W	0-3 L
Kormakur/Hvot	1-1 D	2-2 D
Throttur Vogar	2-3 L	2-1 W
Kari	2-2 D	4-1 W
Fjardabyggd	3-2 W	3-2 W
UMF Selfoss	2-3 L	2-2 D
KFG Gardabaer	3-4 L	4-0 W
Vikingur Olafsvik	5-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 4 L	6 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Haukar (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Fjolnir

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	2-1	2-5	–	–	L
12/07	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	4-1	4	4	W
08/07	Alftanes Iceland Lower League Cup	0-0	1-1	13	5	D
04/07	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	1-1	8	6	D
26/06	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	1-2	2-3	8	6	L
15/06	Kari Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	2-2	7	4	D
10/06	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	3-2	6	1	W
06/06	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	2-3	11	4	L
01/06	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	2-1	3-4	5	7	L
23/05	Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild	2-1	5-1	2	2	W

Haukar

WWWDLWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild	1-1	2-1	13	2	W
12/07	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	2-2	5-2	4	7	W
01/07	Kari Iceland 2 Deild	2-0	4-1	10	4	W
26/06	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-2	12	5	D
20/06	Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	1-0	8	9	W
14/06	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	0-3	10	6	L
10/06	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	0-2	2-2	11	6	D
05/06	Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild	2-0	2-0	2	5	W
31/05	Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild	1-1	3-2	7	5	W
21/05	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	2-0	4-0	14	10	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fjolnir vs Haukar?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Haukar win (45%). Probabilities: Fjolnir 33%, draw 22%, Haukar 45%.

How many goals are expected in Fjolnir vs Haukar?

The model expects 4.2 goals (Fjolnir 1.94 · Haukar 2.26), with a 53% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Fjolnir vs Haukar?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.