Football · Iceland 2 Deild · 25/07, 16:00

Prediction: Fjardabyggd vs Throttur Vogar

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.66Total

Fjardabyggd2.16

Throttur Vogar1.51

1X2

52% 22% 26%

Fjardabyggd Draw Throttur Vogar

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Fjardabyggd 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLLDLWDL

Throttur Vogar 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LDLLLLWLWL

Head-to-head

Fjardabyggd 2–2–2 Throttur Vogar (6 last)

Throttur Vogar2-0Fjardabyggd
Throttur Vogar1-1Fjardabyggd
Fjardabyggd0-3Throttur Vogar

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fjardabyggd 1475 · Throttur Vogar 1453

	Fjardabyggd	Draw	Throttur Vogar
Our model	52%	22%	26%
Market	52%	21%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.66 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fjardabyggd	Throttur Vogar
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.7	1.6 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.9	2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.3	4.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.73

X4.20

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.95

2 (+0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.93

Under 3.751.88

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
03:05 +7’	1.73	4.20	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fjardabyggd 2–2–2 Throttur Vogar

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
14/05/26 Iceland 2 Deild	Throttur Vogar	2-0 HT 0-0	Fjardabyggd
09/08/25 Iceland 2 Deild	Throttur Vogar	1-1 HT 0-0	Fjardabyggd
31/05/25 Iceland 2 Deild	Fjardabyggd	0-3 HT 0-2	Throttur Vogar
13/07/24 Iceland 2 Deild	Throttur Vogar	2-3 HT 0-2	Fjardabyggd
04/05/24 Iceland 2 Deild	Fjardabyggd	2-0 HT 1-0	Throttur Vogar
15/07/23 Iceland 2 Deild	Fjardabyggd	1-1	Throttur Vogar

Standings · Iceland 2 Deild

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Haukar	13	9	2	2	35	17	29
2	UMF Selfoss	13	6	5	2	27	24	23
3	Kari	13	5	6	2	36	23	21
4	Kormakur/Hvot	13	5	5	3	29	15	20
5	Dalvik/Reynir	13	6	2	5	23	22	20
6	Fjolnir	13	5	3	5	32	28	18
7	Vikingur Olafsvik	13	5	3	5	18	23	18
8	Fjardabyggd	13	4	2	7	29	25	14
9	Magni Grenivik	13	4	2	7	23	40	14
10	Throttur Vogar	13	4	1	8	21	26	13
11	Hviti Riddarinn	13	2	7	4	17	23	13
12	KFG Gardabaer	13	4	0	9	18	42	12

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fjardabyggd	Throttur Vogar
UMF Selfoss	0-1 L	1-3 L
Kari	2-2 D	1-4 L
Vikingur Olafsvik	3-0 W	1-2 L
Dalvik/Reynir	0-1 L	0-1 L
Kormakur/Hvot	2-2 D	1-1 D
Hviti Riddarinn	3-4 L	0-2 L
Fjolnir	2-3 L	3-2 W
KFG Gardabaer	5-1 W	5-1 W
Haukar	2-3 L	1-2 L
Magni Grenivik	4-0 W	3-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 5 L	2 W 1 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Fjardabyggd (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fjardabyggd

WLWLLDLWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	0-1	9	4	L
12/07	Kari Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	2-2	3	0	D
04/07	Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	3-0	1	3	W
27/06	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	0-1	5	9	L
20/06	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
14/06	Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild	2-3	3-4	9	10	L
10/06	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	1-0	2-3	7	1	L
06/06	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	3-1	5-1	12	6	W
31/05	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	1-1	2-3	2	5	L
23/05	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	4-0	4-0	5	5	W

Throttur Vogar

LDLLLLWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	Haukar Iceland 2 Deild	1-1	1-2	5	2	L
12/07	KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild	2-1	5-1	7	4	W
04/07	Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild	2-2	3-4	4	7	L
26/06	Fjolnir Iceland 2 Deild	2-1	3-2	8	6	W
19/06	Kari Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	1-4	4	4	L
15/06	UMF Selfoss Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	1-3	2	5	L
10/06	Vikingur Olafsvik Iceland 2 Deild	0-1	1-2	5	4	L
06/06	Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	0-1	5	7	L
31/05	Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild	1-1	1-1	3	5	D
23/05	Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild	0-0	0-2	5	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fjardabyggd vs Throttur Vogar?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fjardabyggd win (52%). Probabilities: Fjardabyggd 52%, draw 22%, Throttur Vogar 26%.

How many goals are expected in Fjardabyggd vs Throttur Vogar?

The model expects 3.66 goals (Fjardabyggd 2.16 · Throttur Vogar 1.51), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Fjardabyggd vs Throttur Vogar?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.