Football · Finland Kolmonen · 05/07, 17:00

Prediction: VJS Vantaa II vs Valtti

Expected goals: 4.18 (VJS Vantaa II 2.28 · Valtti 1.9). The model gives 47% home, 21% draw, 32% away. Under 4 goals (51%) and both teams to score (63%). Most likely score: 2-1.

Over its last 10 matches, VJS Vantaa II sits at 3-2-5 (W-D-L), while Valtti arrives on a 5-0-5 run.

47%1
47% 21% 32%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · VJS Vantaa II 1482 · Valtti 1500
VJS Vantaa IIDrawValtti
Our model47%21%32%
Market47%21%33%
Estimated total (ours) 4.18 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals4.18VJS Vantaa II 2.28 · Valtti 1.9
Over / Under 4Under 4 · 51%
BTTSYes · 63%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

VJS Vantaa IIValtti
Goals for / against (FT)2.7 / 2.11.8 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)1.2 / 1.30.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/20/50%33/11/56%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 5.61.8 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.15 / 0.2

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 PPJ/Lauttasaari 11731 431624
2 MPS/Atletico Malmi 11803 271824
3 ToTe 9612 231019
4 Valtti 9603 191618
5 LPS Helsinki 9513 292316
6 HPS II 11425 272814
7 Tips Vantaa 10406 232812
8 VJS Vantaa II 10325 272011
9 Töölön Taisto 9252 191811
10 Atlantis FC/PM 11326 243811
11 FC Kontu 11245 192810
12 PPS 111010 10473

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVJS Vantaa IIValtti
Töölön Taisto 1-3 L 2-0 W
FC Kontu 0-1 L 1-0 W
PPJ/Lauttasaari 2-2 D 3-7 L
ToTe 1-1 D 1-3 L
PPS 11-0 W 3-0 W
HPS II 2-1 W 3-1 W
MPS/Atletico Malmi 1-2 L 2-1 W
Atlantis FC/PM 6-3 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 3 L 5 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

VJS Vantaa II

WLLLWWDDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/06 Töölön Taisto
Finland Kolmonen
0-3 1-3 69 L
12/06 FC Kontu
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-1 75 L
07/06 PPJ/Lauttasaari
Finland Kolmonen
1-2 2-2 64 D
30/05 ToTe
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 1-1 22 D
20/05 PPS
Finland Kolmonen
4-0 11-0 61 W
14/05 HPS II
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 2-1 61 W
10/05 MPS/Atletico Malmi
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 1-2 77 L
04/05 Tips Vantaa
Finland Kolmonen
2-2 2-5 44 L
28/04 KaPa
Finland Cup
0-1 1-3 16 L
23/04 Atlantis FC/PM
Finland Kolmonen
3-2 6-3 113 W

Valtti

LWLWLLLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/06 MPS/Atletico Malmi
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 2-1 211 W
12/06 PPS
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 3-0 81 W
05/06 HPS II
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 3-1 40 W
29/05 LPS Helsinki
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 2-3 84 L
24/05 ToTe
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 1-3 16 L
21/05 PPJ/Lauttasaari
Finland Kolmonen
1-3 3-7 44 L
15/05 FC Kontu
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 1-0 75 W
09/05 Atlantis FC/PM
Finland Kolmonen
1-2 L
02/05 Töölön Taisto
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-0 119 W
29/04 EPS
Finland Cup
0-1 0-2 47 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in VJS Vantaa II vs Valtti?

According to our model, the most likely result is a VJS Vantaa II win (47%). Probabilities: VJS Vantaa II 47%, draw 21%, Valtti 32%.

How many goals are expected in VJS Vantaa II vs Valtti?

The model expects 4.18 goals (VJS Vantaa II 2.28 · Valtti 1.9), with a 51% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in VJS Vantaa II vs Valtti?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.