Football · Finland Kolmonen · 10/07, 17:30

Prediction: Sporting Kristina vs SIF

Expected goals: 4.06 (Sporting Kristina 2.02 · SIF 2.04). The model gives 39% home, 22% draw, 40% away. Over 3.75 goals (52%) and both teams to score (62%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, Sporting Kristina is 5-2-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and SIF 3-3-4 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Sporting Kristina and 2 for SIF, with 3 draws.

40%2
39% 22% 40%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sporting Kristina 1525 · SIF 1501
Sporting KristinaDrawSIF
Our model39%22%39%
Market39%21%40%
Estimated total (ours) 4.06 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals4.06Sporting Kristina 2.02 · SIF 2.04
Over / Under 3.75Over 3.75 · 52%
BTTSYes · 62%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours SIF: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Sporting KristinaSIF
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 1.31.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.71 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)44/33/22%56/22/22%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 31.8 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 0.13.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting Kristina 132 SIF

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/04/26
Finland Kolmonen
SIF2-2
HT 1-0
Sporting Kristina
13/09/25
Finland Kolmonen
SIF10-1
HT 3-1
Sporting Kristina
17/06/25
Finland Kolmonen
Sporting Kristina1-1SIF
16/05/24
Finland Kolmonen
SIF1-1
HT 0-0
Sporting Kristina
10/05/23
Finland Kolmonen
SIF0-2
HT 0-1
Sporting Kristina
28/07/22
Finland Kolmonen
SIF3-0
HT 2-0
Sporting Kristina

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 VIFK 11911 37728
2 FC Kiisto 11821 341426
3 Virkia 10523 191517
4 FC Ylivieska 11515 352916
5 SJK-j 11434 221415
6 SIF 11434 221715
7 Nykarleby IK 11434 162715
8 VPV Pallo-Veikot 9423 171414
9 Sporting Kristina 9423 141214
10 KPV Akatemia 10217 24327
11 LBK 11218 12307
12 Sääripotku 9018 3441

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSporting KristinaSIF
Nykarleby IK 1-1 D 2-0 W
VIFK 1-0 W 0-1 L
FC Kiisto 1-2 L 2-3 L
Virkia 2-0 W 0-3 L
KPV Akatemia 3-1 W 3-2 W
VPV Pallo-Veikot 4-1 W 1-1 D
SJK-j 0-1 L 2-2 D
FC Ylivieska 2-4 L 1-2 L
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 3 L 2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Sporting Kristina (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sporting Kristina

LDLWWWWLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/07 Nykarleby IK
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 1-1 44 D
15/06 VIFK
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 1-0 34 W
10/06 FC Kiisto
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 1-2 66 L
06/06 Virkia
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-0 21 W
27/05 LBK
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 2-1 25 W
20/05 KPV Akatemia
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 3-1 22 W
14/05 VPV Pallo-Veikot
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 4-1 54 W
09/05 SJK-j
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 L
29/04 SIF
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 2-2 22 D
26/04 FC Ylivieska
Finland Kolmonen
2-3 2-4 12 L

SIF

DLLWWLLDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/07 KPV Akatemia
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 3-2 51 W
25/06 VPV Pallo-Veikot
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 1-1 24 D
17/06 SJK-j
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-2 44 D
11/06 Virkia
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 0-3 63 L
04/06 FC Ylivieska
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 1-2 44 L
28/05 Nykarleby IK
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 2-0 83 W
22/05 Sääripotku
Finland Kolmonen
5-0 W
16/05 VIFK
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-1 27 L
07/05 FC Kiisto
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 2-3 41 L
29/04 Sporting Kristina
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-2 52 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sporting Kristina vs SIF?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SIF win (40%). Probabilities: Sporting Kristina 39%, draw 22%, SIF 40%.

How many goals are expected in Sporting Kristina vs SIF?

The model expects 4.06 goals (Sporting Kristina 2.02 · SIF 2.04), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sporting Kristina vs SIF?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.