Football · Finland Kolmonen · 09/07, 17:30

Prediction: Kultsu FC vs Edustus STPS

Expected goals: 4.63 (Kultsu FC 3.32 · Edustus STPS 1.32). The model gives 84% home, 9% draw, 7% away. Under 5.25 goals (58%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 3-1.

Over its last 10 matches, Kultsu FC sits at 7-2-1 (W-D-L), while Edustus STPS arrives on a 2-1-7 run. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings the record reads 4 wins for Kultsu FC and 1 for Edustus STPS.

84%1
84% 9% 7%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kultsu FC 1598 · Edustus STPS 1424
Kultsu FCDrawEdustus STPS
Our model75%14%11%
Market92%5%3%
Estimated total (ours) 4.63 goals · Bet365 line 5.25 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals4.63Kultsu FC 3.32 · Edustus STPS 1.32
Over / Under 5.25Under 5.25 · 58%
BTTSYes · 60%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kultsu FC (rating 1598 vs 1424).
  • H2H favours Kultsu FC: 4-0-1.
  • High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Kultsu FCEdustus STPS
Goals for / against (FT)3.1 / 0.91.3 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)1.2 / 0.30.5 / 2
Half-time result (W/D/L)70/20/10%0/0/100%
Corners (HT / FT)4.4 / 9.80.5 / 1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 0.12.5 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kultsu FC 401 Edustus STPS

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/04/26
Finland Kolmonen
Edustus STPS0-1Kultsu FC
06/09/25
Finland Kolmonen
Kultsu FC5-0
HT 2-0
Edustus STPS
04/06/25
Finland Kolmonen
Edustus STPS3-5Kultsu FC
16/05/19
Finland Kolmonen
Kultsu FC3-1
HT 1-1
Edustus STPS
16/08/18
Finland Kolmonen
Kultsu FC2-3
HT 0-1
Edustus STPS

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Eastern, Group 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 IPS Edustus 11830 261327
2 Kultsu FC 11821 32926
3 PeKa 11812 351525
4 MiPK 11623 261720
5 HaPK 11614 262119
6 KJP 11515 191416
7 KoPa 11515 152116
8 LAUTP 11425 242614
9 MP II 11407 232212
10 Edustus STPS 11218 13247
11 Kumu 11218 14407
12 LAUTP II 110110 4351

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKultsu FCEdustus STPS
MiPK 3-2 W 0-2 L
LAUTP II 8-0 W 3-0 W
Kumu 5-0 W 1-2 L
LAUTP 3-0 W 0-1 L
KoPa 2-2 D 2-4 L
KJP 3-1 W 3-1 W
MP II 2-1 W 0-4 L
IPS Edustus 1-1 D 2-2 D
HaPK 4-0 W 0-4 L
PeKa 0-2 L 2-3 L
Record vs common 7 W 2 D 1 L 2 W 1 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Kultsu FC (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kultsu FC

LWDWWDWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/07 MiPK
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 3-2 32 W
25/06 LAUTP II
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 8-0 111 W
17/06 Kumu
Finland Kolmonen
3-0 5-0 161 W
10/06 LAUTP
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 3-0 133 W
05/06 KoPa
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 2-2 54 D
28/05 KJP
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 3-1 113 W
20/05 MP II
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-1 154 W
13/05 IPS Edustus
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 1-1 64 D
06/05 HaPK
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 4-0 73 W
29/04 PeKa
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-2 112 L

Edustus STPS

LWLLLLDLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 KoPa
Finland Kolmonen
1-2 2-4 13 L
27/06 KJP
Finland Kolmonen
3-1 W
17/06 MP II
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 0-4 12 L
11/06 IPS Edustus
Finland Kolmonen
2-2 D
06/06 HaPK
Finland Kolmonen
0-4 L
27/05 PeKa
Finland Kolmonen
2-3 L
20/05 LAUTP
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 L
16/05 MiPK
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 L
07/05 LAUTP II
Finland Kolmonen
3-0 W
03/05 Kumu
Finland Kolmonen
1-2 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kultsu FC vs Edustus STPS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kultsu FC win (84%). Probabilities: Kultsu FC 84%, draw 9%, Edustus STPS 7%.

How many goals are expected in Kultsu FC vs Edustus STPS?

The model expects 4.63 goals (Kultsu FC 3.32 · Edustus STPS 1.32), with a 58% chance of under 5.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Kultsu FC vs Edustus STPS?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.