Football · Finland Kolmonen · 29/07, 17:30

Prediction: Tips Vantaa vs Valtti

Team pages: Tips Vantaa · Valtti

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.51Total

Tips Vantaa2

Valtti2.5

1X2

31% 20% 49%

Tips Vantaa Draw Valtti

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 64%

Most likely score

2-2

Recent form · 10 last

Tips Vantaa 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWWLLD

Valtti 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLLWWWWL

Head-to-head

Tips Vantaa 1–1 Valtti (2 last)

Valtti3-2Tips Vantaa
Valtti1-2Tips Vantaa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tips Vantaa 1480 · Valtti 1511

	Tips Vantaa	Draw	Valtti
Our model	31%	20%	49%
Market	31%	20%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 4.51 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tips Vantaa	Valtti
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 2.6	2 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.4	0.7 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	11/44/44%	22/11/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.8	1.6 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.90

X4.50

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.93

2 (-0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.80

Under 4.252.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 4.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
09:57 +7’	2.90	4.50	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tips Vantaa 1–0–1 Valtti

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Finland Kolmonen	Valtti	3-2 HT 1-1	Tips Vantaa
14/08/20 Finland Kolmonen	Valtti	1-2 HT 0-1	Tips Vantaa

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MPS/Atletico Malmi	12	9	0	3	29	19	27
2	PPJ/Lauttasaari	12	7	4	1	46	19	25
3	ToTe	11	8	1	2	29	11	25
4	Valtti	11	7	0	4	23	21	21
5	LPS Helsinki	10	5	1	4	29	26	16
6	HPS II	12	4	3	5	30	31	15
7	VJS Vantaa II	12	4	2	6	33	24	14
8	Atlantis FC/PM	12	4	2	6	27	40	14
9	Tips Vantaa	11	4	1	6	24	29	13
10	Töölön Taisto	11	2	6	3	21	23	12
11	FC Kontu	12	2	4	6	21	31	10
12	PPS	12	1	0	11	11	49	3

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tips Vantaa	Valtti
Atlantis FC/PM	2-4 L	1-2 L
LPS Helsinki	4-7 L	2-3 L
PPJ/Lauttasaari	2-1 W	3-7 L
FC Kontu	2-0 W	1-0 W
HPS II	1-5 L	3-1 W
MPS/Atletico Malmi	2-3 L	2-1 W
PPS	3-1 W	3-0 W
ToTe	0-2 L	0-2 L
VJS Vantaa II	5-2 W	4-3 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 5 L	5 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Valtti (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tips Vantaa

WLWLLWWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/07	Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
25/06	Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen	0-4	2-4	6	5	L
17/06	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	2-3	4-7	6	4	L
12/06	PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen	–	2-1	–	–	W
05/06	FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-0	2	7	W
28/05	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-5	4	4	L
22/05	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	0-2	2-3	3	2	L
15/05	PPS Finland Kolmonen	0-0	3-1	2	1	W
08/05	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
04/05	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	2-2	5-2	5	4	W

Valtti

LWLLLWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-2	7	3	L
05/07	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	1-2	4-3	5	4	W
26/06	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	2-1	2-1	2	11	W
12/06	PPS Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-0	8	1	W
05/06	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	0-1	3-1	4	0	W
29/05	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	0-2	2-3	8	4	L
24/05	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-3	1	6	L
21/05	PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen	1-3	3-7	4	4	L
15/05	FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
09/05	Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen	–	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tips Vantaa vs Valtti?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Valtti win (49%). Probabilities: Tips Vantaa 31%, draw 20%, Valtti 49%.

How many goals are expected in Tips Vantaa vs Valtti?

The model expects 4.51 goals (Tips Vantaa 2 · Valtti 2.5), with a 53% chance of over 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Tips Vantaa vs Valtti?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.