Prediction: ToTe vs Töölön Taisto
Expected goals: 4.13 (ToTe 2.59 · Töölön Taisto 1.54). The model gives 60% home, 19% draw, 21% away. Over 3.75 goals (53%) and both teams to score (61%). Most likely score: 2-1.
Recent form leaves ToTe with 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Töölön Taisto has piled up 2-5-3 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 5 wins for ToTe and 0 for Töölön Taisto, with 1 draw.
| ToTe | Draw | Töölön Taisto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 19% | 21% |
| Market | 60% | 19% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ToTe (rating 1548 vs 1483).
- H2H favours ToTe: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ToTe | Töölön Taisto | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.3 | 2 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 1.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/33/22% | 60/0/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.8 | 2 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.3 | 4.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ToTe 5–1–0 Töölön Taisto
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/22 Finland Kolmonen | ToTe | 3-0 | Töölön Taisto |
| 21/04/22 Finland Kolmonen | Töölön Taisto | 2-3 HT 0-1 | ToTe |
| 12/06/21 Finland Kolmonen | ToTe | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Töölön Taisto |
| 10/09/20 Finland Kolmonen | Töölön Taisto | 1-2 HT 0-2 | ToTe |
| 26/08/17 Finland Kolmonen | ToTe | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Töölön Taisto |
| 20/05/17 Finland Kolmonen | Töölön Taisto | 1-3 HT 1-0 | ToTe |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PPJ/Lauttasaari | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 43 | 16 | 24 |
| 2 | MPS/Atletico Malmi | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 18 | 24 |
| 3 | ToTe | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Valtti | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 18 |
| 5 | LPS Helsinki | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 23 | 16 |
| 6 | HPS II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 28 | 14 |
| 7 | Tips Vantaa | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 28 | 12 |
| 8 | VJS Vantaa II | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 11 |
| 9 | Töölön Taisto | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 18 | 11 |
| 10 | Atlantis FC/PM | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 38 | 11 |
| 11 | FC Kontu | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 7 |
| 12 | PPS | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 43 | 3 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ToTe | Töölön Taisto |
|---|---|---|
| HPS II | 3-2 W | 2-2 D |
| LPS Helsinki | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| MPS/Atletico Malmi | 3-0 W | 0-4 L |
| VJS Vantaa II | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Valtti | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| FC Kontu | 7-2 W | 3-3 D |
| Atlantis FC/PM | 2-3 L | 2-2 D |
| PPJ/Lauttasaari | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| PPS | 2-0 W | 5-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 5 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Töölön Taisto (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ToTe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | HPS II Finland Kolmonen |
3-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 13/06 | LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 05/06 | MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | Valtti Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 21/05 | FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen |
4-1 | 7-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 24/04 | PPS Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
Töölön Taisto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen |
3-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 9 | W |
| 11/06 | HPS II Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | PPS Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 28/05 | FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 21/05 | Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 15/05 | PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 07/05 | LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Valtti Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 28/04 | JaPS Finland Cup |
1-4 | 1-9 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 23/04 | MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ToTe vs Töölön Taisto?
According to our model, the most likely result is a ToTe win (60%). Probabilities: ToTe 60%, draw 19%, Töölön Taisto 21%.
How many goals are expected in ToTe vs Töölön Taisto?
The model expects 4.13 goals (ToTe 2.59 · Töölön Taisto 1.54), with a 53% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in ToTe vs Töölön Taisto?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.

