Football · Finland Kolmonen · 03/07, 18:30

Prediction: ToTe vs Töölön Taisto

Expected goals: 4.13 (ToTe 2.59 · Töölön Taisto 1.54). The model gives 60% home, 19% draw, 21% away. Over 3.75 goals (53%) and both teams to score (61%). Most likely score: 2-1.

Recent form leaves ToTe with 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Töölön Taisto has piled up 2-5-3 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 5 wins for ToTe and 0 for Töölön Taisto, with 1 draw.

60%1
60% 19% 21%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ToTe 1548 · Töölön Taisto 1483
ToTeDrawTöölön Taisto
Our model60%19%21%
Market60%19%21%
Estimated total (ours) 4.13 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals4.13ToTe 2.59 · Töölön Taisto 1.54
Over / Under 3.75Over 3.75 · 53%
BTTSYes · 61%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ToTe (rating 1548 vs 1483).
  • H2H favours ToTe: 5-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ToTeTöölön Taisto
Goals for / against (FT)2.4 / 1.32 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.41.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)44/33/22%60/0/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 5.82 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 0.34.9 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · ToTe 510 Töölön Taisto

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DateHomeScoreAway
30/07/22
Finland Kolmonen
ToTe3-0Töölön Taisto
21/04/22
Finland Kolmonen
Töölön Taisto2-3
HT 0-1
ToTe
12/06/21
Finland Kolmonen
ToTe2-0
HT 1-0
Töölön Taisto
10/09/20
Finland Kolmonen
Töölön Taisto1-2
HT 0-2
ToTe
26/08/17
Finland Kolmonen
ToTe0-0
HT 0-0
Töölön Taisto
20/05/17
Finland Kolmonen
Töölön Taisto1-3
HT 1-0
ToTe

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 PPJ/Lauttasaari 11731 431624
2 MPS/Atletico Malmi 11803 271824
3 ToTe 9612 231019
4 Valtti 9603 191618
5 LPS Helsinki 9513 292316
6 HPS II 11425 272814
7 Tips Vantaa 10406 232812
8 VJS Vantaa II 10325 272011
9 Töölön Taisto 9252 191811
10 Atlantis FC/PM 11326 243811
11 FC Kontu 10145 15257
12 PPS 10109 7433

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentToTeTöölön Taisto
HPS II 3-2 W 2-2 D
LPS Helsinki 1-3 L 2-2 D
MPS/Atletico Malmi 3-0 W 0-4 L
VJS Vantaa II 1-1 D 3-1 W
Valtti 3-1 W 0-2 L
FC Kontu 7-2 W 3-3 D
Atlantis FC/PM 2-3 L 2-2 D
PPJ/Lauttasaari 0-1 L 2-2 D
PPS 2-0 W 5-0 W
Record vs common 5 W 1 D 3 L 2 W 5 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Töölön Taisto (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ToTe

WLWLWWDWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/06 HPS II
Finland Kolmonen
3-1 3-2 55 W
13/06 LPS Helsinki
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 1-3 63 L
05/06 MPS/Atletico Malmi
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 3-0 82 W
30/05 VJS Vantaa II
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 1-1 82 D
24/05 Valtti
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 3-1 36 W
21/05 FC Kontu
Finland Kolmonen
4-1 7-2 52 W
15/05 Atlantis FC/PM
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 2-3 34 L
08/05 Tips Vantaa
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 2-0 W
02/05 PPJ/Lauttasaari
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 L
24/04 PPS
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 2-0 83 W

Töölön Taisto

LLLDDDDWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/06 VJS Vantaa II
Finland Kolmonen
3-0 3-1 99 W
11/06 HPS II
Finland Kolmonen
0-2 2-2 35 D
07/06 PPS
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 5-0 74 W
28/05 FC Kontu
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 3-3 24 D
21/05 Atlantis FC/PM
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 2-2 44 D
15/05 PPJ/Lauttasaari
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 2-2 25 D
07/05 LPS Helsinki
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 2-2 44 D
02/05 Valtti
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-2 59 L
28/04 JaPS
Finland Cup
1-4 1-9 12 L
23/04 MPS/Atletico Malmi
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-4 56 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ToTe vs Töölön Taisto?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ToTe win (60%). Probabilities: ToTe 60%, draw 19%, Töölön Taisto 21%.

How many goals are expected in ToTe vs Töölön Taisto?

The model expects 4.13 goals (ToTe 2.59 · Töölön Taisto 1.54), with a 53% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in ToTe vs Töölön Taisto?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.