Football · Finland Kolmonen · 30/07, 19:00

Prediction: PPJ/Lauttasaari vs LPS Helsinki

Team pages: PPJ/Lauttasaari · LPS Helsinki

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.68Total

PPJ/Lauttasaari2.95

LPS Helsinki1.72

1X2

62% 18% 20%

PPJ/Lauttasaari Draw LPS Helsinki

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

PPJ/Lauttasaari 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WDDWWDLWWD

LPS Helsinki 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WDLLWWWWWL

Head-to-head

PPJ/Lauttasaari 2–1–2 LPS Helsinki (5 last)

LPS Helsinki3-5PPJ/Lauttasaari
LPS Helsinki2-1PPJ/Lauttasaari
PPJ/Lauttasaari3-2LPS Helsinki
LPS Helsinki1-1PPJ/Lauttasaari
PPJ/Lauttasaari1-4LPS Helsinki

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PPJ/Lauttasaari 1563 · LPS Helsinki 1531

	PPJ/Lauttasaari	Draw	LPS Helsinki
Our model	62%	17%	20%
Market	62%	18%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 4.68 goals · Bet365 line 4.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 85%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	PPJ/Lauttasaari	LPS Helsinki
Goals for / against (FT)	3.5 / 1.4	3 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.9 / 1	1.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	63/13/25%	78/0/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 6.4	1.8 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	3.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.44

X5.00

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.85

2 (+1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 4.751.90

Under 4.751.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 5.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
04:02 +5’	1.44	5.00	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · PPJ/Lauttasaari 2–1–2 LPS Helsinki

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Finland Kolmonen	LPS Helsinki	3-5 HT 3-1	PPJ/Lauttasaari
26/09/25 Finland Kolmonen	LPS Helsinki	2-1 HT 0-0	PPJ/Lauttasaari
26/06/25 Finland Kolmonen	PPJ/Lauttasaari	3-2 HT 1-2	LPS Helsinki
09/08/24 Finland Kolmonen	LPS Helsinki	1-1 HT 0-0	PPJ/Lauttasaari
02/05/24 Finland Kolmonen	PPJ/Lauttasaari	1-4 HT 0-1	LPS Helsinki

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MPS/Atletico Malmi	12	9	0	3	29	19	27
2	PPJ/Lauttasaari	12	7	4	1	46	19	25
3	ToTe	11	8	1	2	29	11	25
4	Valtti	11	7	0	4	23	21	21
5	LPS Helsinki	10	5	1	4	29	26	16
6	HPS II	12	4	3	5	30	31	15
7	VJS Vantaa II	12	4	2	6	33	24	14
8	Atlantis FC/PM	12	4	2	6	27	40	14
9	Tips Vantaa	11	4	1	6	24	29	13
10	Töölön Taisto	11	2	6	3	21	23	12
11	FC Kontu	12	2	4	6	21	31	10
12	PPS	12	1	0	11	11	49	3

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	PPJ/Lauttasaari	LPS Helsinki
HPS II	3-3 D	3-4 L
Atlantis FC/PM	6-2 W	4-1 W
PPS	9-0 W	3-0 W
Tips Vantaa	1-2 L	7-4 W
VJS Vantaa II	2-2 D	0-3 L
MPS/Atletico Malmi	4-0 W	1-3 L
Valtti	7-3 W	3-2 W
Töölön Taisto	2-2 D	2-2 D
FC Kontu	0-0 D	4-3 W
ToTe	1-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 4 D 1 L	6 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: PPJ/Lauttasaari (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PPJ/Lauttasaari

WDDWWDLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	2-3	3-3	9	3	D
30/06	Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen	3-1	6-2	7	0	W
26/06	PPS Finland Kolmonen	3-0	9-0	5	2	W
12/06	Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen	–	1-2	–	–	L
07/06	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	2-1	2-2	7	4	D
29/05	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	2-0	4-0	1	5	W
21/05	Valtti Finland Kolmonen	3-1	7-3	8	4	W
15/05	Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen	0-2	2-2	6	5	D
07/05	FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
02/05	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	–	1-0	–	–	W

LPS Helsinki

WDLLWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-3	4	9	L
26/06	FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen	3-0	4-3	0	1	W
17/06	Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen	3-2	7-4	2	4	W
13/06	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-1	2	3	W
05/06	Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen	3-1	4-1	5	2	W
29/05	Valtti Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-2	2	4	W
22/05	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	3-2	3-4	8	3	L
16/05	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	–	1-3	–	–	L
07/05	Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen	0-2	2-2	5	4	D
03/05	PPS Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-0	6	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PPJ/Lauttasaari vs LPS Helsinki?

According to our model, the most likely result is a PPJ/Lauttasaari win (62%). Probabilities: PPJ/Lauttasaari 62%, draw 18%, LPS Helsinki 20%.

How many goals are expected in PPJ/Lauttasaari vs LPS Helsinki?

The model expects 4.68 goals (PPJ/Lauttasaari 2.95 · LPS Helsinki 1.72), with a 52% chance of under 4.75 goals.

Will both teams score in PPJ/Lauttasaari vs LPS Helsinki?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.