Prediction: HPS II vs PPS
- PPS2-3HPS II
| HPS II | Draw | PPS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| Market | 76% | 13% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HPS II (rating 1467 vs 1407).
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| HPS II | PPS | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 2.6 | 1.1 / 4.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 1.6 | 0.3 / 1.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/10/50% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6.5 | 2.3 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · HPS II 1–0–0 PPS
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/26 Finland Kolmonen | PPS | 2-3 | HPS II |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ToTe | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 33 | 13 | 29 |
| 2 | MPS/Atletico Malmi | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 22 | 29 |
| 3 | PPJ/Lauttasaari | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 47 | 21 | 26 |
| 4 | Valtti | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 25 | 22 |
| 5 | VJS Vantaa II | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 47 | 26 | 20 |
| 6 | LPS Helsinki | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 28 | 19 |
| 7 | Atlantis FC/PM | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 53 | 17 |
| 8 | Tips Vantaa | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 16 |
| 9 | HPS II | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 38 | 15 |
| 10 | Toolon Taisto | 13 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 26 | 14 |
| 11 | FC Kontu | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 34 | 14 |
| 12 | PPS | 14 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 14 | 53 | 6 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | HPS II | PPS |
|---|---|---|
| Atlantis FC/PM | 3-4 L | 3-2 W |
| FC Kontu | 2-3 L | 3-4 L |
| PPJ/Lauttasaari | 3-3 D | 0-9 L |
| ToTe | 2-3 L | 1-3 L |
| MPS/Atletico Malmi | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Toolon Taisto | 2-2 D | 0-5 L |
| Valtti | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Tips Vantaa | 5-1 W | 1-3 L |
| LPS Helsinki | 4-3 W | 2-1 W |
| VJS Vantaa II | 1-2 L | 0-11 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 6 L | 2 W 0 D 8 L |
Better against common opponents: HPS II (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
HPS II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen |
1-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 31/07 | FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen |
3-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 25/06 | ToTe Finland Kolmonen |
1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 16/06 | MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 11/06 | Toolon Taisto Finland Kolmonen |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 05/06 | Valtti Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 28/05 | Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen |
2-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen |
2-3 | 4-3 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 14/05 | VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | L |
PPS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 01/08 | ToTe Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 24/07 | MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 02/07 | FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 26/06 | PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen |
0-3 | 0-9 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 12/06 | Valtti Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 07/06 | Toolon Taisto Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 0-5 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 27/05 | Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 20/05 | VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen |
0-4 | 0-11 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 15/05 | Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in HPS II vs PPS?
According to our model, the most likely result is a HPS II win (76%). Probabilities: HPS II 76%, draw 13%, PPS 11%.
How many goals are expected in HPS II vs PPS?
The model expects 4.74 goals (HPS II 3.37 · PPS 1.37), with a 50% chance of over 4.75 goals.
Will both teams score in HPS II vs PPS?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.