Football · Finland Kolmonen · 14/08, 17:15

Prediction: LPS Helsinki vs Töölön Taisto

Team pages: LPS Helsinki · Töölön Taisto

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.24Total

LPS Helsinki2.39

Töölön Taisto1.85

1X2

50% 20% 30%

LPS Helsinki Draw Töölön Taisto

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

LPS Helsinki 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWWWWLWL

Töölön Taisto 2-7-1 (W-D-L)

DDDWDWLDDD

Head-to-head

LPS Helsinki 1–2–3 Töölön Taisto (6 last)

Töölön Taisto2-2LPS Helsinki
LPS Helsinki1-2Töölön Taisto
Töölön Taisto1-0LPS Helsinki
Töölön Taisto1-1LPS Helsinki
LPS Helsinki1-6Töölön Taisto
LPS Helsinki5-1Töölön Taisto

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · LPS Helsinki 1518 · Töölön Taisto 1521

	LPS Helsinki	Draw	Töölön Taisto
Our model	50%	21%	30%
Market	50%	20%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 4.24 goals · Bet365 line 4.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Töölön Taisto: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	LPS Helsinki	Töölön Taisto
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 2.3	2.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.9 / 0.8	1.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	78/11/11%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.9	2.2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.80

X4.50

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.85

Under 4.251.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 4.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
05:49 +12’	1.80	4.50	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · LPS Helsinki 1–2–3 Töölön Taisto

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	Töölön Taisto	2-2 HT 2-0	LPS Helsinki
29/08/25 Finland Kolmonen	LPS Helsinki	1-2	Töölön Taisto
22/05/25 Finland Kolmonen	Töölön Taisto	1-0 HT 0-0	LPS Helsinki
29/08/24 Finland Kolmonen	Töölön Taisto	1-1 HT 0-0	LPS Helsinki
25/05/24 Finland Kolmonen	LPS Helsinki	1-6 HT 1-3	Töölön Taisto
21/08/20 Finland Kolmonen	LPS Helsinki	5-1 HT 2-1	Töölön Taisto

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	ToTe	13	9	2	2	33	13	29
2	MPS/Atletico Malmi	14	9	2	3	32	22	29
3	PPJ/Lauttasaari	14	7	5	2	47	21	26
4	Valtti	13	7	1	5	26	25	22
5	VJS Vantaa II	14	6	2	6	47	26	20
6	LPS Helsinki	12	6	1	5	31	28	19
7	Atlantis FC/PM	14	5	2	7	32	53	17
8	Tips Vantaa	13	5	1	7	28	35	16
9	HPS II	14	4	3	7	35	38	15
10	Töölön Taisto	13	2	8	3	24	26	14
11	FC Kontu	14	3	5	6	25	34	14
12	PPS	14	2	0	12	14	53	6

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	LPS Helsinki	Töölön Taisto
PPS	1-2 L	5-0 W
PPJ/Lauttasaari	1-0 W	2-2 D
VJS Vantaa II	0-3 L	3-1 W
FC Kontu	4-3 W	3-3 D
Tips Vantaa	7-4 W	1-1 D
ToTe	3-1 W	1-4 L
Atlantis FC/PM	4-1 W	2-2 D
Valtti	3-2 W	1-1 D
HPS II	3-4 L	2-2 D
MPS/Atletico Malmi	1-3 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 7 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: LPS Helsinki (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

LPS Helsinki

LLWWWWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	PPS Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-2	8	6	L
30/07	PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
24/07	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-3	4	9	L
26/06	FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen	3-0	4-3	0	1	W
17/06	Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen	3-2	7-4	2	4	W
13/06	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-1	2	3	W
05/06	Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen	3-1	4-1	5	2	W
29/05	Valtti Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-2	2	4	W
22/05	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	3-2	3-4	8	3	L
16/05	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	–	1-3	–	–	L

Töölön Taisto

DDDWDWLDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/08	Valtti Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-1	8	3	D
01/08	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-2	8	3	D
23/07	Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
03/07	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-4	5	5	L
24/06	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	3-0	3-1	9	9	W
11/06	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	0-2	2-2	3	5	D
07/06	PPS Finland Kolmonen	2-0	5-0	7	4	W
28/05	FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-3	2	4	D
21/05	Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen	2-1	2-2	4	4	D
15/05	PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-2	2	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in LPS Helsinki vs Töölön Taisto?

According to our model, the most likely result is a LPS Helsinki win (50%). Probabilities: LPS Helsinki 50%, draw 20%, Töölön Taisto 30%.

How many goals are expected in LPS Helsinki vs Töölön Taisto?

The model expects 4.24 goals (LPS Helsinki 2.39 · Töölön Taisto 1.85), with a 51% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in LPS Helsinki vs Töölön Taisto?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.