Football · Finland Kolmonen · 14/08, 17:30

Prediction: Tips Vantaa vs ToTe

Team pages: Tips Vantaa · ToTe

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.07Total

Tips Vantaa1.58

ToTe2.49

1X2

23% 20% 57%

Tips Vantaa Draw ToTe

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

Tips Vantaa 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWWLLDWL

ToTe 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWLWWWWD

Head-to-head

Tips Vantaa 1–2 ToTe (3 last)

ToTe2-0Tips Vantaa
ToTe5-4Tips Vantaa
Tips Vantaa5-1ToTe

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tips Vantaa 1477 · ToTe 1575

	Tips Vantaa	Draw	ToTe
Our model	23%	20%	57%
Market	24%	19%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 4.07 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ToTe (rating 1477 vs 1575).
H2H favours ToTe: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tips Vantaa	ToTe
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 2.8	2.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.4	1.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/22/56%	80/10/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 3.7	2.5 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.80

X4.75

21.57

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.90

2 (-1)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.98

Under 4.251.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 4.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
07:14 +2’	3.80	4.75	1.57

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tips Vantaa 1–0–2 ToTe

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	ToTe	2-0 HT 0-0	Tips Vantaa
12/04/22 Finland Cup	ToTe	5-4 HT 2-2	Tips Vantaa
19/06/17 Finland Kolmonen	Tips Vantaa	5-1 HT 4-0	ToTe

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	ToTe	13	9	2	2	33	13	29
2	MPS/Atletico Malmi	14	9	2	3	32	22	29
3	PPJ/Lauttasaari	14	7	5	2	47	21	26
4	Valtti	13	7	1	5	26	25	22
5	VJS Vantaa II	14	6	2	6	47	26	20
6	LPS Helsinki	12	6	1	5	31	28	19
7	Atlantis FC/PM	14	5	2	7	32	53	17
8	Tips Vantaa	13	5	1	7	28	35	16
9	HPS II	14	4	3	7	35	38	15
10	Töölön Taisto	13	2	8	3	24	26	14
11	FC Kontu	14	3	5	6	25	34	14
12	PPS	14	2	0	12	14	53	6

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tips Vantaa	ToTe
VJS Vantaa II	1-4 L	1-1 D
Valtti	3-2 W	2-0 W
Töölön Taisto	1-1 D	4-1 W
LPS Helsinki	4-7 L	1-3 L
PPJ/Lauttasaari	2-1 W	1-1 D
FC Kontu	2-0 W	7-2 W
HPS II	1-5 L	3-2 W
MPS/Atletico Malmi	2-3 L	3-0 W
PPS	3-1 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 4 L	6 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: ToTe (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tips Vantaa

WLLWWLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-4	3	4	L
29/07	Valtti Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-2	5	6	W
23/07	Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
25/06	Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen	0-4	2-4	6	5	L
17/06	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	2-3	4-7	6	4	L
12/06	PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen	–	2-1	–	–	W
05/06	FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-0	2	7	W
28/05	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-5	4	4	L
22/05	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	0-2	2-3	3	2	L
15/05	PPS Finland Kolmonen	0-0	3-1	2	1	W

ToTe

WWDWLWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
01/08	PPS Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-1	8	5	W
24/07	Valtti Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-0	3	3	W
03/07	Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen	2-1	4-1	0	5	W
25/06	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	3-1	3-2	5	5	W
13/06	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-3	6	3	L
05/06	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	0-0	3-0	8	2	W
30/05	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-1	8	2	D
24/05	Valtti Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-1	3	6	W
21/05	FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen	4-1	7-2	5	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tips Vantaa vs ToTe?

According to our model, the most likely result is an ToTe win (57%). Probabilities: Tips Vantaa 23%, draw 20%, ToTe 57%.

How many goals are expected in Tips Vantaa vs ToTe?

The model expects 4.07 goals (Tips Vantaa 1.58 · ToTe 2.49), with a 54% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Tips Vantaa vs ToTe?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.