Football · Finland Kolmonen · 14/08, 18:30

Prediction: Valtti vs Atlantis FC/PM

Team pages: Valtti · Atlantis FC/PM

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.65Total

Valtti2.81

Atlantis FC/PM1.84

1X2

57% 19% 24%

Valtti Draw Atlantis FC/PM

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 64%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Valtti 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWWLLD

Atlantis FC/PM 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WDLLLWLWLW

Head-to-head

Valtti 1–2 Atlantis FC/PM (3 last)

Atlantis FC/PM2-1Valtti
Valtti5-1Atlantis FC/PM
Atlantis FC/PM3-2Valtti

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Valtti 1494 · Atlantis FC/PM 1474

	Valtti	Draw	Atlantis FC/PM
Our model	58%	18%	24%
Market	57%	19%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 4.65 goals · Bet365 line 4.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Atlantis FC/PM: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Valtti	Atlantis FC/PM
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 2.4	2.3 / 4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.4	1.4 / 1.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/10/70%	33/22/44%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.7	2.4 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	2.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.75

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.93

2 (+1)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 4.751.95

Under 4.751.85

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 5.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
05:58 +5’	1.57	4.75	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Valtti 1–0–2 Atlantis FC/PM

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	Atlantis FC/PM	2-1	Valtti
26/09/25 Finland Kolmonen	Valtti	5-1	Atlantis FC/PM
26/06/25 Finland Kolmonen	Atlantis FC/PM	3-2 HT 1-0	Valtti

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	ToTe	13	9	2	2	33	13	29
2	MPS/Atletico Malmi	14	9	2	3	32	22	29
3	PPJ/Lauttasaari	14	7	5	2	47	21	26
4	Valtti	13	7	1	5	26	25	22
5	VJS Vantaa II	14	6	2	6	47	26	20
6	LPS Helsinki	12	6	1	5	31	28	19
7	Atlantis FC/PM	14	5	2	7	32	53	17
8	Tips Vantaa	13	5	1	7	28	35	16
9	HPS II	14	4	3	7	35	38	15
10	Toolon Taisto	13	2	8	3	24	26	14
11	FC Kontu	14	3	5	6	25	34	14
12	PPS	14	2	0	12	14	53	6

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Valtti	Atlantis FC/PM
Töölön Taisto	1-1 D	2-2 D
Tips Vantaa	2-3 L	4-2 W
ToTe	0-2 L	3-2 W
VJS Vantaa II	4-3 W	1-10 L
MPS/Atletico Malmi	2-1 W	1-6 L
PPS	3-0 W	2-3 L
HPS II	3-1 W	4-3 W
LPS Helsinki	2-3 L	1-4 L
PPJ/Lauttasaari	3-7 L	2-6 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Valtti (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Valtti

LLLWWWWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/08	Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
29/07	Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen	0-2	2-3	6	6	L
24/07	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-2	7	3	L
05/07	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	1-2	4-3	5	4	W
26/06	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	2-1	2-1	2	11	W
12/06	PPS Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-0	8	1	W
05/06	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	0-1	3-1	4	0	W
29/05	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	0-2	2-3	8	4	L
24/05	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-3	1	6	L
21/05	PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen	1-3	3-7	4	4	L

Atlantis FC/PM

WDLLLWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/08	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	3-1	4-3	2	2	W
01/08	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	0-4	1-10	1	2	L
23/07	FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen	1-1	3-2	1	4	W
30/06	PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen	1-3	2-6	3	0	L
25/06	Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen	4-0	4-2	8	5	W
12/06	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	–	1-6	–	–	L
05/06	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	1-3	1-4	4	2	L
27/05	PPS Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-3	6	2	L
21/05	Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen	1-2	2-2	4	4	D
15/05	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-2	8	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Valtti vs Atlantis FC/PM?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Valtti win (57%). Probabilities: Valtti 57%, draw 19%, Atlantis FC/PM 24%.

How many goals are expected in Valtti vs Atlantis FC/PM?

The model expects 4.65 goals (Valtti 2.81 · Atlantis FC/PM 1.84), with a 53% chance of under 4.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Valtti vs Atlantis FC/PM?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.