Football · Finland Kolmonen · 04/09, 17:00

Prediction: Atlantis FC/PM vs PPS

Team pages: Atlantis FC/PM · PPS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.98Total

Atlantis FC/PM3.49

PPS1.49

1X2

79% 11% 10%

Atlantis FC/PM Draw PPS

Markets

Under 5.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

3-1 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Atlantis FC/PM 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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PPS 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Atlantis FC/PM 0–1 PPS (1 last)

PPS3-2Atlantis FC/PM

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atlantis FC/PM 1510 · PPS 1415

	Atlantis FC/PM	Draw	PPS
Our model	74%	14%	12%
Market	83%	9%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 4.98 goals · Bet365 line 5.5 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 86%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atlantis FC/PM (rating 1510 vs 1415).
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atlantis FC/PM	PPS
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 3.9	0.9 / 3.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.8 / 1.8	0.2 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	38/13/50%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.1	1.9 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	3.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.11

X10.00

212.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.25)1.98

2 (+3.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 5.51.93

Under 5.51.88

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 5.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.11 → 1.11	Bet365 1.11
X	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00
2	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.3%

Time*	1	X	2
06:36 +4’	1.11	10.00	12.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atlantis FC/PM 0–0–1 PPS

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	PPS	3-2 HT 1-1	Atlantis FC/PM

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	ToTe	16	10	3	3	37	18	33
2	MPS/Atletico Malmi	17	10	2	5	35	31	32
3	PPJ/Lauttasaari	17	8	5	4	51	25	29
4	Tips Vantaa	17	9	1	7	41	39	28
5	VJS Vantaa II	17	8	2	7	55	29	26
6	LPS Helsinki	15	8	2	5	42	31	26
7	Valtti	16	8	2	6	30	30	26
8	Atlantis FC/PM	17	7	3	7	43	59	24
9	HPS II	17	4	5	8	40	45	17
10	Töölön Taisto	17	3	8	6	33	41	17
11	FC Kontu	17	3	6	8	29	42	15
12	PPS	17	2	1	14	16	62	7

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atlantis FC/PM	PPS
Töölön Taisto	6-3 W	0-5 L
ToTe	2-2 D	1-3 L
Valtti	3-1 W	0-3 L
HPS II	4-3 W	2-2 D
VJS Vantaa II	1-10 L	0-4 L
FC Kontu	3-2 W	3-4 L
PPJ/Lauttasaari	2-6 L	0-9 L
Tips Vantaa	4-2 W	0-3 L
MPS/Atletico Malmi	1-6 L	1-2 L
LPS Helsinki	1-4 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 8 L

Better against common opponents: Atlantis FC/PM (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atlantis FC/PM

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/08	Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen	4-0	6-3	7	2	W
20/08	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	0-2	2-2	6	6	D
14/08	Valtti Finland Kolmonen	–	3-1	–	–	W
06/08	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	3-1	4-3	2	2	W
01/08	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	0-4	1-10	1	2	L
23/07	FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen	1-1	3-2	1	4	W
30/06	PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen	1-3	2-6	3	0	L
25/06	Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen	4-0	4-2	9	5	W
12/06	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	–	1-6	–	–	L
05/06	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	1-3	1-4	4	2	L

PPS

LLLLLLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-4	5	2	L
21/08	Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-3	1	7	L
13/08	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-2	1	2	D
07/08	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-1	4	6	W
01/08	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-3	4	5	L
24/07	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-2	9	3	L
02/07	FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen	1-1	3-4	2	4	L
26/06	PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen	0-3	0-9	8	2	L
12/06	Valtti Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-3	5	1	L
07/06	Töölön Taisto Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-5	0	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atlantis FC/PM vs PPS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atlantis FC/PM win (79%). Probabilities: Atlantis FC/PM 79%, draw 11%, PPS 10%.

How many goals are expected in Atlantis FC/PM vs PPS?

The model expects 4.98 goals (Atlantis FC/PM 3.49 · PPS 1.49), with a 56% chance of under 5.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Atlantis FC/PM vs PPS?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.