Football · Finland Kolmonen · 17/09, 17:00

Prediction: Töölön Taisto vs HPS II

Team pages: Töölön Taisto · HPS II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.4Total

Töölön Taisto2.18

HPS II2.23

1X2

39% 20% 41%

Töölön Taisto Draw HPS II

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 64%

Most likely score

2-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Töölön Taisto 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDDDLWLLWD

HPS II 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLDLLDLDLW

Head-to-head

Töölön Taisto 0–1–0 HPS II (1 last)

HPS II2-2Töölön Taisto

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Töölön Taisto 1484 · HPS II 1450

	Töölön Taisto	Draw	HPS II
Our model	39%	21%	40%
Market	39%	20%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 4.4 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Töölön Taisto	HPS II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 2.5	2 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.2	0.7 / 1.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	11/44/44%	11/22/67%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.1	2.7 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.30

X4.50

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.98

Under 4.251.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 4.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
03:38 +12’	2.30	4.50	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Töölön Taisto 0–1–0 HPS II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/06/26 Finland Kolmonen	HPS II	2-2 HT 2-0	Töölön Taisto

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MPS/Atletico Malmi	19	12	2	5	39	32	38
2	ToTe	18	10	4	4	41	23	34
3	Tips Vantaa	19	11	1	7	45	41	34
4	PPJ/Lauttasaari	19	9	5	5	54	28	32
5	LPS Helsinki	17	10	2	5	50	33	32
6	VJS Vantaa II	19	8	3	8	59	35	27
7	Atlantis FC/PM	19	8	3	8	50	65	27
8	Valtti	18	8	2	8	33	36	26
9	Töölön Taisto	19	4	9	6	38	43	21
10	HPS II	19	5	5	9	44	49	20
11	FC Kontu	19	3	6	10	31	48	15
12	PPS	19	2	2	15	18	69	8

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Töölön Taisto	HPS II
PPS	1-1 D	2-2 D
FC Kontu	4-1 W	2-3 L
Tips Vantaa	3-5 L	1-2 L
Atlantis FC/PM	3-6 L	3-4 L
PPJ/Lauttasaari	2-0 W	3-3 D
LPS Helsinki	1-4 L	2-2 D
Valtti	1-1 D	3-2 W
MPS/Atletico Malmi	2-2 D	1-2 L
ToTe	1-4 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 4 L	1 W 3 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: HPS II (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Töölön Taisto

LDDDLWLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	PPS Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-1	4	2	D
04/09	FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen	–	4-1	–	–	W
31/08	Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen	1-2	3-5	7	7	L
27/08	Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen	0-4	3-6	6	2	L
20/08	PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-0	6	4	W
14/08	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	1-3	1-4	9	3	L
06/08	Valtti Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-1	8	3	D
01/08	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-2	8	3	D
23/07	Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
03/07	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-4	5	5	L

HPS II

LLDLLDLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/09	Valtti Finland Kolmonen	1-1	3-2	3	5	W
04/09	Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen	–	1-2	–	–	L
27/08	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	0-1	2-2	7	2	D
22/08	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-3	4	4	L
13/08	PPS Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-2	10	2	D
06/08	Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen	1-3	3-4	8	2	L
31/07	FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen	0-1	2-3	6	2	L
26/07	PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen	3-2	3-3	7	3	D
25/06	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	1-3	2-3	5	5	L
16/06	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-2	3	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Töölön Taisto vs HPS II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an HPS II win (41%). Probabilities: Töölön Taisto 39%, draw 20%, HPS II 41%.

How many goals are expected in Töölön Taisto vs HPS II?

The model expects 4.4 goals (Töölön Taisto 2.18 · HPS II 2.23), with a 51% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Töölön Taisto vs HPS II?

The model gives a 64% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.